Jake Walsh
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 192 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%22.2%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP9
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-1.0
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 16 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 24.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 0.95 | 3.20 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 16 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 36.1% | 9.3% | 26.9% | 0.9% | 0.95 | 1.86 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 140 | 560 | 116 | 35 | 11 | 96% | 5.6 | 15.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 2.51 | 4.44 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 140 | 560 | 116 | 35 | 11 | 96% | 5.6 | 20.7% | 6.2% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 2.51 | 3.21 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 12.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 0.46 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 0.8 | 50.0% | 12.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 0.10 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 22 | 88 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.9% | 6.3% | 22.6% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 1.45 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 22 | 88 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.6% | 8.0% | 30.7% | 2.3% | 2.86 | 2.15 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 10.0% | 20.7% | 1.6% | 3.00 | 2.65 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.6% | 10.3% | 24.4% | 1.3% | 3.00 | 2.16 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 0 | 31 | 142 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.28 | 5.81 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 0 | 31 | 142 | 34 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 5.28 | 5.25 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 11 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 15.8% | -2.6% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 11 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.1% | 15.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 3.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 7.01 | 3.59 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 919 | 239 | 100 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 7.01 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 25 | 252 | 1037 | 205 | 100 | 27 | 22% | 2.2 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 2.79 | 4.06 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 20 | 200 | 823 | 163 | 79 | 21 | 22% | 2.2 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 2.79 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Walsh (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.75 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 20 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 69 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 68 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 67 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 67 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 66 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 65 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 65 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 64 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | .257 | 5.52 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | +1.00 | 2.37 | 318 | 64 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 64 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 64 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 64 |
| Jeremy Jeffress R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.60 | 20.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | .312 | 3.66 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 23 | +0.06 | 2.52 | 343 | 64 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 63 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 63 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 63 |
| Jason Urquidez R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.50 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 1.0% | .386 | 1.76 | 25.5% | 20.7% | 90 | -1.74 | 1.25 | 123 | 63 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 63 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 63 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 62 |