Blake Whitney

P Tennessee Smokies

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	MIX2 levels	35	0	69	4.17	3.65	25.3%	7.8%	—	K 20.9% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.31
2023	27	MIX2 levels	39	0	70	3.20	3.10	26.9%	9.3%	—	K 22.3% · BB 9.5% · FIP 3.46
2024	28	AATennessee Smo…	41	3	66	3.14	3.65	28.5%	7.4%	—	K 23.1% · BB 8.1% · FIP 5.04
2027PROJ	31	MLBCHC	41	0	43	4.33	4.33	23.3%	8.7%	0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBCHC	11	0	12	4.46	4.55	22.8%	9.1%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Mike Broadway (age 31) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.33

FIP4.33

K%23.3%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%14.6%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	9	9	31	132	37	17	1	100%	3.5	19.1%	16.1%	3.0%	1.1%	2.30	4.11	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	9	9	31	132	37	17	1	100%	3.5	28.0%	12.9%	15.2%	0.8%	2.30	2.78	—
2019	23	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	2	0	3	15	4	0	0	0%	1.5	26.7%	0.0%	26.7%	0.0%	6.00	0.85	—
2019	23	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	2	0	3	15	4	0	0	0%	1.5	26.7%	0.0%	26.7%	0.0%	6.00	0.43	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	2	46	207	67	21	11	7%	1.7	25.6%	12.1%	13.5%	6.8%	6.41	6.22	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	2	46	207	67	21	11	7%	1.7	32.4%	10.1%	22.2%	5.3%	6.41	4.65	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	69	293	74	23	9	0%	2.0	20.9%	8.4%	12.5%	3.5%	4.17	4.31	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	69	293	74	23	9	0%	2.0	25.3%	7.8%	17.4%	3.1%	4.17	3.65	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	70	301	81	28	6	0%	1.8	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	1.9%	3.20	3.46	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	70	301	81	28	6	0%	1.8	26.9%	9.3%	17.6%	2.0%	3.20	3.10	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	23.1%	8.1%	15.0%	5.2%	3.14	5.04	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	23.1%	8.1%	15.0%	5.2%	3.14	5.04	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	41	3	66	270	77	20	10	7%	1.6	28.5%	7.4%	21.1%	3.7%	3.14	3.65	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CHC	41	0	43	182	42	16	6	0%	1.0	23.3%	8.7%	14.6%	3.1%	4.33	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	38	0	40	168	38	15	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.1%	13.7%	3.4%	4.46	4.55	0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	11	0	12	51	12	5	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.1%	13.7%	3.4%	4.46	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	53	12	5	2	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.1%	13.7%	3.4%	4.46	4.17	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	80	32	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.1%	13.7%	3.4%	4.46	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		153	14	286	1218	273	121	46	9%	1.9	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.7%	3.87	4.52	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	10	200	852	191	85	32	9%	1.9	22.4%	10.0%	12.4%	3.7%	3.87	4.52	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Whitney (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.33	23.3%	8.7%	3.1%	—	4.55	22.8%	13.7%	40	+0.22	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	83
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	78
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	77
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	75
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	75
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	75
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	335	75
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	74
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	73
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	73
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	73
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	73
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	73
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	23.1%	8.9%	1.25	4.39
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*