Alex Mauricio P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders
+0.2 WAR
Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP
SIERA
K%22.7%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%12.2%
IP41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201720ROKGCL Yankees West901772174116.1%6.9%1.9%3.243.69+0.2
201821ACharleston RiverDogs77371602812013.0%8.8%0.0%4.823.13+0.8
201922ACharleston RiverDogs1011122247.25
202225A+Hudson Valley Renegades260381674621321.2%14.5%2.2%4.784.36+0.3
202326AASomerset Patriots360492054519517.8%10.2%2.8%3.144.45+0.3
202427AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders380502115326422.4%13.1%2.0%2.343.99+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBNYY41411723918522.7%10.5%2.8%4.454.45+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202730MLBNYY40401673817522.6%10.5%2.9%4.474.50+0.2
202831MLBNYY38381613617522.4%10.5%3.0%4.524.56+0.2
202932MLBNYY37371553416522.2%10.6%3.1%4.584.63+0.1
203033MLBNYY35351483216521.9%10.7%3.2%4.664.72+0.1
203134MLBNYY33331403015521.6%10.9%3.3%4.764.83+0.0
203235MLBNYY31311322815421.2%11.2%3.4%4.884.950.0
203336MLBNYY29291242614420.8%11.4%3.5%5.005.09-0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career1177192826153941718.6%11.4%2.1%3.904.12+2.6
/ 200 IP1227200862160981818.6%11.4%2.1%3.904.12+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Alex Mauricio (OGILVIE) 4.45 22.7%10.5%2.8% 4.56 22.4%11.9%114 +0.11
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 29 SU 3.75 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 3.12 17.8%11.9%54 -0.63 2.31 187 86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 21.3%8.5%3.6%.241 3.99 18.5%11.9%118 -0.34 3.47 149 85
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP 28 SU 3.47 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.57 20.5%15.1%56 +0.10 2.59 137 84
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP 30 SU 4.83 18.6%12.2%3.2%.292 1.31 28.6%24.5%126 -3.52 1.30 218 84
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 29 SW 4.03 24.4%10.9%2.9%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.65 2.38 160 83
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 29 SW 3.56 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.23 21.3%12.5%114 -0.33 2.83 228 82
Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 29 SU 3.95 26.8%10.0%3.4%.299 3.92 25.9%8.4%19 -0.03 3.51 134 82
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP 30 SW 3.72 20.4%11.7%1.6%.287 3.88 20.6%8.4%77 +0.16 3.38 129 82
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.9%7.6%4.5%.287 3.18 24.9%18.4%192 -1.44 2.56 268 82
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 29 SU 3.52 22.1%7.5%2.4%.283 3.61 22.2%13.6%174 +0.09 3.17 272 81
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 29 SW 4.25 19.2%8.5%3.1%.275 3.71 18.5%11.1%152 -0.54 3.46 295 81
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP 29 SU 4.10 21.2%7.9%3.2%.331 3.18 253 80
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP 31 SW 3.73 24.5%8.2%3.0%.325 3.80 21.7%13.5%76 +0.07 3.65 137 80
Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP 32 SW 3.45 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.18 22.5%11.1%91 -0.27 2.48 147 80
Grant Sides R 2027 · 3.31 FIP 30 SU 3.31 21.7%9.8%1.5%.267 3.31 159 80
Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP 31 SW 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.68 16.9%7.2%90 +2.22 3.46 160 80
Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 23.4%8.8%3.8%.245 3.25 160 79
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 20.4%12.1%2.5%.315 3.24 113 79
Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 29 SW 3.41 20.4%9.8%1.4%.283 4.31 18.7%6.1%24 +0.90 3.41 104 79
Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP 28 SU 4.01 19.6%7.3%3.0%.307 4.00 125 79

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.