Anderson Paulino
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%11.9%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 74 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 10.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 7.47 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Royals | 14 | 10 | 61 | 273 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 11.0% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 4.90 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 24 | 12 | 87 | 392 | 86 | 23 | 10 | 16.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.07 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 36 | 6 | 65 | 279 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 1.3% | 4.59 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 46 | 0 | 59 | 261 | 55 | 22 | 1 | 16.5% | 9.5% | 0.5% | 4.12 | 3.16 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 48 | 0 | 53 | 252 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 17.0% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 5.57 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 6 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 12.96 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | KC | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 49 | 22 | 7 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 49 | 21 | 7 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | KC | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | KC | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 46 | 21 | 7 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | KC | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 44 | 20 | 7 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | KC | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | KC | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 39 | 19 | 6 | 20.6% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | KC | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 37 | 18 | 6 | 20.2% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | KC | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 19.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | KC | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.13 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 182 | 30 | 348 | 1577 | 238 | 144 | 34 | 15.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 5.04 | 4.17 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 17 | 200 | 905 | 137 | 83 | 20 | 15.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 5.04 | 4.17 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anderson Paulino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.56 | 21.4% | 12.0% | 158 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 89 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 89 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 88 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 87 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 87 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 87 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 86 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 86 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 85 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 85 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 84 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .359 | 5.13 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.78 | 3.35 | 108 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 84 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 84 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 84 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.