Zach Bryant

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	23	3	34	4.76	4.25	22.4%	9.2%	—	K 18.0% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.85
2025	27	AABOS	32	0	48	6.14	3.95	23.3%	9.8%	—	K 18.8% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.51
2026	28	AATEX	39	0	57	5.34	4.57	17.0%	10.4%	—	K 13.8% · BB 11.5% · FIP 5.17
2027PROJ	29	MLBTEX	66	0	69	5.35	5.35	15.3%	11.7%	-0.6
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBTEX	19	0	20	5.36	5.43	15.7%	11.7%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	31	MLBTEX	30	0	31	5.44	5.54	15.9%	11.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsEder Llamas (age 29) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Beck Wheeler (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%15.3%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%3.6%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	5	0	8	32	11	3	0	0%	1.6	34.4%	9.4%	25.0%	0.0%	1.12	1.38	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	5	0	8	32	11	3	0	0%	1.6	34.4%	9.4%	25.0%	0.0%	1.12	1.48	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	37	0	48	195	65	18	6	0%	1.3	25.7%	10.6%	15.1%	4.3%	3.54	4.65	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	37	0	48	195	65	18	6	0%	1.3	33.3%	9.2%	24.1%	3.1%	3.54	3.14	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	33	154	30	24	9	0%	1.2	15.8%	17.1%	-1.4%	7.0%	7.64	7.77	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	28	0	33	154	30	24	9	0%	1.2	19.5%	15.6%	3.9%	5.8%	7.64	7.01	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	34	152	34	14	5	13%	1.5	18.0%	9.6%	8.4%	3.7%	4.76	4.85	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	34	152	34	14	5	13%	1.5	18.0%	9.6%	8.4%	3.7%	4.76	4.85	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	3	34	152	34	14	5	13%	1.5	22.4%	9.2%	13.2%	3.3%	4.76	4.25	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	32	0	48	215	50	21	6	0%	1.5	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.0%	6.14	4.51	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	32	0	48	215	50	21	6	0%	1.5	18.8%	10.7%	8.1%	3.0%	6.14	4.51	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	32	0	48	215	50	21	6	0%	1.5	23.3%	9.8%	13.5%	2.8%	6.14	3.95	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	39	0	57	259	44	27	7	0%	1.5	13.8%	11.5%	2.3%	3.2%	5.34	5.17	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	39	0	57	259	44	27	7	0%	1.5	13.8%	11.5%	2.3%	3.2%	5.34	5.17	—
2026	28	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	39	0	57	259	44	27	7	0%	1.5	17.0%	10.4%	6.6%	2.7%	5.34	4.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TEX	66	0	69	291	44	34	9	0%	1.0	15.3%	11.7%	3.6%	3.1%	5.35	5.35	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	61	0	64	272	43	32	9	0%	1.1	15.7%	11.7%	4.0%	3.3%	5.36	5.43	-0.6
2029	31	MLB MLE	TEX	57	0	60	254	40	30	9	0%	1.1	15.9%	11.9%	4.0%	3.5%	5.44	5.54	-0.7
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	19	0	20	84	13	10	3	0%	1.1	15.7%	11.7%	4.0%	3.3%	5.36	5.43	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	TEX	30	0	31	131	21	16	5	0%	1.0	15.9%	11.9%	4.0%	3.5%	5.44	5.54	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	216	34	25	7	0%	1.0	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	3.4%	5.41	5.12	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	133	98	27	0%	1.1	15.8%	11.8%	4.0%	3.4%	5.41	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		164	3	229	1007	189	117	40	2%	1.4	18.8%	11.7%	7.1%	3.9%	5.23	5.16	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	3	200	879	165	103	35	2%	1.4	18.8%	11.7%	7.1%	3.9%	5.23	5.16	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Bryant (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	15.3%	11.7%	3.1%	—	5.48	15.8%	4.0%	125	+0.13	—	—	—
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	84
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	83
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	82
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	82
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	80
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	80
Brian Bass R 2009 · 4.70 FIP	27	SU	4.70	13.5%	9.8%	2.8%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	176	80
Jason Boyd R 2002 · 5.81 FIP	29	SU	5.81	13.7%	10.7%	4.6%	.290	4.74	15.0%	3.7%	65	-1.07	3.68	128	80
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	79
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	79
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.52	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.85	2.23	173	78
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	78
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	78
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	15.6%	11.8%	1.26	5.38
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*