Josh Green — OGILVIE

Josh Green P Reno Aces

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 211 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 9 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%19.5%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	126	505	101	21	3	100%	5.7	15.7%	4.7%	11.0%	0.7%	2.71	2.77	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	126	505	101	21	3	100%	5.7	20.0%	4.2%	15.8%	0.6%	2.71	2.31	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	26	15	99	470	62	30	21	58%	3.8	11.6%	6.7%	4.9%	5.1%	7.34	5.79	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	26	15	99	470	62	30	21	58%	3.8	13.2%	6.4%	6.8%	4.5%	7.34	5.51	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	2	59	279	44	29	8	5%	1.6	12.9%	11.2%	1.7%	3.2%	7.02	5.16	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	2	59	279	44	29	8	5%	1.6	15.8%	10.4%	5.4%	2.9%	7.02	4.85	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	65	281	52	21	7	0%	1.7	15.5%	7.4%	8.1%	2.5%	4.55	4.08	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	65	281	52	21	7	0%	1.7	18.5%	7.5%	11.0%	2.5%	4.55	3.87	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	22	98	16	14	1	6%	1.3	8.8%	13.8%	-5.0%	1.3%	5.32	4.80	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	22	98	16	14	1	6%	1.3	8.8%	13.8%	-5.0%	1.3%	5.32	4.80	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	1	22	98	16	14	1	6%	1.3	16.3%	14.3%	2.0%	1.0%	5.32	4.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	ARI	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.2%	9.3%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	16	9	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.84	4.93	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.84	4.93	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.84	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.84	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		142	40	372	1633	222	121	45	28%	2.6	13.6%	7.4%	6.2%	2.7%	5.10	4.39	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		76	22	200	878	119	65	24	28%	2.6	13.6%	7.4%	6.2%	2.7%	5.10	4.39	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Green (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	19.5%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.93	19.4%	8.9%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	73
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	71
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	70
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	69
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	69
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	69
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	69
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	69
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	69
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	68
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	68
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	68
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	67
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	2.92	432	66
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	66
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	65
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	65
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	65
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	65