Billy Seidl

P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	MIX2 levels	8	9	1.00	3.32	23.5%	17.6%	—	K 23.5% · BB 17.6% · FIP 3.35
2023	23	ACWS	47	53	5.06	2.58	21.7%	10.7%	—	K 16.1% · BB 12.6% · FIP 3.34
2024	24	MIX2 levels	35	48	4.28	3.37	24.4%	12.2%	—	K 18.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 4.53
2027PROJ	27	MLBCWS	28	29	4.72	4.72	21.8%	11.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBCWS	10	10	4.73	4.76	21.8%	11.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Colón J (age 27) · Fernando Rodriguez Jr. (age 27) · C.C. Lee (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%21.8%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP29

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	9	34	8	6	0	0%	1.1	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	0.0%	1.00	3.35	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	9	34	8	6	0	0%	1.1	23.5%	17.6%	5.9%	0.0%	1.00	3.32	—
2023	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	47	0	53	244	53	26	0	0%	1.1	16.1%	12.6%	3.5%	0.0%	5.06	3.34	—
2023	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	47	0	53	244	53	26	0	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.7%	11.1%	0.0%	5.06	2.58	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	48	213	52	26	3	0%	1.4	18.3%	14.2%	4.2%	2.2%	4.28	4.53	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	48	213	52	26	3	0%	1.4	18.3%	14.2%	4.2%	2.2%	4.28	4.53	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	48	213	52	26	3	0%	1.4	24.4%	12.2%	12.2%	1.4%	4.28	3.37	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CWS	28	0	29	122	27	14	4	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.3%	10.4%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	27	0	28	118	26	13	4	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.5%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.5%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	9	5	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.2%	10.5%	3.1%	4.73	4.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	98	20	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.2%	10.5%	3.1%	4.73	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		90	0	111	491	86	67	5	0%	1.2	17.6%	13.6%	4.0%	0.9%	4.39	3.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	0	200	887	156	121	8	0%	1.2	17.6%	13.6%	4.0%	0.9%	4.39	3.85	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Billy Seidl (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	21.8%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.76	21.8%	10.5%	28	+0.04	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	88
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	88
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	87
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	85
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	85
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	85
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	84
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	84
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	84
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	83
Greg Aquino R 2005 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	21.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.357	4.34	22.5%	13.3%	62	-0.69	4.10	154	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	83
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	83
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	21.8%	11.3%	1.18	4.72
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*