Blas Castaño

P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 28 RHP 5'10" / 162 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #519

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	29	26	125	4.38	3.96	20.0%	8.0%	—	K 16.9% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.24
2025	26	MIX2 levels	30	24	130	5.28	4.32	17.4%	9.4%	0.9	K 15.3% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.16
2026	27	MIX2 levels	39	0	58	3.72	4.17	18.4%	10.0%	0.3	K 17.1% · BB 9.4% · FIP 4.17
2027PROJ	28	MLBCOL	23	23	150	4.79	4.83	16.7%	9.1%	0.1
2028PROJ61% MLB	29	MLBCOL	13	13	87	4.85	4.93	16.7%	9.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ72% MLB	30	MLBCOL	15	15	96	4.97	5.09	16.4%	9.4%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo50

K%27

Whiff%10

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsEddie Bonine (age 28) · Zach Stewart (age 28) · Clay Condrey (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.79

FIP4.83

K%16.7%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP150

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 150 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4045

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1018.6%

p2718.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.367

CT+0.6 (40%)

SI (6%)

SL (12%)

CH-0.8 (32%)

FB-1.7 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	11	7	40	189	30	20	2	64%	3.6	10.8%	13.2%	-2.4%	1.5%	5.40	4.68	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	11	7	40	189	30	20	2	64%	3.6	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	1.1%	5.40	3.75	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	14	10	67	294	41	14	7	71%	4.8	9.5%	6.0%	3.5%	3.3%	4.05	4.88	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	14	10	67	294	41	14	7	71%	4.8	13.9%	4.8%	9.2%	2.4%	4.05	3.87	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	45	191	55	10	2	80%	4.5	19.3%	5.7%	13.6%	1.6%	4.17	3.06	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	8	45	191	55	10	2	80%	4.5	28.8%	5.2%	23.6%	1.0%	4.17	1.91	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	107	465	103	34	12	95%	4.9	17.2%	8.4%	8.8%	2.2%	3.86	3.91	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	107	465	103	34	12	95%	4.9	22.2%	7.3%	14.8%	2.6%	3.86	3.58	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	11	78	336	75	35	8	42%	3.0	18.2%	12.0%	6.2%	3.5%	4.37	5.01	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	11	78	336	75	35	8	42%	3.0	22.3%	10.4%	11.9%	2.4%	4.37	3.85	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	16.9%	7.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.38	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	16.9%	7.9%	9.0%	2.9%	4.38	4.24	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	20.0%	8.0%	12.0%	2.8%	4.38	3.96	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	15.3%	8.4%	6.9%	2.3%	5.28	4.16	+1.1
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	15.3%	8.4%	6.9%	2.3%	5.28	4.16	+1.1
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	2.7%	5.28	4.32	+0.9
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	58	239	44	24	6	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.4%	7.6%	2.4%	3.72	4.17	+0.3
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	58	239	44	24	6	0%	1.5	17.1%	9.4%	7.6%	2.4%	3.72	4.17	+0.3
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	58	239	44	24	6	0%	1.5	18.4%	10.0%	8.4%	2.5%	3.72	4.17	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	30	127	22	11	5	0%	1.9	17.3%	8.7%	8.7%	3.9%	4.15	4.88	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	COL	23	23	150	633	106	58	19	100%	6.5	16.7%	9.1%	7.6%	2.9%	4.79	4.83	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	22	22	143	604	101	55	19	100%	6.5	16.7%	9.2%	7.5%	3.1%	4.85	4.93	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	134	567	93	53	19	100%	6.4	16.4%	9.4%	7.0%	3.3%	4.97	5.09	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	13	13	87	367	61	34	11	100%	6.7	16.7%	9.2%	7.5%	3.1%	4.85	4.93	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	COL	15	15	96	405	66	38	13	100%	6.4	16.4%	9.4%	7.0%	3.3%	4.97	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		44	28	213	900	149	83	30	64%	4.8	16.6%	9.2%	7.4%	3.3%	4.81	4.67	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	26	200	843	140	78	28	64%	4.8	16.6%	9.2%	7.4%	3.3%	4.81	4.67	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		181	107	651	2816	444	245	72	59%	3.6	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.6%	4.43	4.27	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	33	200	866	137	75	22	59%	3.6	15.8%	8.7%	7.1%	2.6%	4.43	4.27	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blas Castaño (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	16.7%	9.1%	2.9%	—	5.01	16.5%	7.2%	277	+0.18	—	—	—
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	79
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	78
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	78
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	77
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	76
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	75
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	75
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	75
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	73
Jeff Manship R 2013 · 5.11 FIP	28	SW	5.11	12.9%	7.9%	3.8%	.298	3.57	20.0%	11.7%	137	-1.54	2.83	250	73
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	73
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	73
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	72
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	72
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	72
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	71
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	70
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	114	16.6%	9.2%	1.22	4.82
Bill Posedel ('38-'46, 1 WAR*)	3.4	136	16.9%*	8.8%*	1.33*	5.19*
Julio Moreno ('50-'53, 1 WAR*)	1.7	84	15.5%*	9.0%*	1.33*	4.65*
Ray Phelps ('30-'36, 2 WAR*)	3.0	120	17.3%*	8.7%*	1.39*	4.70*
Dave Mlicki ('02)	6.2	137	15.3%	8.6%	1.25	4.72
Garrett Stephenson ('03)	3.3	109	14.5%	8.4%	1.26	4.55
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	106	20.5%	9.7%	1.30	4.61