Chris Roycroft
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 29
RHP
6'8" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.95
FIP4.49
xFIP6.35
SIERA5.82
K%19.9%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%9.1%
IP68
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p2221.4%
K%
p1014.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.365
SI (37%)
CT-1.7 (31%)
FB-2.8 (69%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 19 | 0 | 32 | 157 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 19.6% | 11.7% | 1.4% | 4.50 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 46 | 0 | 63 | 294 | 64 | 40 | 3 | 16.8% | 16.2% | 1.4% | 5.86 | 4.48 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 63 | 0 | 80 | 351 | 78 | 34 | 5 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 3.04 | 3.43 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 55 | 0 | 67 | 311 | 62 | 35 | 6 | 18.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 5.75 | 4.34 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 9 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.62 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | STL | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 5.23 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | STL | — | — | 32 | 142 | 26 | 17 | 3 | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 5.33 | 3.53 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 53 | 35 | 7 | 19.0% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 5.10 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 50 | 34 | 7 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 47 | 32 | 7 | 18.3% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | STL | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 44 | 31 | 7 | 17.8% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.19 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | STL | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 17.1% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | STL | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 16.3% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 5.38 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | STL | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 32 | 28 | 7 | 15.6% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 5.54 | 5.64 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 192 | 0 | 250 | 1155 | 215 | 142 | 20 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 1.7% | 4.75 | 4.02 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 0 | 200 | 923 | 172 | 113 | 16 | 18.6% | 12.3% | 1.7% | 4.75 | 4.02 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Roycroft (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 20.0% | 12.5% | 2.5% | — | 5.00 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 191 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 80 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 77 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 77 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 77 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 76 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 15.9% | 13.5% | 0.6% | .301 | 3.38 | 16.6% | 7.1% | 109 | -0.42 | 3.31 | 244 | 76 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 76 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 204 | 76 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .353 | 4.68 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +0.87 | 2.67 | 279 | 76 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 75 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.49 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 187 | 75 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 75 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.90 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 133 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 75 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 74 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .276 | 4.87 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 22 | +0.86 | 2.78 | 312 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.