Walter Pennington

Walter Pennington P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 28 LHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96104vR 112

ERA4.21

FIP4.14

K%23.5%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%13.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.6

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p180.350

FB+1.5 (33%)

SI (30%)

CT-0.8 (26%)

SL-2.3 (41%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	43	185	40	14	3	0%	1.7	16.0%	9.0%	7.0%	1.2%	3.32	3.56	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	43	185	40	14	3	0%	1.7	21.6%	7.6%	14.1%	1.6%	3.32	3.12	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	1	68	298	61	26	4	3%	1.9	15.1%	9.9%	5.2%	1.9%	5.19	4.12	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	1	68	298	61	26	4	3%	1.9	20.5%	8.7%	11.7%	1.3%	5.19	3.22	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	71	294	75	35	5	2%	1.4	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.3%	3.18	3.97	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	1	71	294	75	35	5	2%	1.4	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.3%	3.18	3.97	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	1	71	294	75	35	5	2%	1.4	25.5%	11.9%	13.6%	1.7%	3.18	3.38	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	3	81	339	99	32	7	5%	1.5	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	2.4%	2.32	3.40	+1.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	3	81	339	99	32	7	5%	1.5	25.1%	8.8%	16.3%	2.4%	2.32	3.40	+1.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	3	81	339	99	32	7	5%	1.5	29.2%	9.4%	19.8%	2.1%	2.32	2.96	+1.5
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	1	22	96	27	13	0	6%	1.2	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.49	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	1	22	96	27	13	0	6%	1.2	22.7%	10.3%	12.4%	0.0%	4.15	2.49	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	1	22	96	27	13	0	6%	1.2	28.1%	13.5%	14.6%	0.0%	4.15	2.41	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	1	18	84	17	11	1	6%	1.1	20.2%	13.1%	7.1%	1.2%	3.00	3.77	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	BAL	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.6%	13.8%	2.6%	4.21	4.14	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	22	0	23	97	22	10	3	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.8%	13.1%	2.8%	4.28	4.32	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.8%	13.1%	2.8%	4.28	4.32	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		23	1	25	114	24	14	2	4%	1.1	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	1.6%	3.37	3.76	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		181	8	200	908	190	111	16	4%	1.1	20.9%	12.2%	8.7%	1.6%	3.37	3.76	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		183	6	285	1212	242	117	23	3%	1.6	19.9%	9.7%	10.3%	1.9%	3.51	3.67	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	4	200	852	170	82	16	3%	1.6	19.9%	9.7%	10.3%	1.9%	3.51	3.67	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Walter Pennington (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.14	23.5%	9.6%	2.6%	—	4.32	22.9%	13.1%	23	+0.18	—	—	—
Tyler Webb L 2018 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	23.2%	7.4%	2.2%	.280	4.53	21.9%	10.4%	115	+1.21	3.10	337	78
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	77
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	77
Zac Rosscup L 2015 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	24.6%	11.0%	4.4%	.296	2.85	29.5%	21.7%	40	-1.99	2.56	160	76
Dan Jennings L 2015 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	18.9%	7.4%	1.2%	.294	3.80	17.8%	8.5%	188	+0.69	3.11	244	76
Xavier Cedeño L 2015 · 3.00 FIP	28	SU	3.00	24.9%	6.3%	2.2%	.286	2.52	25.2%	17.2%	96	-0.48	2.50	142	75
Jeff Beliveau L 2016 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.2%	13.5%	1.1%	.220	4.25	24.7%	12.5%	92	+1.06	3.19	137	75
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	75
Ryan O'Rourke L 2016 · 3.05 FIP	28	SU	3.05	23.4%	6.7%	1.9%	.284	4.08	22.1%	7.8%	56	+1.03	3.05	145	75
Buddy Baumann L 2016 · 3.83 FIP	28	SU	3.83	23.3%	10.8%	2.4%	.268	4.73	23.6%	13.5%	50	+0.90	2.92	155	75
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	74
Antonio Bastardo L 2015 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	26.8%	10.0%	1.8%	.238	5.27	22.6%	11.3%	88	+2.17	3.10	145	74
Dario Alvarez L 2017 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	24.7%	12.4%	2.0%	.336	3.47	20.7%	8.3%	27	-0.21	3.47	160	74
Danny Coulombe L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	28	SU	4.36	23.0%	7.9%	4.0%	.326	3.64	28.3%	21.6%	91	-0.72	2.54	483	74
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	73
Kevin Chapman L 2016 · 3.35 FIP	28	SU	3.35	23.2%	9.5%	1.8%	.348	4.08	19.2%	8.0%	39	+0.73	3.01	153	73
Dean Kiekhefer L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	28	SU	3.60	18.0%	8.7%	1.7%	.350	3.03	17.5%	14.1%	58	-0.57	3.03	219	73
Christian Friedrich L 2015 · 3.67 FIP	28	SU	3.67	16.7%	8.5%	1.6%	.355	3.96	17.6%	8.8%	129	+0.29	3.67	188	71
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	71
Daniel Stumpf L 2019 · 3.56 FIP	28	SU	3.56	25.2%	8.8%	2.7%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	1.84	238	71