Nick Margevicius

P San Jose Giants

Age 31 LHP 6'5" / 235 lbs A peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

ASP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	MIX2 levels	21	12	69	6.82	4.54	16.6%	6.1%	—	K 14.0% · BB 5.7% · FIP 5.22
2025	29	AAADET	17	14	74	3.89	3.17	22.0%	5.7%	—	K 18.9% · BB 5.1% · FIP 3.67
2026	30	MIX2 levels	3	3	10	8.71	6.10	4.1%	6.1%	—	K 4.1% · BB 6.1% · FIP 5.77
2027PROJ	31	MLBSF	11	11	65	4.28	4.40	16.2%	5.0%	0.4
2028PROJ30% MLB	32	MLBSF	3	3	18	4.51	4.66	15.4%	5.4%	0.0
2029PROJ50% MLB	33	MLBSF	5	5	28	4.77	4.94	14.5%	5.9%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

K%37

xwOBA vs17

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

CompsKwang Hyun Kim (age 32) · Ryan Verdugo (age 30) · Santiago Gutierrez (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.28

FIP4.40

K%16.2%

BB%5.0%

K-BB%11.2%

Proj IP65

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6565

CMD5555

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.5

Whiff%

p1016.1%

p3720.3%

xwOBA vs

p170.351

SL-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	5	4	19	80	30	4	0	80%	3.8	25.5%	6.2%	19.2%	0.0%	1.42	1.74	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	5	4	19	80	30	4	0	80%	3.8	37.5%	5.0%	32.5%	0.0%	1.42	0.57	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	135	562	146	17	10	96%	5.9	19.5%	3.5%	16.0%	2.3%	3.60	3.16	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	135	562	146	17	10	96%	5.9	26.0%	3.0%	23.0%	1.8%	3.60	2.28	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	24	126	550	95	31	26	83%	4.3	15.4%	5.9%	9.6%	4.4%	5.43	4.96	-0.1
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	24	126	550	95	31	26	83%	4.3	17.3%	5.6%	11.6%	4.7%	5.43	5.01	-0.2
2020	24	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	10	7	41	170	36	12	6	70%	4.1	21.2%	7.1%	14.1%	3.6%	4.57	4.19	+0.3
2020	24	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	10	7	41	170	36	12	6	70%	4.1	21.2%	7.1%	14.1%	3.5%	4.57	4.12	+0.4
2021	25	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	5	3	12	60	12	7	2	60%	2.4	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	3.4%	8.25	4.77	+0.0
2021	25	MLB RAW	Seattle Mariners	5	3	12	60	12	7	2	60%	2.4	20.0%	11.7%	8.3%	3.3%	8.25	5.02	-0.0
2022	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	33	7	49	251	51	19	8	21%	1.5	17.9%	7.9%	9.9%	3.1%	7.53	4.28	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	33	7	49	251	51	19	8	21%	1.5	20.3%	7.6%	12.7%	3.2%	7.53	4.30	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	12	69	296	49	18	11	57%	3.3	14.0%	5.7%	8.2%	4.7%	6.82	5.22	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	12	69	296	49	18	11	57%	3.3	16.6%	6.1%	10.5%	3.7%	6.82	4.54	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	17	14	74	318	70	18	7	82%	4.4	18.9%	5.1%	13.8%	2.8%	3.89	3.67	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	17	14	74	318	70	18	7	82%	4.4	18.9%	5.1%	13.8%	2.8%	3.89	3.67	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	17	14	74	318	70	18	7	82%	4.4	22.0%	5.7%	16.4%	2.2%	3.89	3.17	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	49	2	3	2	100%	3.4	4.1%	6.1%	-2.0%	4.1%	8.71	5.77	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	49	2	3	2	100%	3.4	4.1%	6.1%	-2.0%	4.1%	8.71	5.77	—
