Jake Wong prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jake Wong P Tennessee Smokies

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 218 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%19.9%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP46

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

SL+1.8

FB-0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	113	465	101	35	8	100%	4.9	16.5%	8.7%	7.8%	2.2%	3.90	4.03	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	113	465	101	35	8	100%	4.9	21.7%	7.5%	14.2%	1.7%	3.90	3.16	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	25	17	98	427	108	44	7	68%	3.9	19.5%	11.9%	7.6%	1.8%	4.52	3.96	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	25	17	98	427	108	44	7	68%	3.9	25.3%	10.3%	15.0%	1.6%	4.52	3.17	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	17.5%	10.9%	6.5%	6.5%	6.62	6.59	-1.6
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	17.5%	10.9%	6.5%	6.5%	6.62	6.59	-1.6
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	20.3%	11.4%	8.8%	5.6%	6.62	5.96	-1.1
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	3	15	0	3	0	0%	3.0	0.0%	20.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	9.00	6.10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.9%	10.1%	9.8%	3.3%	4.87	4.87	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CHC	7	7	44	184	37	19	6	100%	6.2	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.4%	4.92	4.99	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	14	59	12	6	2	100%	7.0	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.4%	4.92	4.99	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	2	17	73	11	9	2	67%	5.5	15.8%	12.3%	3.5%	2.7%	5.66	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	25	200	872	132	108	24	67%	5.4	15.8%	12.3%	3.5%	2.7%	5.66	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		84	43	283	1207	215	125	38	51%	3.4	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.76	4.63	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	30	200	852	152	88	27	51%	3.4	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.76	4.63	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Wong (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	19.9%	10.1%	3.3%	—	4.99	19.9%	9.6%	44	+0.12	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	71
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	71
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	70
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	70
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	69
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	68
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	67
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	67
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	67
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	67
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	66
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	66
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	65
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	65
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	65
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	65
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	64
Gabriel Arias R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	29	SP-	4.11	13.9%	6.8%	2.4%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	19.1%	10.5%	1.25	5.03
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68