Keshawn Ogans — OGILVIE

Keshawn OgansSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 172 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .259 / .255

PA172

HR1

K%26

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO57

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	116	104	27	3	0	1	5	25	5	9	0	260	325	317	642	58	325	22	4	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	2 teams	—	116	101	26	3	0	1	8	19	5	9	0	257	342	317	659	59	301	16	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	526	473	103	20	1	8	32	139	15	15	9	218	288	315	603	97	287	26	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	526	455	123	23	1	11	50	101	15	15	9	270	362	398	759	127	322	19	10	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	393	366	72	14	2	1	18	91	7	16	8	197	248	254	502	57	258	23	5	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	393	357	78	13	2	1	27	75	7	16	8	218	286	275	561	56	273	19	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	267	239	42	8	0	0	20	50	6	5	8	176	257	209	466	33	220	19	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	267	227	51	11	0	0	31	38	6	5	8	225	332	273	605	48	267	14	12	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	ATL	—	81	72	9	1	0	0	7	34	0	0	1	125	203	139	341	14	231	42	9	162	-18	-11	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
YTD	24	AA	ATL	—	81	68	10	1	0	0	11	26	0	0	1	147	266	162	428	15	233	32	14	211	20	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
ROS	24	AA	ATL	2%	172	157	31	6	0	1	11	45	2	3	2	197	259	255	514	57	263	26	6	235	38	-12	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.6
ROS	24	MLB	ATL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						263	33	0	224	30	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	ATL	—	84	75	9	1	0	0	7	35	0	0	1	120	195	133	328	13	220	42	8	164	-16	-11	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.8
TOT	24	AA	ATL	—	253	229	40	7	0	1	18	79	2	3	3	175	241	218	459	44	258	31	7	211	20	-23	-1	+0	+3	+7	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	ATL	31%	307	279	57	11	1	3	21	78	4	5	4	204	270	283	553	79	267	25	7	252	51	-17	-1	+0	+3	+9	-0.6
2028	26	MLB	ATL	45%	363	329	69	13	1	5	26	92	5	6	5	210	278	301	579	91	269	25	7	261	58	-17	-1	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	ATL	49%	387	351	74	14	1	6	28	98	5	6	5	211	279	308	586	97	270	25	7	265	61	-17	-1	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2030	28	MLB	ATL	52%	401	363	76	14	1	6	30	101	5	6	5	209	279	303	582	94	271	25	7	265	61	-18	-1	-1	+4	+11	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	ATL	31%	95	87	17	3	0	1	7	24	1	2	1	195	263	264	528	69	267	25	7	241	43	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	ATL	45%	162	148	30	6	0	2	11	41	2	3	2	203	267	284	551	81	269	25	7	251	50	-9	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	ATL	49%	190	171	37	7	1	3	14	48	3	3	3	216	287	322	609	105	270	25	7	254	53	-10	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2030	28	MLB	ATL	52%	207	187	39	7	1	3	15	52	3	3	3	209	278	305	583	96	271	25	7	255	53	-11	-1	-0	+2	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	657	596	123	23	2	9	47	166	9	11	9	206	275	297	572	91	269	25	7	252	51	-37	-1	-0	+7	+19	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	122	23	2	9	46	164	9	11	9	207	274	298	573	92	269	25	7	252	51	-36	-1	-0	+7	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2932	2661	551	103	7	31	191	719	54	71	46	207	274	286	560	79	269	25	7	251	51	-164	-4	-1	+31	+83	-5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	123	23	2	7	42	159	12	16	10	208	275	290	565	81	271	24	6	251	51	-36	-1	-0	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	A+	Rome Braves	—	28	24	4	1	0	0	3	7	0	0	0	167	259	208	468	42	222	25	11	218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	88	77	22	2	0	1	5	12	5	9	0	286	368	351	718	65	323	14	6	330	110	+1	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	21	A+	Rome Braves	—	454	388	103	22	1	9	46	87	14	10	8	265	364	397	761	131	316	19	10	342	120	+10	-1	—	—	+13	2.2
2023	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	72	67	20	1	0	2	4	14	1	5	1	299	347	403	750	104	353	19	6	338	117	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2024	22	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	393	357	78	13	2	1	27	75	7	16	8	218	286	275	561	56	273	19	7	260	57	-19	+0	—	—	+11	-0.8