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	10	49	2	3	2	100%	3.4	4.1%	6.1%	-2.0%	4.1%	8.71	6.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			32	22	110	493	90	37	20	69%	3.4	18.3%	7.5%	10.8%	4.1%	6.12	4.83	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	SF	11	11	65	274	44	14	8	100%	5.9	16.2%	5.0%	11.2%	3.0%	4.28	4.40	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	SF	10	10	60	254	39	14	8	100%	6.0	15.4%	5.4%	10.0%	3.3%	4.51	4.66	+0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	SF	9	9	55	233	34	14	8	100%	6.1	14.5%	5.9%	8.7%	3.5%	4.77	4.94	-0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	SF	3	3	18	76	12	4	2	100%	6.0	15.4%	5.4%	10.0%	3.3%	4.51	4.66	+0.0
2029	33	MLB CTX	SF	5	5	28	118	17	7	4	100%	5.6	14.5%	5.9%	8.7%	3.5%	4.77	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	30	156	687	119	48	27	75%	3.9	17.3%	7.0%	10.3%	3.9%	5.69	4.65	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		51	38	200	879	152	61	35	75%	3.9	17.3%	7.0%	10.3%	3.9%	5.69	4.65	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		146	96	535	2336	412	132	78	66%	3.7	17.6%	5.7%	12.0%	3.3%	5.04	4.16	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	36	200	873	154	49	29	66%	3.7	17.6%	5.7%	12.0%	3.3%	5.04	4.16	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Margevicius (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	16.2%	5.0%	3.0%	—	4.79	15.0%	9.4%	115	+0.39	—	—	—
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2020 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	15.6%	6.5%	2.1%	.214	4.21	17.7%	9.5%	107	+0.45	3.76	146	70
Ryan Verdugo L 2017 · 3.36 FIP	30	SP-	3.36	22.7%	5.4%	2.7%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	153	64
Santiago Gutierrez L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	31	SP-	3.95	15.0%	8.2%	2.0%	.366	6.54	17.1%	3.7%	46	+2.59	3.90	341	63
Tsuyoshi Wada L 2014 · 3.60 FIP	33	SP	3.60	19.7%	6.2%	2.5%	.290	3.66	16.8%	9.7%	119	+0.06	3.60	188	62
John Bale L 2003 · 4.12 FIP	29	SP	4.12	19.0%	5.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	60
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	58
Sean Nolin L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	31	SP-	4.54	20.4%	8.9%	3.7%	.316	5.87	19.3%	12.9%	23	+1.33	3.79	309	58
Blaine Hardy L 2018 · 3.29 FIP	31	SW	3.29	21.6%	5.7%	2.4%	.268	5.40	18.1%	8.9%	113	+2.11	2.74	456	57
Alejandro Soto L 2017 · 4.36 FIP	31	SW	4.36	13.8%	3.3%	3.7%	.323	4.03	17.1%	10.2%	61	-0.33	3.96	280	57
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	55
Marco Tovar L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP	4.78	12.6%	5.6%	3.7%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	327	55
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	54
Enrique Lechuga L 2017 · 3.78 FIP	31	SP	3.78	10.5%	6.1%	1.5%	.390	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	137	54
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	53
Anthony Vasquez L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	31	SW	4.64	17.1%	8.9%	3.4%	.322	6.00	14.6%	7.3%	85	+1.36	4.02	671	53
Chris Capuano L 2010 · 4.06 FIP	31	SW	4.06	19.4%	7.2%	3.1%	.287	3.77	19.8%	14.1%	490	-0.29	3.40	1,458	53
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	52
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	51
Oscar Rivera L 2015 · 3.68 FIP	34	SP	3.68	14.2%	6.9%	1.7%	.298	4.66	10.4%	3.0%	129	+0.98	3.68	237	51
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	51

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	58	16.5%	6.5%	1.38	5.12
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Bob Wells ('02)	3.2	79	15.0%	7.2%	1.43	5.03
Buddy Carlyle ('15)	1.5	58	18.5%	8.5%	1.32	5.14
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*