Caleb Freeman

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AA

Overview

AARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	AACWS	39	44	3.92	3.81	29.3%	13.6%	—	K 23.7% · BB 15.0% · FIP 4.83
2025	27	MIX3 levels	48	54	4.33	4.91	21.2%	15.1%	-0.2	K 18.0% · BB 15.4% · FIP 4.72
2026	28	MIX2 levels	24	28	4.13	4.41	27.0%	17.5%	—	K 21.3% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.21
2027PROJ	29	MLBTOR	20	21	5.35	5.35	20.5%	15.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBTOR	6	6	5.35	5.42	20.4%	15.4%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWirfin Obispo (age 30) · Thad Weber (age 28) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%20.5%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%4.7%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SL+0.8 (21%)

CU (30%)

FB-0.7 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	18	76	26	8	2	0%	1.5	24.6%	12.9%	11.7%	2.4%	3.00	3.98	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	18	76	26	8	2	0%	1.5	34.2%	10.5%	23.7%	2.6%	3.00	2.99	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	44	186	55	18	7	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.0%	12.2%	4.7%	3.27	5.11	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	44	186	55	18	7	0%	1.1	29.6%	9.7%	19.9%	3.8%	3.27	3.90	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	17	81	18	15	1	0%	1.0	17.1%	21.7%	-4.6%	1.6%	7.27	5.28	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	17	81	18	15	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	18.5%	3.7%	1.2%	7.27	4.37	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	0	34	168	38	31	3	0%	1.0	20.2%	16.6%	3.6%	1.9%	3.71	4.54	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	0	34	168	38	31	3	0%	1.0	22.6%	18.5%	4.2%	1.8%	3.71	4.75	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	39	0	44	191	56	26	5	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.0%	8.8%	3.4%	3.92	4.83	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	39	0	44	191	56	26	5	0%	1.1	23.7%	15.0%	8.8%	3.4%	3.92	4.83	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	39	0	44	191	56	26	5	0%	1.1	29.3%	13.6%	15.7%	2.6%	3.92	3.81	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	54	245	52	37	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	15.4%	2.6%	2.2%	4.33	4.72	-0.1
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	54	245	52	37	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	15.4%	2.6%	2.2%	4.33	4.72	-0.1
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	54	245	52	37	7	0%	1.1	21.2%	15.1%	6.1%	2.9%	4.33	4.91	-0.2
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	28	137	37	24	3	0%	1.2	21.3%	18.8%	2.6%	2.8%	4.13	5.21	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	28	137	37	24	3	0%	1.2	21.3%	18.8%	2.6%	2.8%	4.13	5.21	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	28	137	37	24	3	0%	1.2	27.0%	17.5%	9.5%	2.2%	4.13	4.41	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	3	16	3	1	1	0%	0.7	18.8%	6.2%	12.5%	6.2%	5.40	6.10	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TOR	20	0	21	89	18	14	3	0%	1.1	20.5%	15.8%	4.7%	2.9%	5.35	5.35	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	17	13	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	15.4%	5.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.42	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	TOR	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.4%	5.0%	3.1%	5.35	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	10	42	8	5	2	0%	0.9	19.8%	12.0%	7.8%	4.3%	5.37	5.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		229	0	200	885	167	104	42	0%	0.9	19.8%	12.0%	7.8%	4.3%	5.37	5.31	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		215	0	239	1084	228	168	31	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	2.8%	4.06	4.83	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		180	0	200	906	191	140	26	0%	1.1	21.1%	15.5%	5.6%	2.8%	4.06	4.83	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caleb Freeman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	20.5%	15.8%	2.9%	—	5.42	20.4%	5.0%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	86
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	80
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	80
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	77
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	77
Edwar Ramirez R 2010 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	18.5%	16.7%	2.0%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	109	77
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	76
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	76
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	76
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	75
Scott Dohmann R 2007 · 4.28 FIP	29	SU	4.28	19.1%	12.5%	2.2%	.289	4.38	18.2%	9.1%	15	+0.10	4.28	173	75
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	75
Kane Davis R 2005 · 5.15 FIP	30	SU	5.15	15.7%	14.3%	2.9%	.170	4.82	16.9%	6.7%	11	-0.33	3.40	125	75
Dennis Sarfate R 2009 · 4.81 FIP	28	SU	4.81	19.8%	13.9%	3.0%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	74
Irving Jimenez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	27	SU	4.51	18.9%	12.4%	2.6%	.417	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	104	73
Jordan Jankowski R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	21.8%	16.9%	2.5%	.396	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	196	73
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	73
Mark Thompson R 2000 · 5.25 FIP	29	SU	5.25	16.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.256	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	328	73
Kyle Snyder R 2007 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	16.9%	12.4%	2.9%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	236	72