Chase Wallace
P
Quad Cities River Bandits
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.8%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 25 | 0 | 46 | 219 | 41 | 24 | 3 | 13.9% | 12.9% | 1.5% | 5.28 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 26 | 0 | 40 | 202 | 27 | 28 | 7 | 10.2% | 15.3% | 4.8% | 6.69 | 6.82 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 27 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 3.18 | 2.97 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 38 | 0 | 51 | 206 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.35 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | KC | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 43 | 18 | 6 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | KC | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 42 | 18 | 6 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | KC | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | KC | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 40 | 17 | 6 | 22.0% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | KC | 41 | — | 41 | 175 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 21.8% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.54 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | KC | 40 | — | 40 | 168 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | KC | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 21.2% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.71 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | KC | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | KC | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | KC | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 20.0% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 5.05 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 116 | 0 | 177 | 797 | 120 | 91 | 20 | 15.0% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.58 | 4.64 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 131 | 0 | 200 | 901 | 136 | 103 | 23 | 15.0% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.58 | 4.64 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Wallace (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.46 | 22.1% | 12.7% | 132 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 88 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 84 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 84 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 84 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 83 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.29 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.26 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.97 | 2.80 | 155 | 83 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.37 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .237 | 2.63 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.74 | 2.40 | 362 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 83 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 82 |
| Jack Dallas R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.58 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 169 | 82 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.00 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.2% | .256 | 4.51 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 39 | -0.49 | 2.65 | 315 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 81 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 81 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.