Miguel Rodriguez

P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	A+MIN	39	1	56	3.36	5.00	27.9%	10.0%	—	K 21.5% · BB 11.5% · FIP 6.66
2023	24	MIX2 levels	46	0	55	3.13	1.93	28.7%	6.1%	—	K 22.5% · BB 6.9% · FIP 2.60
2024	25	AAMIN	37	0	45	4.96	2.99	20.8%	10.9%	—	K 16.8% · BB 12.0% · FIP 3.58
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIN	26	0	27	4.62	4.62	20.9%	10.3%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBMIN	8	0	8	4.67	4.72	20.9%	10.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Luis Mateo (age 27) · Dustin Molleken (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.62

FIP4.62

K%20.9%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.6%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	13	5	31	135	35	12	0	38%	2.4	17.6%	11.1%	6.5%	0.0%	4.99	3.02	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	13	5	31	135	35	12	0	38%	2.4	25.9%	8.9%	17.0%	0.0%	4.99	1.99	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	9	5	33	136	39	11	1	56%	3.6	19.5%	10.1%	9.4%	1.0%	2.48	3.30	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	9	5	33	136	39	11	1	56%	3.6	28.7%	8.1%	20.6%	0.7%	2.48	2.12	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	15	10	52	236	58	26	4	67%	3.5	18.2%	13.0%	5.2%	2.4%	4.50	4.54	—
2021	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	15	10	52	236	58	26	4	67%	3.5	24.6%	11.0%	13.6%	1.7%	4.50	3.37	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	56	240	67	24	13	3%	1.4	21.5%	11.5%	10.0%	7.1%	3.36	6.66	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	56	240	67	24	13	3%	1.4	27.9%	10.0%	17.9%	5.4%	3.36	5.00	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	230	66	14	2	0%	1.2	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	1.0%	3.13	2.60	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	230	66	14	2	0%	1.2	28.7%	6.1%	22.6%	0.9%	3.13	1.93	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.0%	4.9%	0.7%	4.96	3.58	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.0%	4.9%	0.7%	4.96	3.58	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	20.8%	10.9%	9.9%	0.5%	4.96	2.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIN	26	0	27	114	24	12	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.3%	10.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	24	0	26	108	23	11	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.5%	10.5%	3.1%	4.67	4.72	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.5%	10.5%	3.1%	4.67	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	10.5%	10.5%	3.1%	4.67	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	100	25	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.5%	10.5%	3.1%	4.67	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		159	21	272	1179	231	127	28	13%	1.7	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	2.4%	3.88	4.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	15	200	868	170	94	21	13%	1.7	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	2.4%	3.88	4.11	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.62	20.9%	10.3%	2.9%	—	4.72	20.9%	10.5%	26	+0.10	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	80
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	80
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	80
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	80
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	79
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	22.7%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.02	25.4%	17.1%	87	-0.43	2.32	186	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	20.9%	10.4%	1.15	4.64
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*