Patrick Monteverde

P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	23	22	113	5.50	5.35	21.0%	8.2%	—	K 17.5% · BB 7.1% · FIP 5.73
2025	27	MIX2 levels	26	15	98	4.85	4.81	21.3%	7.9%	0.1	K 18.4% · BB 7.3% · FIP 5.67
2026	28	MIX2 levels	29	21	110	5.95	5.13	16.8%	8.7%	-0.3	K 14.6% · BB 8.0% · FIP 5.34
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIA	12	12	71	5.42	5.42	15.5%	7.5%	-0.4
2028PROJ50% MLB	30	MLBMIA	6	6	34	5.42	5.49	15.9%	8.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ65% MLB	31	MLBMIA	7	7	40	5.49	5.60	16.1%	8.4%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJack Snodgrass (age 28) · Brad Mills (age 29) · Marco Tovar (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%15.5%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP71

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†3040

CH+0.7 (10%)

SI (13%)

CU (14%)

FB (28%)

SL-0.5 (3%)

CT-1.2 (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	7	1	15	62	16	4	1	14%	2.1	17.5%	8.1%	9.5%	2.3%	3.07	3.88	—
2021	23	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	7	1	15	62	16	4	1	14%	2.1	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	1.6%	3.07	2.62	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	110	454	122	32	13	100%	5.2	21.0%	8.0%	12.9%	3.8%	3.20	4.41	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	110	454	122	32	13	100%	5.2	26.9%	7.0%	19.8%	2.9%	3.20	3.29	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	123	513	121	52	17	100%	5.3	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	3.1%	4.18	4.49	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	123	513	121	52	17	100%	5.3	23.6%	10.1%	13.5%	3.3%	4.18	4.20	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	22	113	486	102	40	26	96%	4.9	17.5%	7.1%	10.4%	5.8%	5.50	5.73	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	22	113	486	102	40	26	96%	4.9	17.5%	7.1%	10.4%	5.8%	5.50	5.73	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	22	113	486	102	40	26	96%	4.9	21.0%	8.2%	12.8%	5.3%	5.50	5.35	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	15	98	417	89	33	19	58%	3.8	18.4%	7.3%	11.2%	5.8%	4.85	5.67	-0.8
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	15	98	417	89	33	19	58%	3.8	18.4%	7.3%	11.2%	5.8%	4.85	5.67	-0.8
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	15	98	417	89	33	19	58%	3.8	21.3%	7.9%	13.4%	4.6%	4.85	4.81	+0.1
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	21	110	482	81	42	20	72%	3.8	14.6%	8.0%	6.7%	4.5%	5.95	5.34	-0.6
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	21	110	482	81	42	20	72%	3.8	14.6%	8.0%	6.7%	4.5%	5.95	5.34	-0.6
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	21	110	482	81	42	20	72%	3.8	16.8%	8.7%	8.1%	4.1%	5.95	5.13	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	8	38	6	2	1	0%	3.8	15.8%	5.3%	10.5%	2.6%	9.39	4.01	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIA	12	12	71	300	46	23	13	100%	5.9	15.5%	7.5%	8.0%	4.2%	5.42	5.42	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIA	11	11	66	280	45	22	12	100%	6.0	15.9%	8.0%	8.0%	4.3%	5.42	5.49	-0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIA	10	10	62	261	42	22	11	100%	6.2	16.1%	8.4%	7.7%	4.4%	5.49	5.60	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIA	6	6	34	144	23	11	6	100%	5.7	15.9%	8.0%	8.0%	4.3%	5.42	5.49	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	40	169	27	14	7	100%	5.7	16.1%	8.4%	7.7%	4.4%	5.49	5.60	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	12	81	348	56	27	14	86%	5.8	16.0%	7.9%	8.1%	4.2%	5.83	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	30	200	858	138	67	35	86%	5.7	16.0%	7.9%	8.1%	4.2%	5.83	5.03	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		129	103	569	2414	440	201	109	80%	4.4	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	4.5%	4.68	5.08	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	36	200	849	155	71	38	80%	4.4	18.2%	8.3%	9.9%	4.5%	4.68	5.08	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Monteverde (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	15.5%	7.5%	4.2%	—	5.54	16.0%	7.8%	128	+0.12	—	—	—
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	63
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	63
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	61
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	60
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	58
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	57
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	57
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	57
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	54
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	54
Carlos Teller L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	29	SP-	4.86	14.3%	10.7%	2.9%	.297	4.74	12.6%	1.1%	148	-0.12	3.75	333	53
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	52
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	51
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	51
David Hurlbut L 2018 · 4.84 FIP	28	SP	4.84	13.9%	6.5%	3.8%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	478	51
John Lamb L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	28	SP	4.64	22.5%	7.2%	4.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	390	51
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	51
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	11.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	321	51
Kyle Hart L 2022 · 5.24 FIP	29	SW	5.24	17.4%	9.9%	4.3%	.286	4.29	18.4%	9.5%	196	-0.95	3.60	886	50
David Rollins L 2018 · 5.68 FIP	28	SP	5.68	15.9%	3.4%	6.4%	.435	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	132	49

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	69	15.8%	7.8%	1.63	5.59
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Ricky Stone ('07)	1.3	64	15.2%	8.0%	1.55	4.68
Ken MacKenzie ('60-'65, -3 WAR*)	1.0	69	20.1%*	7.3%*	1.83*	5.50*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*