Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 16 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 4 | 28 | 134 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 33% | 2.4 | 8.6% | 11.2% | -2.6% | 4.2% | 6.99 | 6.08 | — |
| 2018 | 16 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 4 | 28 | 134 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 33% | 2.4 | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.99 | 5.01 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 12 | 58 | 242 | 44 | 11 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 12.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.95 | 5.00 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 12 | 58 | 242 | 44 | 11 | 7 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.2% | 4.5% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 2.95 | 3.72 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 6 | 33 | 137 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 55% | 3.0 | 16.4% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 3.78 | 3.38 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 6 | 33 | 137 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 55% | 3.0 | 24.1% | 4.4% | 19.7% | 1.5% | 3.78 | 2.44 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 18 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 18 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.5% | 3.9% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 24 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 1.8% | 5.71 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 24 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 4.7% | 18.8% | 1.3% | 5.71 | 2.44 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 53 | 231 | 37 | 22 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 12.9% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.76 | 4.51 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 1 | 53 | 231 | 37 | 22 | 3 | 3% | 1.5 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 3.76 | 3.69 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 44 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.3% | 11.9% | -1.6% | 6.0% | 6.48 | 7.01 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 44 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.48 | 6.16 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 28 | 42 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 10.0% | 14.7% | -4.7% | 3.4% | 6.37 | 6.37 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 37 | 40 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 6.06 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 42 | 39 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 13.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.84 | 5.77 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | COL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 13.8% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 6.06 | 5.98 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | COL | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 13.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.84 | 5.77 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 314 | 44 | 43 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.0% | 13.6% | 0.4% | 3.3% | 5.93 | 5.48 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 118 | 116 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.0% | 13.6% | 0.4% | 3.3% | 5.93 | 5.48 | -0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 155 | 23 | 281 | 1227 | 154 | 102 | 42 | 15% | 1.8 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.97 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 110 | 16 | 200 | 873 | 109 | 73 | 30 | 15% | 1.8 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.97 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alan Perdomo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.37 | 10.0% | 14.7% | 3.4% | — | 5.88 | 13.8% | 0.2% | 136 | -0.50 | — | — | — |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 88 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 87 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 84 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2026 · 6.70 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.70 | 10.3% | 15.9% | 4.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.25 | 110 | 82 |
| Logan Sendelbach R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.61 | 12.3% | 13.9% | 3.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 340 | 80 |
| Claudio Custodio R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.31 | 11.1% | 13.2% | 2.7% | .351 | 3.73 | 11.5% | 4.8% | 37 | -1.58 | 3.14 | 186 | 80 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 80 |
| Ryan Vanderhei R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 14.6% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.56 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 39 | -1.70 | 3.56 | 130 | 79 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 79 |
| Aaron Cohn R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.87 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 4.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.72 | 106 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 78 |
| Nolberto Henriquez R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 10.5% | 13.0% | 2.7% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 108 | 78 |
| Julian Arballo R 2029 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 77 |
| Blake Hickman R 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 77 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SU | 6.00 | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.8% | .284 | 5.40 | 9.9% | -2.2% | 16 | -0.60 | 3.89 | 110 | 77 |
| Jake Ehret R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.62 | 12.3% | 15.8% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 173 | 77 |
| Brody Jessee R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.9% | 3.9% | .297 | 6.14 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 30 | +0.43 | 3.59 | 170 | 77 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 77 |
| John Kuchno R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.66 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .247 | 5.21 | 10.2% | 1.6% | 84 | -0.45 | 2.43 | 162 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 12.5% | 14.0% | 1.31 | 6.09 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |