Enmanuel Mejia
P
Durham Bulls
Age 27
RHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.84
FIP4.84
K%22.5%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 80 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.5% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 1.83 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | DSL Pirates 2 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 80 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 46.2% | 8.8% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 0.54 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 53 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.42 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 53 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.3% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 1.1% | 0.42 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 40 | 1 | 50 | 225 | 51 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.80 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 40 | 1 | 50 | 225 | 51 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 5.80 | 4.37 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 51 | 225 | 74 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 3.91 | 4.38 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 1 | 51 | 225 | 74 | 29 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 32.9% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 3.44 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 42 | 5 | 54 | 257 | 59 | 35 | 12 | 12% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.83 | 5.72 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 42 | 5 | 54 | 257 | 59 | 35 | 12 | 12% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 7.83 | 5.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 32 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 97 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.84 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 173 | 7 | 218 | 968 | 221 | 138 | 27 | 4% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.53 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 159 | 6 | 200 | 889 | 203 | 126 | 25 | 4% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Enmanuel Mejia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 3.3% | — | 4.87 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 34 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 84 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 83 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 83 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.33 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | .256 | 4.63 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.70 | 2.69 | 315 | 82 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 82 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 82 |
| Braden Zarbnisky R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.04 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 81 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 1.30 | 4.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |