Jake Wong
P
Tennessee Smokies
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 218 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%22.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP46
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+1.8
FB-0.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 113 | 465 | 101 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 4.06 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 113 | 465 | 101 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 4.9 | 21.7% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 3.90 | 3.16 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 25 | 17 | 98 | 427 | 108 | 44 | 7 | 68% | 3.9 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 4.52 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 25 | 17 | 98 | 427 | 108 | 44 | 7 | 68% | 3.9 | 25.3% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 1.6% | 4.52 | 3.17 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 71 | 306 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6% | 2.0 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.62 | 6.58 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 35 | 2 | 71 | 306 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6% | 2.0 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.62 | 5.96 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.22 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 22.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 46 | 196 | 44 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 44 | 184 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 4.69 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 2 | 17 | 73 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 67% | 5.5 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 4.64 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 25 | 200 | 872 | 156 | 108 | 24 | 67% | 5.4 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 84 | 43 | 283 | 1207 | 216 | 127 | 37 | 51% | 3.4 | 17.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.61 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 30 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 90 | 26 | 51% | 3.4 | 17.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Wong (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.76 | 22.1% | 12.1% | 44 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 74 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 74 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 71 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 70 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 69 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 69 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 68 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 67 |
| Nathan Eovaldi R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.49 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 5.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 24.6% | 20.4% | 340 | -2.25 | 2.49 | 1,354 | 66 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 66 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 66 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 65 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.94 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .271 | 4.11 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 43 | +0.17 | 3.39 | 382 | 65 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 65 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 65 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 64 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 45 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 1.29 | 4.65 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |