Beau Sulser

P Indianapolis Indians

Age 33 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	28	MIX2 levels	30	6	79	3.99	3.21	22.8%	6.1%	1.3	K 20.8% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.52
2023	29	MIX2 levels	12	7	40	6.13	5.07	15.9%	5.7%	—	K 13.3% · BB 5.3% · FIP 5.21
2024	30	MIX2 levels	24	11	72	5.35	5.39	19.0%	7.0%	—	K 16.3% · BB 6.3% · FIP 6.15
2027PROJ	33	MLBPIT	41	0	43	4.67	4.67	19.2%	7.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBPIT	2	0	2	4.82	4.94	18.7%	8.4%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

xwOBA vs77

K%30

FB Velo26

Whiff%19

CompsChris Jakubauskas (age 32) · Ivan Maldonado (age 35) · Rudy Gonzalez (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%19.2%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP43

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2692.8

Whiff%

p1920.9%

p3019.2%

xwOBA vs

p770.286

FB+1.2

CH-3.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	24	A MLE	West Virginia Power	36	0	57	219	63	3	4	0%	1.6	21.3%	1.6%	19.7%	2.0%	2.35	2.61	—
2018	24	A RAW	West Virginia Power	36	0	57	219	63	3	4	0%	1.6	28.8%	1.4%	27.4%	1.8%	2.35	1.97	—
2019	25	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	33	6	96	400	63	30	4	18%	2.9	12.8%	8.2%	4.5%	1.5%	2.72	3.91	—
2019	25	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	33	6	96	400	63	30	4	18%	2.9	15.8%	7.5%	8.2%	1.0%	2.72	3.27	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	26	24	123	564	102	52	21	92%	4.7	15.9%	9.7%	6.2%	3.7%	5.65	5.03	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	26	24	123	564	102	52	21	92%	4.7	18.1%	9.2%	8.9%	3.7%	5.65	4.93	—
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	79	346	79	21	8	20%	2.6	20.8%	6.3%	14.5%	2.5%	3.99	3.52	+1.0
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	79	346	79	21	8	20%	2.6	22.8%	6.1%	16.8%	2.3%	3.99	3.21	+1.3
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	7	40	176	28	10	8	58%	3.3	13.3%	5.3%	8.0%	4.7%	6.13	5.21	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	7	40	176	28	10	8	58%	3.3	15.9%	5.7%	10.2%	4.5%	6.13	5.07	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	11	72	327	62	23	17	46%	3.0	16.3%	6.3%	9.9%	6.6%	5.35	6.15	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	11	72	327	62	23	17	46%	3.0	16.3%	6.3%	9.9%	6.6%	5.35	6.15	—
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	11	72	327	62	23	17	46%	3.0	19.0%	7.0%	11.9%	5.2%	5.35	5.39	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			10	0	22	99	19	7	3	0%	2.2	19.2%	7.1%	12.1%	3.0%	3.63	4.09	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	PIT	41	0	43	182	35	14	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	7.7%	11.5%	3.3%	4.67	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	PIT	37	0	39	165	31	14	6	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	3.6%	4.82	4.94	-0.2
2028	34	MLB CTX	PIT	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	3.6%	4.82	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	24	108	21	8	3	0%	2.0	19.1%	7.2%	12.0%	3.1%	3.73	4.08	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		98	0	200	883	172	65	25	0%	2.0	19.1%	7.2%	12.0%	3.1%	3.73	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		161	54	467	2032	336	143	70	34%	2.9	16.5%	7.0%	9.5%	3.4%	4.36	4.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	23	200	870	144	61	30	34%	2.9	16.5%	7.0%	9.5%	3.4%	4.36	4.49	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Beau Sulser (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	19.2%	7.7%	3.3%	—	4.94	18.7%	10.3%	39	+0.27	—	—	—
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	69
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	68
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	67
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	66
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	66
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	66
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	66
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	66
Jared Fernandez R 2003 · 3.57 FIP	31	SP-	3.57	11.8%	6.2%	1.2%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.57	101	65
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	64
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	62
Mike Fyhrie R 2002 · 3.86 FIP	32	SW	3.86	13.7%	9.0%	1.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	173	62
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	62
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	61
Casey Lawrence R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	33	SP-	4.08	20.0%	5.2%	3.7%	.284	4.99	15.9%	10.6%	440	+0.91	3.57	1,374	61
Angel Castro R 2016 · 5.42 FIP	33	SW	5.42	12.3%	9.1%	4.0%	.304	3.51	14.5%	7.1%	139	-1.91	3.51	292	61
Toru Murata R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	31	SW	3.63	12.9%	5.7%	1.6%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	267	61
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	60
Tony Barnette R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	22.6%	7.1%	2.7%	.335	2.61	25.0%	20.2%	26	-0.95	2.61	144	59
Tim Adleman R 2021 · 3.74 FIP	33	SU	3.74	19.4%	6.2%	2.7%	.264	5.69	17.5%	8.9%	45	+1.95	3.63	605	58

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	35	19.0%	8.3%	1.30	4.50
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*