Andy Fisher prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Andy Fisher P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 30 LHP 6'1" / 185 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%21.0%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP35

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	23	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	10	1	26	104	32	4	2	10%	2.6	22.8%	4.5%	18.2%	2.6%	2.73	3.20	—
2019	23	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	10	1	26	104	32	4	2	10%	2.6	30.8%	3.8%	26.9%	1.9%	2.73	2.11	—
2021	25	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	26	0	45	193	64	24	1	0%	1.7	25.5%	14.3%	11.2%	0.7%	3.80	3.13	—
2021	25	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	26	0	45	193	64	24	1	0%	1.7	33.2%	12.4%	20.7%	0.5%	3.80	2.14	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	39	0	44	207	55	29	3	0%	1.1	21.5%	15.4%	6.1%	1.8%	4.09	4.20	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	39	0	44	207	55	29	3	0%	1.1	26.6%	14.0%	12.6%	1.4%	4.09	3.46	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	45	0	52	212	45	21	4	0%	1.2	17.2%	10.9%	6.3%	2.2%	2.94	4.25	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	45	0	52	212	45	21	4	0%	1.2	17.2%	10.9%	6.3%	2.2%	2.94	4.25	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	45	0	52	212	45	21	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	9.9%	11.3%	1.9%	2.94	3.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.0%	9.9%	11.1%	3.0%	4.59	4.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CIN	31	0	33	139	29	14	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.69	4.77	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	CIN	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.69	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	4	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.69	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	78	19	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.69	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		120	1	167	716	154	87	12	1%	1.4	21.5%	12.2%	9.3%	1.7%	3.44	3.78	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	1	200	856	184	104	15	1%	1.4	21.5%	12.2%	9.3%	1.7%	3.44	3.78	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andy Fisher (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	21.0%	9.9%	3.0%	—	4.77	20.8%	10.6%	33	+0.18	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	91
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	81
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	81
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	79
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	78
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	78
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	77
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	76
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	75
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	75
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	74
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	74
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	74
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	73
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	73
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	72
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	72
Ryan Buchter L 2017 · 4.45 FIP	30	SU	4.45	24.3%	9.3%	4.0%	.202	4.19	25.3%	15.6%	85	-0.26	2.37	296	72
Tom Martin L 2000 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	14.7%	9.1%	2.1%	.274	4.29	21.8%	12.3%	68	+0.12	3.40	303	72
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	20.9%	10.1%	1.19	4.64
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Josh Lindblom ('21)	1.0	52	22.1%	9.6%	1.25	4.78