Kodi Whitley

P Durham Bulls

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	28	AAAATL	46	57	5.49	4.60	22.1%	9.2%	—	K 19.0% · BB 8.2% · FIP 4.88
2025	30	MIX3 levels	21	29	4.08	3.13	32.8%	3.4%	—	K 26.9% · BB 3.4% · FIP 3.45
2026	31	MIX3 levels	28	36	3.00	3.79	24.0%	6.8%	—	K 20.7% · BB 5.6% · FIP 3.93
2027PROJ	32	MLBTB	51	54	4.13	4.05	23.7%	7.3%	0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBTB	17	18	4.28	4.36	22.8%	7.9%	0.0
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBTB	14	15	4.50	4.66	22.0%	8.5%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

Whiff%53

K%37

FB Velo34

xwOBA vs10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDale Thayer (age 32) · Tony Barnette (age 32) · Mark Serrano (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.13

FIP4.05

K%23.7%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%16.4%

Proj IP54

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p5325.8%

p3720.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.383

FB-1.1

CH-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	18	68	22	3	0	0%	1.4	22.7%	4.4%	18.3%	0.0%	1.53	1.74	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	18	68	22	3	0	0%	1.4	32.4%	4.4%	27.9%	0.0%	1.53	1.12	—
2018	23	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	41	2	72	302	68	26	2	5%	1.7	16.7%	10.2%	6.5%	0.9%	2.51	3.46	—
2018	23	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	41	2	72	302	68	26	2	5%	1.7	22.5%	8.6%	13.9%	0.7%	2.51	2.65	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	0	67	276	78	17	3	0%	1.3	23.4%	6.2%	17.1%	1.2%	1.60	2.60	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	0	67	276	78	17	3	0%	1.3	28.3%	6.2%	22.1%	1.1%	1.60	2.12	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	4	0	5	17	5	1	1	0%	1.2	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	5.9%	1.93	4.59	-0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	4	0	5	17	5	1	1	0%	1.2	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	5.9%	1.93	4.39	+0.0
2021	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	1	46	189	56	22	3	2%	1.1	27.2%	11.6%	15.6%	1.3%	3.33	3.00	+0.9
2021	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	1	46	189	56	22	3	2%	1.1	29.6%	11.6%	18.0%	1.6%	3.33	2.95	+0.9
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	45	206	44	25	10	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.5%	7.0%	5.1%	4.37	5.85	-0.7
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	45	206	44	25	10	0%	1.0	21.4%	12.1%	9.2%	4.9%	4.37	5.68	-0.6
2023	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	262	58	24	10	0%	1.2	19.0%	8.2%	10.8%	4.3%	5.49	4.88	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	262	58	24	10	0%	1.2	22.1%	9.2%	13.0%	3.8%	5.49	4.60	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	29	116	38	4	5	0%	1.4	26.9%	3.4%	23.5%	4.0%	4.08	3.45	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	29	116	38	4	5	0%	1.4	26.9%	3.4%	23.5%	4.0%	4.08	3.45	—
2025	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	0	29	116	38	4	5	0%	1.4	32.8%	3.4%	29.3%	4.3%	4.08	3.13	—
2026	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	36	146	35	10	5	0%	1.3	20.7%	5.6%	15.1%	3.4%	3.00	3.93	—
2026	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	0	36	146	35	10	5	0%	1.3	20.7%	5.6%	15.1%	3.4%	3.00	3.93	—
2026	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	0	36	146	35	10	5	0%	1.3	24.0%	6.8%	17.1%	3.4%	3.00	3.79	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			43	0	43	177	44	22	4	0%	1.0	24.9%	12.4%	12.4%	2.3%	3.38	3.80	+0.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	TB	51	0	54	228	54	17	7	0%	1.1	23.7%	7.3%	16.4%	3.0%	4.13	4.05	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	TB	48	0	50	211	48	17	7	0%	1.0	22.8%	7.9%	14.9%	3.3%	4.28	4.36	+0.1
2029	34	MLB MLE	TB	43	0	45	192	42	16	7	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.5%	13.5%	3.6%	4.50	4.66	-0.1
2030	35	MLB MLE	TB	39	0	41	172	36	16	7	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.9%	4.78	4.98	-0.2
2028	33	MLB CTX	TB	17	0	18	76	17	6	2	0%	1.1	22.8%	7.9%	14.9%	3.3%	4.28	4.36	+0.0
2029	34	MLB CTX	TB	14	0	15	63	14	5	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	8.5%	13.5%	3.6%	4.50	4.66	-0.0
2030	35	MLB CTX	TB	10	0	11	46	10	4	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.1%	12.0%	3.9%	4.78	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		85	0	87	364	85	38	11	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.4%	13.1%	2.9%	3.94	4.03	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	837	195	87	25	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.4%	13.1%	2.9%	3.94	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		290	3	375	1582	338	133	41	1%	1.3	21.4%	8.4%	12.9%	2.6%	3.24	3.78	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	2	200	844	180	71	22	1%	1.3	21.4%	8.4%	12.9%	2.6%	3.24	3.78	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kodi Whitley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.05	23.7%	7.3%	3.0%	—	4.65	22.0%	13.6%	136	+0.60	—	—	—
Dale Thayer R 2013 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.7%	7.4%	2.9%	.287	3.85	20.6%	15.0%	103	+0.23	2.75	239	83
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	81
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	81
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	80
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	78
Jean Machi R 2014 · 3.33 FIP	32	SU	3.33	20.5%	6.0%	2.2%	.225	4.34	17.8%	10.6%	186	+1.01	2.16	306	78
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	4.97	21.2%	10.4%	88	+1.93	2.79	239	78
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	77
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	77
Jared Burton R 2013 · 3.20 FIP	32	SU	3.20	21.7%	6.0%	2.1%	.279	3.92	18.4%	10.0%	78	+0.72	3.09	367	77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	77
Deolis Guerra R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	32	SU	3.89	23.0%	7.4%	3.3%	.251	—	—	—	—	—	2.53	364	76
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2000 · 3.93 FIP	32	SU	3.93	29.4%	9.8%	3.8%	.212	2.88	24.9%	19.3%	161	-1.05	2.76	223	76
Gerardo Sanchez R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	30	SU	3.58	20.5%	5.4%	2.8%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	137	76
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	75
Jumbo Diaz R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	32	SU	3.85	22.3%	9.2%	2.7%	.247	3.28	23.0%	13.8%	141	-0.57	2.80	319	74
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	73
Jesus Pirela R 2019 · 3.24 FIP	30	SU	3.24	22.5%	5.3%	2.5%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	161	73
Frank Herrmann R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	32	SU	4.42	21.5%	4.8%	4.6%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	219	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	22.9%	8.9%	1.24	4.21
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*