Jake Wong — OGILVIE

Jake Wong P Tennessee Smokies

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 218 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.88

FIP4.88

K%19.8%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

SL+1.8

FB-0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	113	465	101	35	8	100%	4.9	16.5%	8.7%	7.8%	2.2%	3.90	4.03	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	113	465	101	35	8	100%	4.9	21.7%	7.5%	14.2%	1.7%	3.90	3.16	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	25	17	98	427	108	44	7	68%	3.9	19.5%	11.9%	7.6%	1.8%	4.52	3.96	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	25	17	98	427	108	44	7	68%	3.9	25.3%	10.3%	15.0%	1.6%	4.52	3.17	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	17.3%	10.9%	6.4%	6.5%	6.62	6.60	-1.6
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	17.3%	10.9%	6.4%	6.5%	6.62	6.60	-1.6
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	35	2	71	306	62	35	17	6%	2.0	20.3%	11.4%	8.8%	5.6%	6.62	5.96	-1.1
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	1	1	2	9	2	0	0	100%	2.0	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	3	15	0	3	0	0%	3.0	0.0%	20.0%	-20.0%	0.0%	9.00	6.10	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CHC	1	1	4	17	3	2	1	100%	4.0	19.8%	10.1%	9.7%	3.3%	4.88	4.88	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CHC	7	7	44	184	36	19	6	100%	6.2	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.4%	4.93	5.00	-0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	CHC	2	2	14	59	12	6	2	100%	7.0	19.8%	10.3%	9.5%	3.4%	4.93	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	2	17	73	11	9	2	67%	5.5	15.7%	12.3%	3.4%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	25	200	872	132	108	24	67%	5.4	15.7%	12.3%	3.4%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		84	43	283	1207	215	125	38	51%	3.4	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.76	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	30	200	852	152	88	27	51%	3.4	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	3.2%	4.76	4.64	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Wong (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.88	19.8%	10.1%	3.3%	—	5.00	19.8%	9.5%	44	+0.12	—	—	—
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	71
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	71
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	71
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	71
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	70
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	69
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	69
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	69
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	69
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	69
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	68
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	68
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	68
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	68
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	67
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	67
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	45	19.8%	10.2%	1.30	4.90
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50