Daysbel Hernández

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 30 RHP 5'10" / 220 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	27	MIX2 levels	49	60	2.56	2.58	30.4%	12.8%	1.4	K 27.5% · BB 11.9% · FIP 2.77
2025	28	MIX2 levels	47	45	3.20	4.72	22.6%	16.4%	-0.1	K 20.1% · BB 17.7% · FIP 4.64
2026	29	AAAATL	22	21	5.06	4.55	25.0%	18.3%	—	K 21.5% · BB 16.4% · FIP 4.53
2027PROJ	30	MLBATL	57	60	4.61	4.98	26.2%	17.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBATL	20	21	4.90	5.14	25.2%	17.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBATL	28	29	5.14	5.33	24.2%	17.0%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

FB Velo90

Whiff%75

xwOBA vs44

K%36

CompsCody Hall (age 30) · Parker Markel (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.98

K%26.2%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.7

Whiff%

p7529.2%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p440.318

FB+1.6 (44%)

SL (56%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	38	163	36	23	2	0%	1.8	16.5%	16.5%	0.0%	1.6%	4.50	4.66	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	38	163	36	23	2	0%	1.8	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	1.2%	4.50	3.71	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	35	0	53	220	70	22	2	0%	1.5	24.5%	11.5%	13.0%	1.2%	1.71	3.17	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Florida Fire Frogs	35	0	53	220	70	22	2	0%	1.5	31.8%	10.0%	21.8%	0.9%	1.71	2.19	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	42	179	58	23	4	0%	1.2	27.6%	13.0%	14.6%	3.1%	3.83	4.12	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	42	179	58	23	4	0%	1.2	32.4%	12.8%	19.6%	2.2%	3.83	3.22	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	27	0	28	117	42	16	2	0%	1.0	30.8%	11.0%	19.8%	0.0%	2.86	1.89	+0.9
2023	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	27	0	28	117	42	16	2	0%	1.0	35.9%	13.7%	22.2%	1.7%	2.86	2.75	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	27.5%	11.9%	15.6%	0.9%	2.56	2.77	+1.3
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	27.5%	11.9%	15.6%	0.9%	2.56	2.77	+1.3
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	30.4%	12.8%	17.5%	0.8%	2.56	2.58	+1.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.7%	2.4%	1.8%	3.20	4.64	-0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.7%	2.4%	1.8%	3.20	4.64	-0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.4%	6.2%	2.6%	3.20	4.72	-0.1
2026	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	21.5%	16.4%	5.1%	2.1%	5.06	4.53	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	21.5%	16.4%	5.1%	2.1%	5.06	4.53	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	25.0%	18.3%	6.7%	1.9%	5.06	4.55	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			59	0	59	258	65	41	4	0%	1.0	25.2%	15.9%	9.3%	1.6%	3.37	3.87	+0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	ATL	57	0	60	253	66	45	7	0%	1.1	26.2%	17.7%	8.5%	2.7%	4.61	4.98	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	ATL	54	0	56	238	60	41	7	0%	1.0	25.2%	17.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	5.14	-0.4
2029	32	MLB MLE	ATL	50	0	52	220	53	37	7	0%	1.0	24.2%	17.0%	7.2%	3.2%	5.14	5.33	-0.5
2028	31	MLB CTX	ATL	20	0	21	89	22	15	3	0%	1.1	25.2%	17.2%	8.0%	2.9%	4.90	5.14	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	ATL	28	0	29	122	30	21	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	17.0%	7.2%	3.2%	5.14	5.33	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	108	467	116	77	10	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	2.2%	4.14	4.30	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	863	215	142	19	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.4%	8.5%	2.2%	4.14	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		237	0	287	1235	299	171	19	0%	1.2	24.2%	13.8%	10.4%	1.5%	3.16	3.65	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	0	200	860	208	119	13	0%	1.2	24.2%	13.8%	10.4%	1.5%	3.16	3.65	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daysbel Hernández (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	26.2%	17.7%	2.7%	—	5.23	24.7%	7.6%	108	+0.25	—	—	—
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	71
Parker Markel R 2021 · 4.23 FIP	30	SU	4.23	31.3%	18.5%	2.6%	.274	4.47	25.5%	10.0%	40	+0.24	3.18	266	70
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	70
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	68
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	68
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	67
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	67
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	65
Joel Hanrahan R 2012 · 4.54 FIP	30	SU	4.54	26.4%	14.2%	3.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	2.08	397	65
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	186	64
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.79	18.8%	9.0%	101	-2.17	2.51	309	63
Troy Percival R 2000 · 4.46 FIP	30	SU	4.46	22.2%	11.8%	3.2%	.252	3.15	28.2%	18.8%	163	-1.31	2.15	709	63
Jordan Jankowski R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	21.8%	16.9%	2.5%	.396	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	196	63
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	62
Tyler Yates R 2008 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	19.0%	11.2%	1.8%	.293	5.06	16.1%	5.4%	12	+1.16	3.23	248	62
Shintaro Fujinami R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	22.1%	20.1%	1.4%	.187	4.39	21.7%	-2.9%	19	-0.16	4.09	130	62
Dennis Sarfate R 2009 · 4.81 FIP	28	SU	4.81	19.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	62
Jason Frasor R 2008 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	20.2%	13.5%	1.9%	.239	3.13	23.2%	15.9%	181	-1.03	2.71	647	61
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2021 · 5.48 FIP	30	SU	5.48	19.6%	19.2%	2.9%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	132	61
Edwar Ramirez R 2010 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	18.5%	16.7%	2.0%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	109	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	57	25.2%	17.2%	0.99	4.48
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Renyel Pinto ('10)	1.2	58	21.9%	15.0%	0.94	3.62
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Mitch Williams ('86-'97, 4 WAR*)	3.5	77	27.1%*	17.2%*	0.77*	3.86*