Adisyn Coffey

P Charlotte Knights

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	50	0	52	1.55	2.51	25.7%	10.3%	—	K 21.8% · BB 9.7% · FIP 2.77
2025	26	MIX3 levels	44	1	55	5.20	4.73	30.4%	11.3%	—	K 26.0% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.79
2026	27	AAACWS	41	4	59	6.44	4.65	21.4%	11.1%	—	K 18.4% · BB 10.0% · FIP 4.81
2027PROJ	28	MLBCWS	37	0	39	4.79	4.79	21.0%	10.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBCWS	13	0	14	4.82	4.88	21.0%	10.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Tyler Walker (age 28) · Tyler Yates (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%21.0%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%11.0%

Proj IP39

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	31	144	36	15	2	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.3%	6.2%	1.5%	5.23	3.94	—
2022	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	31	144	36	15	2	0%	1.0	25.0%	10.4%	14.6%	1.4%	5.23	3.07	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	47	203	53	22	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	12.1%	8.5%	3.6%	4.82	4.86	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	47	203	53	22	6	0%	1.2	26.1%	10.8%	15.3%	3.0%	4.82	3.91	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	9.7%	12.0%	0.5%	1.55	2.77	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	9.7%	12.0%	0.5%	1.55	2.77	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	52	214	55	22	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.3%	15.4%	0.5%	1.55	2.51	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	26.0%	10.5%	15.6%	4.7%	5.20	4.79	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	26.0%	10.5%	15.6%	4.7%	5.20	4.79	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	1	55	247	75	28	12	2%	1.3	30.4%	11.3%	19.0%	4.9%	5.20	4.73	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	41	4	59	271	58	30	9	10%	1.4	18.4%	10.0%	8.4%	3.7%	6.44	4.81	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	41	4	59	271	58	30	9	10%	1.4	18.4%	10.0%	8.4%	3.7%	6.44	4.81	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	41	4	59	271	58	30	9	10%	1.4	21.4%	11.1%	10.3%	3.3%	6.44	4.65	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CWS	37	0	39	165	35	16	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.0%	11.0%	3.3%	4.79	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	36	0	38	158	33	16	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.4%	4.82	4.88	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	13	0	14	59	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.4%	4.82	4.88	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.4%	4.82	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	87	29	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	3.4%	4.82	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		207	5	244	1079	229	116	32	2%	1.2	21.2%	10.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.65	4.30	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		170	4	200	884	188	95	26	2%	1.2	21.2%	10.8%	10.5%	3.0%	4.65	4.30	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adisyn Coffey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	21.0%	10.0%	3.3%	—	4.88	21.0%	10.8%	38	+0.09	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	88
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	87
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	85
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	84
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	84
J.J. Putz R 2005 · 4.36 FIP	28	SU	4.36	17.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.270	2.24	31.4%	25.1%	196	-2.12	1.43	563	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	83
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
A.J. Schugel R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	28	SU	4.01	20.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.307	6.37	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.36	2.80	299	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.80
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*