Jake Walsh
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.1
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 192 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP4.40
SIERA3.18
K%22.2%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%11.5%
IP13
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
FB-1.0
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 16 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 1.3% | 0.95 | 3.20 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 25 | 24 | 140 | 560 | 116 | 35 | 11 | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.51 | 4.17 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.80 | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 17 | 0 | 22 | 88 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 28.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 1.45 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 16 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 30.7% | 10.0% | 1.7% | 3.00 | 2.68 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 0 | 31 | 142 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 5.28 | 5.70 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 11 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 3.99 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 13 | — | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 22.0% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 114 | 25 | 252 | 1037 | 205 | 100 | 24 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 2.79 | 3.90 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 20 | 200 | 823 | 163 | 79 | 19 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 2.79 | 3.90 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Walsh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.61 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 79 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 75 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 73 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 71 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 71 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.58 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% | .257 | 5.67 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | +1.09 | 2.33 | 318 | 70 |
| Yoshihisa Hirano R 2029 · 3.43 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.43 | 22.5% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .242 | 3.91 | 24.6% | 15.2% | 65 | +0.48 | 3.43 | 132 | 70 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 69 |
| Brandon Workman R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.48 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .429 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 4.4% | 28 | +0.48 | 2.04 | 269 | 69 |
| Jeremy Jeffress R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.53 | 20.4% | 7.6% | 2.2% | .312 | 3.71 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 23 | +0.18 | 2.41 | 343 | 69 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.35 | 24.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .269 | 4.60 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 92 | +1.25 | 1.61 | 312 | 69 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 69 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.01 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .276 | 3.38 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.63 | 3.38 | 129 | 69 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 69 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 68 |
| Bryan Morris R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.68 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 68 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 68 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.