Edgar Navarro prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Edgar Navarro P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 260 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%20.1%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SL-1.0

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	24	3	58	289	60	30	0	12%	2.4	14.1%	13.0%	1.1%	0.0%	6.36	3.55	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	24	3	58	289	60	30	0	12%	2.4	20.8%	10.4%	10.4%	0.0%	6.36	2.58	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	23	2	56	246	68	18	2	9%	2.4	18.8%	9.1%	9.7%	1.1%	4.20	3.30	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	23	2	56	246	68	18	2	9%	2.4	27.6%	7.3%	20.3%	0.8%	4.20	2.09	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	35	0	44	214	37	33	6	0%	1.2	13.3%	17.7%	-4.4%	3.7%	8.45	6.23	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	35	0	44	214	37	33	6	0%	1.2	17.3%	15.4%	1.9%	2.8%	8.45	5.46	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	0	54	250	69	40	3	0%	1.2	21.5%	19.0%	2.6%	1.7%	3.64	4.60	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	0	54	250	69	40	3	0%	1.2	27.6%	16.0%	11.6%	1.2%	3.64	3.49	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	16.5%	14.1%	2.4%	0.5%	4.11	3.76	+0.6
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	16.5%	14.1%	2.4%	0.5%	4.11	3.76	+0.6
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	54	0	61	269	53	38	3	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.1%	5.6%	1.1%	4.11	3.87	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			8	0	9	39	9	2	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	5.1%	17.9%	5.1%	7.27	4.72	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.1%	11.2%	8.9%	2.8%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	23	0	24	103	21	12	3	0%	1.1	20.2%	11.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.85	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	20.2%	11.2%	9.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	17	6	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	4.1%	6.01	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	872	192	68	34	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	4.1%	6.01	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		181	5	273	1268	214	183	16	3%	1.5	16.9%	14.5%	2.4%	1.3%	5.21	4.21	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	4	200	929	157	134	12	3%	1.5	16.9%	14.5%	2.4%	1.3%	5.21	4.21	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Navarro (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	20.1%	11.2%	2.8%	—	4.85	20.2%	9.0%	24	+0.09	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	83
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	83
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	83
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	83
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	83
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	82
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	82
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	20.6%	10.3%	1.26	5.15
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Scott Service ('04)	2.1	46	22.2%	9.9%	1.23	5.04
Josh Lindblom ('21)	1.0	52	22.1%	9.6%	1.25	4.78