Chris Roycroft — OGILVIE

Chris Roycroft P Athletics

Age 29 RHP 6'8" / 230 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.43

FIP4.40

K%16.6%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%6.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5294.7

Whiff%

p1016.4%

p1013.8%

xwOBA vs

p100.372

SI (53%)

SL (5%)

CT-1.7 (20%)

FB-2.8 (73%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	25	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	19	0	32	157	40	16	2	0%	1.7	19.6%	11.7%	7.9%	1.4%	4.50	3.71	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	19	0	32	157	40	16	2	0%	1.7	25.5%	10.2%	15.3%	1.3%	4.50	2.91	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	63	294	64	40	3	0%	1.4	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	1.4%	5.86	4.35	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	63	294	64	40	3	0%	1.4	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	1.4%	5.86	4.35	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	63	294	64	40	3	0%	1.4	21.8%	13.6%	8.2%	1.0%	5.86	3.59	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	80	351	78	34	5	0%	1.3	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	1.5%	3.04	3.42	+1.1
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	80	351	78	34	5	0%	1.3	20.0%	9.2%	10.8%	1.5%	3.04	3.42	+1.1
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	80	351	78	34	5	0%	1.3	22.2%	9.7%	12.5%	1.4%	3.04	3.24	+1.3
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	67	311	62	35	6	0%	1.2	17.4%	10.5%	6.9%	2.3%	5.75	4.23	+0.3
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	67	311	62	35	6	0%	1.2	17.4%	10.5%	6.9%	2.3%	5.75	4.23	+0.3
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	67	311	62	35	6	0%	1.2	19.9%	11.3%	8.7%	1.9%	5.75	3.98	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			70	0	88	416	70	41	12	0%	1.3	16.8%	9.9%	7.0%	2.9%	5.93	4.68	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Athletics	50	0	62	288	45	21	9	0%	1.2	14.3%	7.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.84	4.56	-0.0
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Athletics	50	0	62	288	45	21	9	0%	1.2	14.3%	7.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.84	4.56	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	OAK	27	0	29	128	23	8	1	0%	1.1	18.0%	6.2%	11.7%	0.8%	5.02	2.80	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	OAK	23	0	33	160	22	13	8	0%	1.4	13.8%	8.1%	5.6%	5.0%	6.55	5.71	-0.4
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	OAK	23	0	33	160	22	13	8	0%	1.4	13.8%	8.1%	5.6%	5.0%	6.55	5.71	-0.4
ROS	29	MLB MLE	OAK	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.5%	6.1%	2.5%	4.43	4.40	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	10.5%	6.1%	2.5%	4.43	4.40	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	68	313	49	24	10	—	—	15.7%	7.5%	8.2%	3.1%	5.72	4.54	+0.1
FULL	29	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	39	164	49	24	10	—	—	29.9%	14.4%	15.5%	5.9%	9.93	5.61	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	64	0	68	285	48	31	9	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.9%	5.8%	3.3%	5.17	5.24	-0.5
2028	31	MLB MLE	OAK	60	0	63	266	44	30	9	0%	1.0	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.5%	5.28	5.40	-0.6
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	61	0	64	270	45	29	9	0%	1.0	16.7%	10.9%	5.8%	3.3%	5.17	5.24	-0.5
2028	31	MLB CTX	OAK	57	0	60	253	42	28	9	0%	1.1	16.4%	11.1%	5.3%	3.5%	5.28	5.40	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		194	0	218	964	161	101	30	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.5%	6.2%	3.1%	5.49	4.74	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		178	0	200	885	148	93	28	0%	1.1	16.7%	10.5%	6.2%	3.1%	5.49	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		233	0	304	1401	244	147	28	0%	1.3	17.4%	10.5%	6.9%	2.0%	4.94	4.06	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	0	200	922	160	96	19	0%	1.3	17.4%	10.5%	6.9%	2.0%	4.94	4.06	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Roycroft (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	18.3%	11.9%	2.5%	—	5.32	16.6%	5.6%	130	+0.53	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	86
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	78
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	77
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	77
Francisco Rodriguez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	32	SU	4.79	11.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.281	4.04	12.1%	4.4%	139	-0.75	3.16	273	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	77
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	76
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	76
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	76
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	76
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	67	17.2%	11.3%	1.18	5.08
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99