Evan Sisk

P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 214 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	AAAKC	58	0	57	1.57	1.63	35.4%	11.4%	—	K 30.4% · BB 10.2% · FIP 1.83
2025	28	MIX2 levels	57	0	55	4.12	3.21	26.6%	9.9%	0.9	K 24.3% · BB 9.3% · FIP 3.52
2026	29	MIX2 levels	59	1	67	2.84	2.60	27.2%	11.4%	1.6	K 25.8% · BB 11.1% · FIP 2.73
2027PROJ	30	MLBPIT	67	0	70	3.79	3.94	24.8%	11.5%	0.5
2028PROJ95% MLB	31	MLBPIT	59	0	62	4.06	4.21	23.9%	11.6%	0.2
2029PROJ95% MLB	32	MLBPIT	54	0	57	4.31	4.47	23.1%	11.8%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%67

Whiff%63

xwOBA vs63

FB Velo10

CompsRaul Valdes (age 32) · Ryan O'Rourke (age 31) · Yuki Matsui (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8896vR 104

ERA3.79

FIP3.94

K%24.8%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%13.3%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3030

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.5

Whiff%

p6327.4%

p6725.4%

xwOBA vs

p630.299

SI (31%)

CU (27%)

FB-0.9 (48%)

CH-1.1 (9%)

SL-1.4 (17%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	20	1	31	122	35	11	1	5%	1.5	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	1.1%	1.76	3.51	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	20	1	31	122	35	11	1	5%	1.5	28.7%	9.0%	19.7%	0.8%	1.76	2.32	—
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	61	262	56	25	3	0%	1.5	15.8%	11.3%	4.6%	1.3%	3.25	3.93	—
2019	22	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	61	262	56	25	3	0%	1.5	21.4%	9.5%	11.8%	1.1%	3.25	3.13	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	258	69	34	4	0%	1.4	21.4%	14.7%	6.7%	1.7%	3.91	4.08	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	53	258	69	34	4	0%	1.4	26.7%	13.2%	13.6%	1.6%	3.91	3.40	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	63	255	76	28	2	0%	1.3	25.3%	11.7%	13.6%	1.0%	1.57	2.97	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	63	255	76	28	2	0%	1.3	29.8%	11.0%	18.8%	0.8%	1.57	2.43	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	3	61	290	62	39	6	5%	1.1	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	2.4%	6.34	4.41	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	3	61	290	62	39	6	5%	1.1	21.4%	13.4%	7.9%	2.1%	6.34	4.26	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	30.4%	10.2%	20.2%	0.0%	1.57	1.83	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	30.4%	10.2%	20.2%	0.0%	1.57	1.83	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	35.4%	11.4%	24.0%	0.0%	1.57	1.63	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	24.3%	9.3%	14.9%	2.3%	4.12	3.52	+0.7
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	24.3%	9.3%	14.9%	2.3%	4.12	3.52	+0.7
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	26.6%	9.9%	16.7%	2.0%	4.12	3.21	+0.9
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	67	290	79	33	2	2%	1.1	25.8%	11.1%	14.7%	0.7%	2.84	2.73	+1.5
2026	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	67	290	79	33	2	2%	1.1	25.8%	11.1%	14.7%	0.7%	2.84	2.73	+1.5
2026	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	1	67	290	79	33	2	2%	1.1	27.2%	11.4%	15.9%	0.7%	2.84	2.60	+1.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			60	0	62	277	75	35	3	0%	1.0	27.1%	12.6%	14.4%	1.1%	3.18	3.00	+1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	PIT	67	0	70	296	73	34	6	0%	1.0	24.8%	11.5%	13.3%	2.0%	3.79	3.94	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	62	0	65	274	66	32	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.6%	12.3%	2.3%	4.06	4.21	+0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	PIT	57	0	60	253	58	30	7	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.2%	2.6%	4.31	4.47	+0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	59	0	62	262	63	30	6	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.6%	12.3%	2.3%	4.06	4.21	+0.2
2029	32	MLB CTX	PIT	54	0	57	241	56	28	6	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.2%	2.6%	4.31	4.47	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		173	0	181	778	193	94	15	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.0%	12.7%	2.0%	3.83	3.62	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	860	213	104	17	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.0%	12.7%	2.0%	3.83	3.62	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		382	5	447	1958	444	225	27	1%	1.2	22.7%	11.5%	11.2%	1.4%	3.24	3.39	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	2	200	875	199	101	12	1%	1.2	22.7%	11.5%	11.2%	1.4%	3.24	3.39	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Sisk (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.94	24.8%	11.5%	2.0%	—	4.33	23.5%	11.8%	125	+0.39	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	80
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	79
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	78
Daniel Rodriguez L 2015 · 2.89 FIP	30	SU	2.89	20.2%	9.4%	0.6%	.256	4.17	16.3%	5.9%	234	+1.28	2.89	391	77
Doug Slaten L 2010 · 3.22 FIP	30	SU	3.22	20.7%	9.8%	1.1%	.269	4.85	13.5%	3.1%	29	+1.63	3.22	139	76
Matt Thornton L 2007 · 3.13 FIP	30	SU	3.13	22.1%	8.0%	1.6%	.324	2.19	30.7%	24.4%	200	-0.94	1.71	663	76
Scott Rice L 2013 · 3.10 FIP	31	SU	3.10	19.2%	10.8%	0.5%	.277	3.85	22.1%	5.0%	53	+0.75	3.10	104	74
Brian Moran L 2019 · 3.40 FIP	30	SU	3.40	26.9%	10.0%	2.4%	.269	2.99	25.5%	18.5%	99	-0.41	1.80	421	74
Pedro Feliciano L 2007 · 3.07 FIP	30	SU	3.07	22.2%	9.8%	1.1%	.239	3.28	21.8%	14.5%	175	+0.21	2.69	378	74
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	74
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	2.82	432	73
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	73
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	73
Jason Christiansen L 2000 · 3.08 FIP	30	SU	3.08	25.2%	10.5%	1.4%	.288	4.28	20.1%	10.6%	62	+1.20	2.22	429	72
Tony Sipp L 2013 · 4.38 FIP	30	SU	4.38	24.0%	11.4%	3.4%	.271	3.74	27.3%	19.7%	149	-0.64	2.22	504	72
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	72
Zach Phillips L 2017 · 2.85 FIP	30	SU	2.85	19.2%	8.6%	0.5%	.301	3.67	19.1%	10.6%	36	+0.82	2.33	202	72
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	0.55	218	72
Scott Sauerbeck L 2002 · 2.79 FIP	30	SU	2.79	27.5%	9.0%	1.6%	.291	4.27	20.4%	8.0%	92	+1.48	2.79	386	71
Heriberto Ruelas L 2015 · 2.95 FIP	33	SU	2.95	19.1%	7.3%	1.0%	.352	3.57	16.2%	8.5%	89	+0.62	2.95	117	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	64	24.7%	11.9%	0.78	3.83
Chad Fox ('09)	1.1	57	25.8%	13.2%	0.87	3.79
Jose Arredondo ('12)	1.1	55	22.7%	11.8%	0.86	3.27
Scott Strickland ('10)	1.2	60	23.4%	10.8%	0.93	3.38
Marshall Bridges ('59-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	49	26.7%*	12.3%*	0.88*	4.15*
Ray Searage ('81-'90, 4 WAR*)	1.4	41	21.0%*	10.8%*	0.84*	3.70*
Dave Geisel ('78-'85, 2 WAR*)	1.0	42	23.5%*	10.6%*	0.84*	4.12*