Jesus Bugarin — OGILVIE

Jesus BugarinOF Spokane Indians

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .233 / .290

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%3

BABIP276

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	31	29	7	0	0	1	2	7	0	3	4	241	290	345	635	103	286	23	6	287	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	191	165	56	6	0	4	18	25	6	14	10	339	423	448	872	109	377	13	9	391	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	202	184	62	9	5	4	15	50	2	7	6	337	393	505	898	168	443	25	7	395	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	477	458	120	14	5	10	11	128	3	12	7	262	284	380	664	118	340	27	2	292	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	45	42	11	2	0	2	1	7	2	0	0	262	311	452	763	190	273	16	2	339	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	270	67	10	0	7	5	73	2	6	1	248	267	363	630	115	314	26	2	278	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	222	208	44	8	0	2	11	63	2	8	0	212	258	279	537	67	292	28	5	245	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	31	30	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	3	4	133	161	133	295		191	29	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	191	171	40	4	0	2	12	30	6	14	10	234	307	292	599	58	261	16	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	202	190	44	6	3	3	9	74	2	7	6	232	274	342	616	111	350	37	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	477	461	99	11	4	6	8	176	3	12	7	215	233	295	528	80	325	37	2	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	272	54	7	0	5	3	99	2	6	1	199	213	279	492	81	289	35	1	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	222	211	33	6	0	1	8	85	2	8	0	156	195	199	394	43	248	38	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	31	30	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	3	4	133	161	133	295		190	29	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	31	29	7	0	0	1	2	7	0	3	4	241	290	345	635	103	286	23	6	287	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	191	171	40	4	0	2	12	30	6	14	10	234	307	292	599	58	270	16	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	191	165	56	6	0	4	18	25	6	14	10	339	423	448	872	109	377	13	9	391	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	202	190	44	6	3	3	9	74	2	7	6	232	274	342	616	111	360	37	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	202	184	62	9	5	4	15	50	2	7	6	337	393	505	898	168	443	25	7	395	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	522	503	108	12	5	6	9	193	5	12	7	215	236	294	530	80	331	37	2	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	522	500	131	16	5	12	12	135	5	12	7	262	286	386	672	124	333	26	2	296	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	272	54	7	0	5	3	99	2	6	1	199	213	279	492	81	290	35	1	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	279	270	67	10	0	7	5	73	2	6	1	248	267	363	630	115	314	26	2	278	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	222	211	33	6	0	1	8	85	2	8	0	156	195	199	394	43	254	38	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	222	208	44	8	0	2	11	63	2	8	0	212	258	279	537	67	292	28	5	245	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	31	30	4	0	0	0	1	9	0	3	4	133	161	133	295		191	29	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	191	171	40	4	0	2	12	30	6	14	10	234	307	292	599	58	261	16	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	202	189	44	6	3	3	9	74	2	7	6	233	274	344	618	111	350	37	4	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	522	503	108	12	5	6	9	193	5	12	7	215	236	294	530	80	325	37	2	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	272	54	7	0	5	3	99	2	6	1	199	213	279	492	81	289	35	1	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	222	210	33	6	0	1	8	85	2	8	0	157	195	200	395	43	248	38	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	272	54	7	0	5	3	99	2	6	1	199	213	279	492	81	289	35	1	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	222	210	33	6	0	1	8	85	2	8	0	157	195	200	395	43	248	38	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	272	260	50	10	1	3	8	80	2	5	1	193	224	272	496	78	265	29	3	222	37	-20	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	202	233	290	523	88	276	0	0	234	37	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	137	130	26	5	1	2	5	40	1	3	1	197	230	283	514	86	266	29	4	230	42	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	42	41	9	2	0	1	1	12	0	1	0	206	240	303	542	97	278	29	2	242	42	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	42	41	9	2	0	1	1	12	0	1	0	220	238	341	580	122	286	29	2	242	39	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	635	139	31	0	15	15	186	0	15	0	219	237	339	576	120	286	29	2	242	39	-45	+3	+0	-4	+14	-3.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1687	1605	328	44	9	20	50	560	19	55	29	204	237	280	518	76	297	33	3	226	39	-17	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	618	126	17	3	8	19	216	7	21	11	204	236	280	516	76	296	33	3	226	39	-47	+2	+0	-4	+14	-3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Bugarin (OGILVIE)	25	30	25	50	20	192/223/269	78	265	1	2	29%	3%	37	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Martin 2018 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	48→55	34	197/232/271	75	287	6	14	33%	4%	40	-3.0	201/249/300	99	314	9	15	37%	6%	54	-2.0	180/233/274	94	291	8	19	39%	6%	42	-2.0
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	185/228/263	78	252	7	15	29%	5%	37	-3.3	204/242/303	99	290	8	11	31%	4%	52	-2.2	197/221/298	101	278	7	9	31%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Warren Schaeffer 2010 · A	25	40	38→30	48→40	38	194/236/267	73	260	5	7	27%	4%	41	-3.0	200/245/269	69	274	4	4	27%	4%	45	-2.7	188/233/242	55	259	2	2	27%	3%	31	-1.7
✕Cristopher Navarro 2024 · AA	25	38	35→30	47→45	38	181/228/241	59	266	3	5	32%	6%	32	-3.6	208/268/297	89	286	7	8	28%	7%	61	-1.5	203/272/274	71	272	7	4	26%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Ryan Coultas 2007 · A	25	40	38→40	50→45	38	197/233/274	78	260	5	10	26%	4%	41	-3.0	201/241/284	83	279	6	8	29%	5%	47	-2.6	194/229/271	77	269	6	3	29%	4%	36	-1.4
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	36	172/214/248	76	250	5	4	33%	5%	29	-3.8	180/221/240	60	267	5	3	33%	5%	29	-3.8	163/200/201	38	244	3	0	33%	4%	10	-1.7
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Michael Rockett 2012 · AA	25	41→35	38→40	43→45	33	201/225/281	81	278	6	6	30%	3%	40	-3.1	211/237/311	100	310	8	7	33%	3%	51	-2.2	205/219/320	114	305	8	5	35%	1%	42	-1.3
✕Scott Burcham 2018 · A	25	43	37→30	46→50	38	205/248/278	73	282	4	12	28%	5%	48	-2.5	202/252/275	73	290	5	11	30%	6%	49	-2.4	184/231/243	59	279	4	9	34%	5%	32	-1.2
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	199/280/298	99	306	7	12	35%	7%	67	-1.1	165/264/278	113	272	8	12	38%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Justin Miller 2014 · A	25	39→36	42→45	51→50	39	197/245/303	106	263	9	12	28%	5%	53	-2.1	197/247/298	101	284	8	10	32%	6%	53	-2.1	160/209/244	84	239	7	5	35%	6%	24	-1.5
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Michael Soto 2016 · A	24	40→37	41→40	50→45	38	201/242/296	96	273	8	7	29%	5%	50	-2.3	191/237/272	81	289	6	8	34%	5%	43	-2.8	124/165/156	32	209	3	2	41%	5%	-13	-1.6