Brendan Hardy

P ACL Rockies

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX3 levels	24	35	1.80	1.50	38.6%	9.3%	—	K 26.0% · BB 12.9% · FIP 2.54
2024	24	AACOL	34	40	4.08	3.43	25.1%	11.7%	—	K 20.4% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.27
2025	25	MIX2 levels	13	14	5.02	3.66	29.3%	17.3%	—	K 21.6% · BB 17.0% · FIP 3.43
2027PROJ	27	MLBCOL	11	12	4.80	4.80	22.3%	12.5%	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	28	MLBCOL	7	7	4.80	4.84	22.3%	12.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Colón J (age 27) · Cole McDonald (age 27) · Spencer Bivens (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%22.3%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.8%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	9	0	16	76	19	12	1	0%	1.8	17.0%	19.7%	-2.7%	1.8%	3.31	5.18	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	9	0	16	76	19	12	1	0%	1.8	25.0%	15.8%	9.2%	1.3%	3.31	3.77	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	25	139	31	38	2	4%	1.1	15.9%	33.1%	-17.2%	1.9%	12.43	6.99	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	1	25	139	31	38	2	4%	1.1	22.3%	27.3%	-5.0%	1.4%	12.43	6.18	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	29	125	46	21	0	0%	1.3	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	0.0%	2.79	3.74	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	29	125	46	21	0	0%	1.3	36.8%	16.8%	20.0%	0.0%	2.79	2.10	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	35	140	54	13	1	0%	1.5	26.0%	12.9%	13.0%	0.0%	1.80	2.54	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	0	35	140	54	13	1	0%	1.5	38.6%	9.3%	29.3%	0.7%	1.80	1.50	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	34	0	40	171	43	20	3	0%	1.2	20.4%	12.9%	7.5%	2.3%	4.08	4.27	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	34	0	40	171	43	20	3	0%	1.2	20.4%	12.9%	7.5%	2.3%	4.08	4.27	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	34	0	40	171	43	20	3	0%	1.2	25.1%	11.7%	13.5%	1.8%	4.08	3.43	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	14	75	22	13	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	17.0%	4.6%	0.0%	5.02	3.43	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	14	75	22	13	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	17.0%	4.6%	0.0%	5.02	3.43	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	14	75	22	13	1	0%	1.1	29.3%	17.3%	12.0%	1.3%	5.02	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	COL	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.5%	9.8%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.3%	9.9%	3.1%	4.80	4.84	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.3%	9.9%	3.1%	4.80	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.3%	9.9%	3.1%	4.80	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.3%	9.9%	3.1%	4.80	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		127	1	160	726	153	140	8	1%	1.3	21.0%	19.3%	1.7%	1.1%	4.68	4.38	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	1	200	909	191	176	10	1%	1.3	21.0%	19.3%	1.7%	1.1%	4.68	4.38	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brendan Hardy (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	22.3%	12.5%	2.9%	—	4.84	22.3%	9.9%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	86
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	83
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	83
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	83
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	82
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	82
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	82
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	81
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	81
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	81
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	81
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	81
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	81
Greg Aquino R 2005 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	21.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.357	4.34	22.5%	13.3%	62	-0.69	4.10	154	81
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	81