Jake Walsh — OGILVIE

Jake Walsh P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 192 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%19.1%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

FB-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	16	0	28	108	39	10	1	0%	1.8	24.6%	11.6%	13.0%	1.3%	0.95	3.20	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	16	0	28	108	39	10	1	0%	1.8	36.1%	9.3%	26.9%	0.9%	0.95	1.86	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	140	560	116	35	11	96%	5.6	15.7%	7.3%	8.4%	2.8%	2.51	4.22	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	140	560	116	35	11	96%	5.6	20.7%	6.2%	14.5%	2.0%	2.51	3.21	—
2019	24	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	2	1	2	8	4	1	0	50%	0.8	50.0%	12.5%	37.5%	0.0%	10.80	0.46	—
2019	24	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	2	1	2	8	4	1	0	50%	0.8	50.0%	12.5%	37.5%	0.0%	10.80	0.10	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	88	34	7	2	0%	1.3	28.9%	6.3%	22.6%	0.0%	2.86	1.45	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	22	88	34	7	2	0%	1.3	38.6%	8.0%	30.7%	2.3%	2.86	2.15	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	18	78	27	8	1	0%	1.1	30.7%	10.0%	20.7%	1.7%	3.00	2.69	+0.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	18	78	27	8	1	0%	1.1	34.6%	10.3%	24.4%	1.3%	3.00	2.16	+0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	27	0	31	142	34	23	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.6%	5.3%	4.1%	5.28	5.49	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	27	0	31	142	34	23	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.6%	5.3%	4.1%	5.28	5.49	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	27	0	31	142	34	23	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.2%	7.7%	3.5%	5.28	5.25	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	12.5%	13.6%	-1.1%	0.0%	2.31	3.76	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	12.5%	13.6%	-1.1%	0.0%	2.31	3.76	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	15.1%	15.1%	0.0%	0.0%	2.31	3.79	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	3	15	5	2	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	13.3%	20.0%	0.0%	13.50	1.60	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	ATL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.7%	7.4%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.8%	7.2%	3.2%	5.02	5.11	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	ATL	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.8%	7.2%	3.2%	5.02	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	46	11	6	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.3%	11.4%	2.1%	7.28	3.83	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	919	220	120	20	0%	1.0	23.7%	12.3%	11.4%	2.1%	7.28	3.83	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		114	25	252	1037	203	95	24	22%	2.2	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	2.3%	2.79	3.89	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	20	200	823	161	76	19	22%	2.2	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	2.3%	2.79	3.89	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Walsh (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	19.1%	11.7%	2.9%	—	5.11	19.1%	7.2%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	70
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	69
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	67
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	67
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	66
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	66
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	65
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	64
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	64
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	64
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	64
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	63
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	63
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	63
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	63
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	63
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	63
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	63
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	63
Marco Carrillo R 2017 · 5.33 FIP	30	SW	5.33	11.1%	7.4%	4.1%	.278	6.08	9.9%	0.8%	104	+0.75	5.33	194	62