Luis Pacheco

P Somerset Patriots

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 253 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2019	20	ROKGCL Phillies …	11	6	32	4.45	2.95	21.9%	10.6%	—	K 14.9% · BB 13.2% · FIP 4.03
2024	25	MIX3 levels	20	0	26	3.16	2.79	26.6%	7.3%	—	K 25.4% · BB 7.0% · FIP 4.02
2025	26	MIX2 levels	36	0	39	5.72	4.24	21.0%	10.2%	—	K 17.5% · BB 10.3% · FIP 4.79
2027PROJ	28	MLBNYY	19	0	20	4.69	4.69	20.0%	9.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBNYY	6	0	6	4.73	4.78	20.1%	9.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsLuis Mateo (age 27) · Coleman Huntley III (age 28) · Nelson Gonzalez (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%20.0%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	2	2	7	28	7	1	0	100%	3.5	25.0%	3.6%	21.4%	0.0%	2.57	1.44	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	2	2	7	28	7	1	0	100%	3.5	25.0%	3.6%	21.4%	0.0%	2.57	1.53	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	16	11	63	277	61	33	1	69%	3.9	15.0%	14.9%	0.1%	0.5%	2.00	4.00	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	16	11	63	277	61	33	1	69%	3.9	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	0.4%	2.00	2.94	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies West	11	6	32	151	33	16	1	55%	2.9	14.9%	13.2%	1.6%	0.9%	4.45	4.03	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies West	11	6	32	151	33	16	1	55%	2.9	21.9%	10.6%	11.3%	0.7%	4.45	2.95	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	26	109	29	8	2	0%	1.3	25.4%	7.0%	18.4%	4.0%	3.16	4.02	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	0	26	109	29	8	2	0%	1.3	25.4%	7.0%	18.4%	4.0%	3.16	4.02	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	0	26	109	29	8	2	0%	1.3	26.6%	7.3%	19.3%	1.8%	3.16	2.79	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	39	176	37	18	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	10.3%	7.2%	3.4%	5.72	4.79	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	39	176	37	18	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	10.3%	7.2%	3.4%	5.72	4.79	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	39	176	37	18	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.2%	10.8%	2.8%	5.72	4.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	NYY	19	0	20	84	17	8	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	9.7%	10.4%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	17	8	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.73	4.78	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYY	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.73	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	3	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.73	4.40	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	96	32	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.9%	10.3%	3.2%	4.73	4.40	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		85	19	167	741	129	88	13	22%	2.0	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	1.8%	3.55	4.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	23	200	886	155	105	16	22%	2.0	17.5%	11.9%	5.6%	1.8%	3.55	4.10	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Pacheco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	20.0%	9.7%	3.0%	—	4.78	20.1%	10.3%	20	+0.09	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	78
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	76
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	76
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	76
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	76
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	76
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	75
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	75
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	75
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	75
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	75
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	75
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	75
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	74
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	74
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74