Anderson Paulino
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%21.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%11.9%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 74 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 25% | 2.0 | 10.1% | 16.9% | -6.8% | 0.0% | 7.47 | 4.39 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 74 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 25% | 2.0 | 14.9% | 13.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 7.47 | 3.61 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Royals | 14 | 10 | 61 | 273 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 71% | 4.3 | 11.0% | 11.0% | -0.0% | 2.6% | 4.90 | 4.97 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Royals | 14 | 10 | 61 | 273 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 71% | 4.3 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 4.90 | 3.91 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 12 | 87 | 392 | 86 | 23 | 10 | 50% | 3.6 | 16.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.57 | 3.77 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 12 | 87 | 392 | 86 | 23 | 10 | 50% | 3.6 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 16.1% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 3.41 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 36 | 6 | 65 | 279 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 1.8 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 4.59 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 36 | 6 | 65 | 279 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 17% | 1.8 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 1.1% | 4.59 | 2.96 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 59 | 261 | 55 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 4.12 | 3.16 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 59 | 261 | 55 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 0.4% | 4.12 | 2.57 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 48 | 0 | 53 | 252 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.57 | 5.06 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 48 | 0 | 53 | 252 | 53 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 5.57 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 6 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 12.96 | 4.94 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 6 | 0 | 8 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 12.96 | 5.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | KC | 36 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 34 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.21 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 86 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 182 | 30 | 348 | 1577 | 238 | 144 | 32 | 16% | 1.9 | 15.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 5.04 | 4.11 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 17 | 200 | 905 | 137 | 83 | 19 | 16% | 1.9 | 15.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 5.04 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anderson Paulino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.59 | 21.4% | 11.9% | 37 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 82 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 81 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 81 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 80 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 80 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 79 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 79 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 79 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 78 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 78 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 78 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 78 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 78 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 78 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 1.19 | 4.54 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |