Carlos Torres

P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX2 levels	18	2	26	3.51	2.55	24.5%	3.8%	—	K 17.1% · BB 5.1% · FIP 3.71
2025	24	MIX2 levels	32	0	48	4.12	3.87	16.6%	6.6%	—	K 12.1% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.32
2026	25	AACOL	40	0	63	3.59	3.91	20.4%	5.3%	—	K 16.5% · BB 5.8% · FIP 4.68
2027PROJ	26	MLBCOL	67	0	70	5.08	5.08	13.4%	7.8%	-0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBCOL	25	0	26	5.02	5.04	14.4%	8.0%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBCOL	38	0	40	5.03	5.07	14.9%	8.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control55Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsChris Spurling (age 26) · Bryan Morris (age 26) · Brian Bass (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%13.4%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	17	2	2	0	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	3.60	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	4	0	4	17	2	2	0	0%	1.1	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	0.0%	2.08	3.56	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	43	0	62	263	54	20	5	0%	1.4	15.2%	9.0%	6.2%	2.1%	3.50	4.10	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	43	0	62	263	54	20	5	0%	1.4	20.5%	7.6%	12.9%	1.9%	3.50	3.38	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	2	26	106	26	4	2	11%	1.4	17.1%	5.1%	12.0%	2.6%	3.51	3.71	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	2	26	106	26	4	2	11%	1.4	17.1%	5.1%	12.0%	2.6%	3.51	3.71	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	2	26	106	26	4	2	11%	1.4	24.5%	3.8%	20.8%	1.9%	3.51	2.55	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	211	35	14	5	0%	1.5	12.1%	8.5%	3.6%	2.1%	4.12	4.32	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	211	35	14	5	0%	1.5	12.1%	8.5%	3.6%	2.1%	4.12	4.32	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	48	211	35	14	5	0%	1.5	16.6%	6.6%	10.0%	2.4%	4.12	3.87	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	40	0	63	265	54	14	9	0%	1.6	16.5%	5.8%	10.7%	4.1%	3.59	4.68	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	40	0	63	265	54	14	9	0%	1.6	16.5%	5.8%	10.7%	4.1%	3.59	4.68	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	40	0	63	265	54	14	9	0%	1.6	20.4%	5.3%	15.1%	3.4%	3.59	3.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	67	0	70	296	40	23	9	0%	1.0	13.4%	7.8%	5.6%	3.2%	5.08	5.08	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	42	23	9	0%	1.0	14.4%	8.0%	6.4%	3.2%	5.02	5.04	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	42	23	9	0%	1.0	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	3.3%	5.03	5.07	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	41	23	9	0%	1.0	15.1%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	5.09	5.16	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	25	0	26	110	16	9	4	0%	1.0	14.4%	8.0%	6.4%	3.2%	5.02	5.04	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	38	0	40	169	25	14	6	0%	1.1	14.9%	8.2%	6.7%	3.3%	5.03	5.07	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	43	0	45	190	29	16	7	0%	1.0	15.1%	8.5%	6.6%	3.4%	5.09	5.16	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	468	70	39	16	0%	1.0	14.9%	8.3%	6.6%	3.3%	5.05	4.72	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	126	70	29	0%	1.1	14.9%	8.3%	6.6%	3.3%	5.05	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		137	2	202	862	129	64	23	1%	1.5	15.0%	7.5%	7.5%	2.7%	3.65	4.27	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		135	2	200	852	128	64	23	1%	1.5	15.0%	7.5%	7.5%	2.7%	3.65	4.27	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Torres (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	13.4%	7.8%	3.2%	—	5.09	14.8%	6.6%	200	+0.01	—	—	—
Chris Spurling R 2003 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	11.7%	6.4%	2.8%	.267	4.92	8.8%	3.3%	92	+0.47	4.13	219	91
Bryan Morris R 2013 · 4.78 FIP	26	SU	4.78	13.7%	8.5%	3.2%	.243	3.90	17.7%	9.2%	145	-0.88	3.48	231	90
Brian Bass R 2008 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	11.6%	7.0%	3.1%	.283	4.70	13.5%	3.7%	86	+0.00	4.70	176	90
Kurt Spomer R 2015 · 5.35 FIP	26	SU	5.35	11.1%	7.3%	4.1%	.268	3.43	14.2%	6.2%	135	-1.92	3.17	199	90
Raul Fernandez R 2016 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	13.6%	9.3%	2.2%	.270	5.54	20.4%	6.2%	38	+1.19	4.03	165	89
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	89
Aaron Kurcz R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	15.4%	8.4%	3.6%	.301	3.97	26.2%	21.8%	50	-0.87	3.31	213	88
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	87
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	87
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	86
Rob Griswold R 2024 · 4.63 FIP	26	SU	4.63	13.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.297	4.73	8.3%	1.3%	50	+0.10	3.57	203	86
Willie Eyre R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	9.5%	6.5%	2.9%	.300	4.18	13.2%	4.8%	86	-0.55	2.87	164	86
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	86
Pedro Echemendia R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	11.0%	5.1%	2.7%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	141	86
Chase Plymell R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	14.0%	7.6%	3.0%	.248	4.46	14.0%	6.2%	85	-0.07	3.81	291	86
Jason Jester R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	26	SU	4.94	11.9%	9.4%	3.0%	.311	2.88	17.6%	12.5%	60	-2.06	2.48	229	85
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	85
Alejandro Barraza R 2017 · 5.24 FIP	26	SU	5.24	12.6%	8.7%	3.8%	.314	3.27	18.3%	11.5%	19	-1.97	3.27	174	85
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	85
Rob Scahill R 2013 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	13.4%	5.4%	3.0%	.302	3.73	16.6%	8.3%	108	-0.55	3.06	250	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	14.4%	8.1%	1.27	5.05
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Eric Gunderson ('00)	1.1	76	13.3%	8.1%	1.14	4.95
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*