Jack Owen

P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 204 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	24	MIX2 levels	34	10	88	3.38	2.98	25.4%	6.4%	—	K 19.2% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.00
2023	25	A+OAK	30	3	62	3.77	2.91	20.7%	5.5%	—	K 15.9% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.44
2024	26	A+OAK	35	0	51	7.41	4.59	13.6%	7.0%	—	K 10.5% · BB 8.1% · FIP 5.53
2027PROJ	29	MLBOAK	33	0	35	4.63	4.63	19.2%	8.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	30	MLBOAK	10	0	10	4.70	4.77	19.3%	9.0%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsAndrew Barbosa (age 29) · Raul Valdes (age 32) · Ryan Verdugo (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%19.2%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%10.5%

Proj IP35

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	7	4	20	92	21	4	3	57%	2.9	17.6%	5.0%	12.6%	4.2%	4.50	4.58	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	7	4	20	92	21	4	3	57%	2.9	22.8%	4.3%	18.5%	3.3%	4.50	3.55	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	10	88	362	92	23	8	29%	2.6	19.2%	7.4%	11.8%	2.9%	3.38	4.00	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	10	88	362	92	23	8	29%	2.6	25.4%	6.4%	19.1%	2.2%	3.38	2.98	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	30	3	62	256	53	14	4	10%	2.1	15.9%	6.3%	9.7%	1.6%	3.77	3.44	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	30	3	62	256	53	14	4	10%	2.1	20.7%	5.5%	15.2%	1.6%	3.77	2.91	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	10.5%	8.1%	2.4%	4.2%	7.41	5.53	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	10.5%	8.1%	2.4%	4.2%	7.41	5.53	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	35	0	51	242	33	17	7	0%	1.5	13.6%	7.0%	6.6%	2.9%	7.41	4.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	OAK	33	0	35	148	28	13	4	0%	1.1	19.2%	8.7%	10.5%	3.0%	4.63	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	31	0	33	139	27	13	4	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.0%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.77	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	8	4	1	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.0%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	8	4	1	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.0%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.39	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	80	20	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.0%	10.2%	3.2%	4.70	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		106	17	221	952	152	67	29	16%	2.1	15.9%	7.0%	8.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.29	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	15	200	862	137	61	26	16%	2.1	15.9%	7.0%	8.9%	3.0%	4.52	4.29	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Owen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	19.2%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.77	19.3%	10.2%	33	+0.14	—	—	—
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	85
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	83
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	80
Chad Zerbe L 2001 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	.299	3.88	9.4%	2.6%	106	+0.13	3.75	145	77
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	77
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	76
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	76
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	75
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	75
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	74
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	74
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	73
Colt Hynes L 2013 · 4.76 FIP	28	SU	4.76	15.5%	8.3%	3.5%	.361	3.49	19.3%	12.8%	96	-1.27	3.42	169	73
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	73
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	72
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	72
Matt Thornton L 2006 · 3.43 FIP	29	SU	3.43	21.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.263	2.61	27.2%	20.5%	196	-0.82	1.71	663	71
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	71
Chad Bell L 2018 · 4.38 FIP	29	SU	4.38	18.8%	7.4%	3.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	393	71
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	19.2%	8.9%	1.21	4.66
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*