Ben Madison

P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	24	MIX2 levels	25	34	2.65	1.42	39.1%	12.3%	—	K 31.3% · BB 15.9% · FIP 2.47
2023	25	MIX2 levels	41	70	3.47	3.17	35.5%	16.9%	—	K 27.9% · BB 18.9% · FIP 4.31
2024	26	MIX2 levels	31	50	5.58	2.98	30.9%	16.1%	—	K 24.6% · BB 17.9% · FIP 3.81
2027PROJ	29	MLBSF	32	34	4.75	4.75	23.6%	13.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBSF	10	10	4.81	4.89	23.2%	13.0%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%23.6%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP34

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	16	74	23	9	0	100%	1.8	21.1%	15.2%	5.9%	0.0%	3.38	3.24	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Orange	9	9	16	74	23	9	0	100%	1.8	31.1%	12.2%	18.9%	0.0%	3.38	1.91	—
2019	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	8	0	20	83	19	7	1	0%	2.5	16.9%	10.0%	7.0%	1.4%	4.58	3.72	—
2019	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	8	0	20	83	19	7	1	0%	2.5	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	1.2%	4.58	2.90	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	34	138	54	17	0	0%	1.4	31.3%	15.9%	15.4%	0.0%	2.65	2.47	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	34	138	54	17	0	0%	1.4	39.1%	12.3%	26.8%	0.0%	2.65	1.42	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	70	296	105	50	5	0%	1.7	27.9%	18.9%	9.0%	2.1%	3.47	4.31	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	70	296	105	50	5	0%	1.7	35.5%	16.9%	18.6%	1.7%	3.47	3.17	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	50	236	73	38	2	0%	1.6	24.6%	17.9%	6.7%	1.0%	5.58	3.81	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	50	236	73	38	2	0%	1.6	24.6%	17.9%	6.7%	1.0%	5.58	3.81	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	50	236	73	38	2	0%	1.6	30.9%	16.1%	14.8%	0.8%	5.58	2.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	SF	32	0	34	144	34	19	4	0%	1.1	23.6%	13.1%	10.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SF	31	0	32	136	32	18	4	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.81	4.89	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	SF	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.81	4.89	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	43	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	13.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.81	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	119	20	0%	1.1	23.2%	13.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.81	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		114	9	190	827	214	140	10	8%	1.7	25.8%	16.9%	8.9%	1.2%	3.99	3.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	9	200	872	225	147	10	8%	1.7	25.8%	16.9%	8.9%	1.2%	3.99	3.71	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Madison (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	23.6%	13.1%	2.9%	—	4.89	23.2%	10.2%	32	+0.14	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	79
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Jose Veras R 2010 · 4.10 FIP	29	SU	4.10	26.9%	14.4%	2.6%	.239	3.42	25.3%	14.8%	201	-0.68	3.37	422	78
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	77
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	77
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	77
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	76
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75
Leonel Campos R 2016 · 3.58 FIP	29	SU	3.58	24.9%	13.8%	1.5%	.328	3.70	25.7%	13.9%	46	+0.12	2.62	168	75
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	75
Alex Powers R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	29	SU	4.24	25.0%	10.3%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	264	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	23.4%	13.1%	1.17	4.78
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82