Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.7% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.96 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 48 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 2.96 | 3.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 24 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.1% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 2.0% | 1.84 | 3.66 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | ATL | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | ATL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 65 | 270 | 74 | 31 | 6 | — | — | 27.3% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 2.4% | 3.36 | 4.18 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 27 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 40 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 4.58 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 92 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.86 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 81 | 336 | 72 | 42 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 2.56 | 4.45 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 0 | 200 | 830 | 178 | 104 | 24 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 2.56 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler LaPorte (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.92 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 93 | +0.31 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 87 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 86 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 84 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 84 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 83 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 83 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 82 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 82 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 82 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 82 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 82 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 1.27 | 4.77 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |