Dale Stanavich

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 28 LHP 5'11" / 175 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX3 levels	44	0	59	2.73	2.93	34.1%	11.1%	—	K 27.2% · BB 12.7% · FIP 3.99
2025	26	MIX2 levels	44	1	56	3.38	4.92	26.1%	17.1%	—	K 21.6% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.38
2026	27	MIX3 levels	36	0	43	6.12	4.83	29.7%	14.6%	—	K 25.5% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.63
2027PROJ	28	MLBSF	27	0	28	5.21	5.21	23.4%	14.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBSF	8	0	8	5.20	5.25	23.2%	13.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsArmando Almanza (age 28) · Mitchell Tyranski (age 26) · Juan Pablo Perez (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 132

ERA5.21

FIP5.21

K%23.4%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	11	52	10	8	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.4%	3.8%	1.9%	11.81	4.48	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	11	52	10	8	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.4%	3.8%	1.9%	11.81	4.69	—
2023	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	0	30	135	46	14	1	0%	1.3	25.2%	12.2%	13.0%	1.0%	3.56	3.09	—
2023	24	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	24	0	30	135	46	14	1	0%	1.3	34.1%	10.4%	23.7%	0.7%	3.56	1.88	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	27.2%	12.7%	14.4%	2.9%	2.73	3.99	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	27.2%	12.7%	14.4%	2.9%	2.73	3.99	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	59	252	86	28	6	0%	1.3	34.1%	11.1%	23.0%	2.4%	2.73	2.93	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	21.6%	16.4%	5.2%	3.7%	3.38	5.38	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	21.6%	16.4%	5.2%	3.7%	3.38	5.38	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	1	56	257	67	44	8	2%	1.3	26.1%	17.1%	8.9%	3.1%	3.38	4.92	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	43	192	57	28	8	0%	1.2	25.5%	14.0%	11.5%	5.3%	6.12	5.63	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	43	192	57	28	8	0%	1.2	25.5%	14.0%	11.5%	5.3%	6.12	5.63	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	43	192	57	28	8	0%	1.2	29.7%	14.6%	15.1%	4.2%	6.12	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	SF	27	0	28	118	28	17	4	0%	1.0	23.4%	14.1%	9.3%	3.5%	5.21	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SF	25	0	26	111	26	15	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.8%	9.4%	3.6%	5.20	5.25	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	SF	8	0	8	34	8	5	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.8%	9.4%	3.6%	5.20	5.25	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	35	8	5	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.8%	9.4%	3.6%	5.20	4.87	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	121	24	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.8%	9.4%	3.6%	5.20	4.87	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		158	1	199	888	217	126	29	1%	1.3	24.4%	14.2%	10.3%	3.3%	4.25	4.64	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	1	200	892	218	126	29	1%	1.3	24.4%	14.2%	10.3%	3.3%	4.25	4.64	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dale Stanavich (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	23.4%	14.1%	3.5%	—	5.25	23.2%	9.4%	26	+0.04	—	—	—
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	81
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	80
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	79
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	79
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	79
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	78
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	76
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	76
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	76
Sammy Solís L 2017 · 5.93 FIP	28	SU	5.93	20.9%	11.5%	5.7%	.250	4.27	25.4%	16.0%	62	-1.66	2.51	190	75
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	75
Matt Thornton L 2005 · 5.92 FIP	28	SU	5.92	21.8%	15.3%	5.0%	.270	2.98	24.4%	17.2%	178	-2.94	1.71	663	75
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	75
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	75
James Reeves L 2021 · 5.11 FIP	28	SU	5.11	27.0%	16.2%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.02	280	75
Zac Rosscup L 2015 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	.296	2.85	29.5%	21.7%	40	-1.99	2.56	173	74
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	74
Daniel Zamora L 2021 · 5.17 FIP	28	SU	5.17	23.6%	12.5%	4.5%	.357	3.74	21.5%	9.9%	92	-1.43	2.15	310	73
Josh Smoker L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	28	SU	4.20	25.5%	9.4%	3.8%	.329	4.35	20.2%	11.3%	59	+0.15	2.71	230	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	23.3%	13.9%	1.38	5.21
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*