2025	23	AA	Columbus Clingstones	—	114	95	17	3	0	0	15	22	2	4	3	179	304	211	514	32	227	19	13	250	49	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	23	A+	Rome Emperors	—	153	132	34	8	0	0	16	16	4	1	5	258	353	318	671	61	293	10	10	313	98	-0	-2	—	—	+4	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	659	9	11	209	274	299	+7	+6	-0.7	-0.3
	/162	664	9	11	209	274	299	+7.1	+6.0	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keshawn Ogans (OGILVIE)	24	50	25	40	45	175/241/218	44	258	1	3	31%	7%	20	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shawn Roof 2009 · AA	24	47	34→30	41→50	46	220/288/269	50	287	2	7	23%	7%	56	-1.3	229/284/286	57	304	2	13	24%	5%	59	-1.1	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Jorge Flores 2017 · AA	25	46→56	36→30	41→50	45	217/267/279	62	266	3	10	19%	5%	50	-1.8	219/278/305	86	270	8	10	21%	6%	62	-0.9	242/320/329	87	291	10	11	19%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Elliot Soto 2014 · AA	24	44→53	35→40	40→50	45	207/261/265	58	265	3	5	22%	6%	43	-2.2	219/284/273	54	287	3	7	22%	8%	56	-1.3	228/287/310	82	306	4	7	25%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Alfredo Lopez 2014 · AA	24	50	35→30	46→50	49	235/300/297	62	289	3	12	19%	8%	69	-0.4	226/283/290	64	284	2	15	20%	7%	59	-1.1	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	24	49→51	35→30	39→50	48	226/288/280	54	275	3	7	18%	7%	59	-1.1	222/284/293	71	273	5	13	19%	7%	61	-1.0	214/280/275	62	258	4	21	18%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Yhoxian Medina 2014 · A	24	48→53	36→30	41→50	48	222/289/291	69	283	3	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	237/287/302	65	297	3	11	20%	6%	64	-0.8	240/285/299	59	295	2	11	18%	5%	59	-0.6
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	218/272/287	69	290	5	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	206/269/263	57	283	2	5	26%	8%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2018 · A	24	48→56	35→30	44→45	41	224/265/275	51	288	3	10	23%	4%	47	-1.9	216/257/274	58	276	3	11	22%	4%	43	-2.2	230/268/284	54	294	2	9	22%	4%	48	-1.2
✕Zach Vincej 2015 · A	24	46→52	35→40	45→50	46	217/273/282	65	280	2	9	22%	6%	53	-1.5	226/276/302	76	283	5	8	21%	6%	59	-1.1	228/274/304	75	278	5	7	19%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Oswaldo Navarro 2009 · AAA	24	47→50	36→40	40→45	43	222/273/288	66	286	3	5	23%	6%	55	-1.4	221/282/293	72	292	4	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	213/279/293	80	273	6	3	23%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Blake Trahan 2018 · AA	24	46→51	35→30	48→50	45	215/264/276	60	265	3	13	19%	6%	47	-1.9	200/250/263	63	269	4	8	26%	5%	38	-2.6	190/240/244	54	260	4	5	27%	5%	27	-2.5
✕Edwin Garcia 2015 · AA	24	45	35→30	41→45	42	212/249/267	56	266	3	6	21%	5%	38	-2.6	221/257/277	56	278	2	7	20%	5%	43	-2.2	226/259/270	44	279	1	5	18%	4%	40	-1.2
✕Billy Rojo 2007 · A	24	46	37→30	42→50	46	219/274/298	79	274	4	7	21%	6%	58	-1.2	210/256/282	72	287	4	9	26%	5%	46	-2.0	196/228/253	57	271	2	12	28%	3%	24	-1.3
✕Omar Luna 2011 · AAA	24	44→54	35→30	46→50	39	206/230/264	57	254	3	10	20%	3%	29	-3.2	244/277/306	62	285	2	11	15%	4%	60	-1.0	259/293/316	57	296	2	11	13%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Ryan Gebhardt 2016 · AA	24	48	34→30	39→30	40	225/258/278	52	286	1	4	22%	4%	44	-2.1	219/259/289	70	271	4	5	20%	5%	49	-1.8	224/260/280	57	261	1	0	14%	4%	46	-0.7
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2013 · AAA	23	50	35→30	41→50	40	235/262/288	53	283	2	8	18%	3%	48	-1.9	249/285/311	62	302	3	11	18%	4%	65	-0.7	267/306/320	53	321	2	12	17%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Travis Harrison 2017 · AA	24	42→48	38→40	42→45	44	198/275/277	79	287	5	9	30%	8%	54	-1.4	183/271/272	89	287	6	9	35%	9%	53	-1.5	130/244/210	80	215	5	5	37%	10%	25	-1.9
✕Samar Leyva 2019 · AAA	24	50→55	37→40	45→50	40	237/272/310	73	280	5	11	18%	3%	59	-1.1	232/270/359	127	264	12	15	17%	3%	72	-0.2	230/265/363	132	257	12	17	16%	2%	69	-0.3
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	48	205/281/267	62	284	2	7	27%	9%	54	-1.4	202/269/283	81	288	6	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	150/216/208	58	216	7	5	32%	5%	10	-1.1
✕Luis Rivera 2008 · AA	24	49	34→30	47→45	42	228/265/282	54	271	2	8	17%	4%	49	-1.8	224/256/280	56	266	3	5	16%	4%	44	-2.1	230/256/270	40	269	1	2	15%	3%	38	-0.9