Alan Perdomo — OGILVIE

Alan Perdomo P Spokane Indians

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 150 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153144vR 136

ERA6.29

FIP6.29

K%10.0%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%-4.8%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3535

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	16	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	12	4	28	134	17	12	4	33%	2.4	8.6%	11.2%	-2.6%	4.2%	6.99	6.08	—
2018	16	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	12	4	28	134	17	12	4	33%	2.4	12.7%	9.0%	3.7%	3.0%	6.99	5.01	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	12	58	242	44	11	7	100%	4.8	12.4%	5.7%	6.7%	4.0%	2.95	5.00	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	12	58	242	44	11	7	100%	4.8	18.2%	4.5%	13.6%	2.9%	2.95	3.72	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	6	33	137	33	6	2	55%	3.0	16.4%	5.5%	10.9%	1.9%	3.78	3.45	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	6	33	137	33	6	2	55%	3.0	24.1%	4.4%	19.7%	1.5%	3.78	2.44	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	18	0	24	103	18	4	3	0%	1.3	11.9%	4.9%	7.0%	3.3%	5.25	4.53	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	18	0	24	103	18	4	3	0%	1.3	17.5%	3.9%	13.6%	2.9%	5.25	3.73	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	24	0	35	149	35	7	2	0%	1.4	16.0%	5.9%	10.1%	1.8%	5.71	3.49	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	24	0	35	149	35	7	2	0%	1.4	23.5%	4.7%	18.8%	1.3%	5.71	2.44	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	53	231	37	22	3	3%	1.5	12.9%	10.6%	2.3%	1.7%	3.76	4.27	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	53	231	37	22	3	3%	1.5	12.9%	10.6%	2.3%	1.7%	3.76	4.27	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	53	231	37	22	3	3%	1.5	16.0%	9.5%	6.5%	1.3%	3.76	3.69	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	44	0	50	231	31	24	11	0%	1.1	10.3%	11.9%	-1.6%	6.0%	6.48	7.01	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	44	0	50	231	31	24	11	0%	1.1	10.3%	11.9%	-1.6%	6.0%	6.48	7.01	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	44	0	50	231	31	24	11	0%	1.1	13.4%	10.4%	3.0%	4.8%	6.48	6.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	COL	67	0	70	296	30	44	10	0%	1.0	10.0%	14.8%	-4.8%	3.2%	6.29	6.29	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	67	0	70	296	38	42	10	0%	1.0	12.7%	14.2%	-1.5%	3.2%	6.02	5.97	-1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	66	0	69	291	39	40	9	0%	1.0	13.5%	13.9%	-0.4%	3.3%	5.89	5.88	-1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	64	0	67	282	39	39	9	0%	1.0	13.9%	13.8%	0.1%	3.3%	5.86	5.89	-1.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	61	0	64	270	38	38	9	0%	1.0	13.9%	13.9%	-0.0%	3.5%	5.91	5.98	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	29	0	30	127	16	18	4	0%	1.0	12.7%	14.2%	-1.5%	3.2%	6.02	5.97	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	41	0	43	182	25	25	6	0%	1.0	13.5%	13.9%	-0.4%	3.3%	5.89	5.88	-0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	48	0	50	211	29	29	7	0%	1.0	13.9%	13.8%	0.1%	3.3%	5.86	5.89	-0.7
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	50	0	52	220	31	31	8	0%	1.0	13.9%	13.9%	-0.0%	3.5%	5.91	5.98	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	101	103	25	0%	1.1	13.6%	13.9%	-0.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.55	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	115	117	28	0%	1.1	13.6%	13.9%	-0.3%	3.3%	5.91	5.55	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		155	23	281	1227	154	102	42	15%	1.8	12.5%	8.3%	4.2%	3.4%	4.77	4.96	-4.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	16	200	873	109	73	30	15%	1.8	12.5%	8.3%	4.2%	3.4%	4.77	4.96	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alan Perdomo (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.29	10.0%	14.8%	3.2%	—	5.91	13.4%	-0.6%	206	-0.38	—	—	—
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	82
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	82
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	81
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	80
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	79
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	79
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	79
Scott Griggs R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	25	SU	5.11	11.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.278	4.19	19.7%	8.0%	112	-0.92	3.06	176	79
Claudio Custodio R 2015 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	11.1%	13.2%	2.7%	.351	3.79	11.5%	4.8%	37	-1.52	3.08	186	78
Logan Sendelbach R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	12.3%	13.9%	2.7%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	340	77
Miguel Nunez R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	24	SU	5.12	13.2%	13.7%	2.6%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	154	77
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	77
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	77
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	76
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	76
Aaron Cohn R 2023 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	11.1%	10.7%	4.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	5.72	106	76
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	76
Wuilder Rodriguez R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SU	5.25	11.1%	10.4%	3.2%	.320	4.12	9.2%	1.0%	18	-1.13	3.03	249	76
Kane Davis R 2000 · 7.22 FIP	25	SW	7.22	4.7%	15.3%	4.7%	.359	4.70	18.8%	8.9%	82	-2.52	3.40	125	76
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	12.8%	14.1%	1.28	6.00
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57