Jake Wong
P
Tennessee Smokies
+0.3
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 218 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.62
FIP4.62
xFIP7.36
SIERA7.66
K%22.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.6%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
SL+1.8
FB-0.9
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | 23 | 23 | 113 | 465 | 101 | 35 | 8 | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.90 | 4.01 | +1.6 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 25 | 17 | 98 | 427 | 108 | 44 | 7 | 19.5% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 4.52 | 3.95 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 35 | 2 | 71 | 306 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 6.62 | 6.71 | -1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 63 | 27 | 9 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.62 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 61 | 27 | 9 | 22.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.65 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 60 | — | 60 | 251 | 55 | 25 | 9 | 21.9% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 4.72 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 240 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 49 | 24 | 8 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 45 | 23 | 8 | 20.9% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 41 | 22 | 8 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 5.14 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 84 | 43 | 283 | 1207 | 216 | 127 | 38 | 17.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.65 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 30 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 90 | 27 | 17.9% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.65 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Wong (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 22.4% | 9.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.71 | 22.1% | 12.2% | 186 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 85 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.23 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.16 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -1.07 | 2.29 | 332 | 85 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 84 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 83 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 82 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 82 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.92 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | .272 | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.30 | 3.62 | 224 | 82 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 82 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 81 |
| Blake Smith R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.63 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 124 | 80 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 80 |
| Joakim Soria R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 80 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 79 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.20 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .218 | 3.50 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.70 | 2.73 | 141 | 79 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.