Ron Marinaccio — OGILVIE

Ron Marinaccio P Cincinnati Reds

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION59 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.23

FIP4.44

K%20.2%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3893.7

Whiff%

p5025.3%

p2518.5%

xwOBA vs

p200.347

SL+1.5 (10%)

CT+0.9 (20%)

CH+0.5 (27%)

FB-1.3 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	13	0	16	65	15	4	0	0%	1.2	15.7%	7.7%	8.0%	0.0%	2.30	2.75	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	13	0	16	65	15	4	0	0%	1.2	23.1%	6.2%	16.9%	0.0%	2.30	1.95	—
2018	23	ROK MLE	Pulaski Yankees	10	0	20	83	33	3	1	0%	2.0	27.0%	4.5%	22.5%	1.7%	1.77	2.32	—
2018	23	ROK RAW	Pulaski Yankees	10	0	20	83	33	3	1	0%	2.0	39.8%	3.6%	36.1%	1.2%	1.77	0.94	—
2019	24	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	18	0	32	140	40	18	0	0%	1.8	21.1%	15.2%	6.0%	0.0%	4.18	3.24	—
2019	24	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	18	0	32	140	40	18	0	0%	1.8	28.6%	12.9%	15.7%	0.0%	4.18	2.30	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	66	263	105	26	4	0%	1.7	33.4%	10.7%	22.7%	1.6%	2.04	2.51	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	66	263	105	26	4	0%	1.7	39.9%	9.9%	30.0%	1.5%	2.04	1.89	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	55	228	80	28	5	0%	1.1	30.9%	13.3%	17.7%	1.0%	2.14	2.74	+1.2
2022	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	55	228	80	28	5	0%	1.1	35.1%	12.3%	22.8%	2.2%	2.14	2.90	+1.1
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	63	282	69	45	8	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.3%	8.4%	2.8%	5.17	4.56	-0.0
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	0	63	282	69	45	8	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.3%	8.4%	2.8%	5.17	4.56	-0.0
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	0	63	282	69	45	8	0%	1.1	24.5%	16.0%	8.5%	2.8%	5.17	4.71	-0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	63	258	66	24	6	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	2.3%	2.71	3.52	+0.8
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	63	258	66	24	6	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	2.3%	2.71	3.52	+0.8
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	63	258	66	24	6	0%	1.2	25.6%	9.3%	16.3%	2.3%	2.71	3.39	+0.9
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	57	254	63	24	7	0%	1.2	20.0%	8.5%	11.5%	3.7%	4.26	4.52	+0.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	57	254	63	24	7	0%	1.2	20.0%	8.5%	11.5%	3.7%	4.26	4.52	+0.0
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	57	254	63	24	7	0%	1.2	24.8%	9.4%	15.4%	2.8%	4.26	3.75	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			149	0	183	787	197	92	23	0%	1.2	25.0%	11.7%	13.3%	2.9%	3.98	4.09	+1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	42	0	59	266	49	27	12	0%	1.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	3.9%	6.44	5.01	-0.3
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	42	0	59	266	49	27	12	0%	1.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	3.9%	6.44	5.01	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	CIN	1	0	1	6	1	0	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	16.7%	27.00	10.84	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	CIN	41	0	58	260	48	27	11	0%	1.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	4.2%	6.09	5.18	-0.4
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	CIN	41	0	58	260	48	27	11	0%	1.4	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	4.2%	6.09	5.18	-0.4
ROS	31	MLB MLE	CIN	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	3.3%	4.23	4.44	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	CIN	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.9%	10.3%	3.3%	4.23	4.44	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	64	287	53	29	13	—	—	18.5%	10.1%	8.4%	4.4%	6.27	4.96	-0.3
FULL	31	MLB A+C	CIN	—	—	63	265	53	29	13	—	—	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.8%	6.37	5.42	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CIN	49	0	51	216	43	22	8	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	3.8%	5.02	5.20	-0.4
2028	33	MLB MLE	CIN	45	0	47	198	37	21	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.8%	8.1%	4.1%	5.30	5.48	-0.5
2029	34	MLB MLE	CIN	41	0	43	181	32	20	8	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.3%	6.7%	4.4%	5.59	5.78	-0.6
2027	32	MLB CTX	CIN	47	0	49	207	41	21	8	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.3%	9.4%	3.8%	5.02	5.20	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	CIN	43	0	45	190	36	20	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.8%	8.1%	4.1%	5.30	5.48	-0.5
2029	34	MLB CTX	CIN	37	0	39	165	30	19	7	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.3%	6.7%	4.4%	5.59	5.78	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		280	0	320	1366	307	154	46	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.3%	11.2%	3.4%	4.52	4.49	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		175	0	200	853	192	96	29	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.3%	11.2%	3.4%	4.52	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		330	0	431	1839	446	203	41	0%	1.3	24.3%	11.1%	13.2%	2.3%	3.66	3.69	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		153	0	200	854	207	94	19	0%	1.3	24.3%	11.1%	13.2%	2.3%	3.66	3.69	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ron Marinaccio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	22.2%	9.6%	3.2%	—	5.47	18.9%	8.1%	141	+0.92	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	86
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	82
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	79
Junichi Tazawa R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	16.0%	7.6%	3.5%	.270	4.81	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.16	2.94	227	78
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	78
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	77
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	76
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	76
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	76
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	76
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	75
Bryan Morris R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	30	SU	3.60	16.0%	9.6%	1.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	102	74
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	74
Jeff Manship R 2016 · 4.87 FIP	31	SU	4.87	19.0%	10.6%	3.7%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	114	73
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	73
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	73
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	73
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	19.8%	10.4%	1.47	5.02
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50