Wyatt Mills P Oklahoma City Comets
Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.55
FIP5.45
K%18.5%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%4.4%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
K: +4.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+5KBB: -15.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-15BBCONTACT: +13.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+13CONTACTSTAM: +6.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: +0.92 (76 IP)+0.9WAR
-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.6262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4545
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p6728.0%
K%
p3720.3%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
FB+2.1
SL-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201722AClinton LumberKings110135218600%1.225.6%13.6%12.0%0.0%1.352.66
201722AClinton LumberKings110135218600%1.234.6%11.5%23.1%0.0%1.351.75
201823MIX2 levels44053220591210%1.220.8%6.2%14.6%0.7%3.572.49
201823MIX2 levels44053220591210%1.226.8%5.5%21.4%0.5%3.571.80
201924AAArkansas Travelers41053217661620%1.324.6%8.1%16.5%1.9%4.273.11
201924AAArkansas Travelers41053217661620%1.330.4%7.4%23.0%0.9%4.272.00
202126MIX2 levels34141178621333%1.231.4%7.5%23.9%1.9%5.232.44+1.0
202126MIX2 levels34141178621333%1.234.8%7.3%27.5%1.7%5.231.99+1.2
202227MIX2 levels56063262662640%1.123.4%10.2%13.1%1.7%3.293.36+0.9
202227MIX2 levels56063262662640%1.125.2%9.9%15.3%1.5%3.293.07+1.1
202530AAAWorcester Red Sox327522264929822%1.619.1%13.5%5.6%4.0%3.125.40
202530AAAWorcester Red Sox327522264929822%1.621.7%12.8%8.8%3.5%3.124.89
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBLos Angeles Dodgers34037164522300%1.130.2%12.8%17.4%0.0%3.162.17+1.0
ROS31MLBLAD38039167312350%1.018.5%14.1%4.4%3.2%5.555.45-0.4
ROS31MLBLAD37039165302350%1.118.5%14.1%4.4%3.2%5.555.45-0.4
2026 TOT31MLBLAD763318346525.0%14.1%11.0%1.6%4.393.86+0.9
2026 FULL31MLBLAD441858346544.8%25.1%19.6%2.9%7.674.07+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBLAD57060254463780%1.118.0%14.6%3.4%3.3%5.555.61-0.7
202833MLBLAD53055233413480%1.017.6%14.7%2.9%3.5%5.665.79-0.8
202934MLBLAD48050212363280%1.017.0%14.9%2.1%3.8%5.856.02-0.9
202732MLBLAD54057241433580%1.118.0%14.6%3.4%3.3%5.555.61-0.7
202833MLBLAD50052220393280%1.017.6%14.7%2.9%3.5%5.665.79-0.8
202934MLBLAD43045190322870%1.017.0%14.9%2.1%3.8%5.856.02-0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career22802411037187144300%1.118.0%13.9%4.1%2.9%5.764.94+1.3
/ 200 IP1900200861155120250%1.118.0%13.9%4.1%2.9%5.764.94+1.1
Career25283121319322130233%1.224.4%9.8%14.6%1.7%3.633.23+7.9
/ 200 IP161520084520683153%1.224.4%9.8%14.6%1.7%3.633.23+5.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Wyatt Mills (OGILVIE) 5.45 18.5%14.1%3.2% 5.79 17.6%2.8%166 +0.34
Dustin McGowan R 2028 · 5.47 FIP 33 SU 5.47 15.0%14.5%3.3%.300 4.24 20.9%13.0%145 -1.23 3.83 208 80
Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 31 SU 4.66 21.1%15.3%2.6%.233 3.63 24.4%10.4%46 -1.03 2.40 231 75
Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 75
Noah Song R 2024 · 4.96 FIP 29 SU 4.96 16.6%14.2%2.7%.348 3.62 106 75
Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.80 FIP 31 SU 4.80 13.4%8.9%3.1%.286 4.11 9.8%0.3%53 -0.69 4.11 156 74
Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 31 SU 4.42 17.2%13.7%1.9%.310 4.23 241 73
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 72
Blake Treinen R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 31 SU 4.89 22.2%13.5%3.5%.302 2.69 27.3%19.4%98 -2.20 1.51 544 72
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 72
Grant Black R 2024 · 5.81 FIP 29 SU 5.81 16.3%13.2%4.4%.352 4.49 215 72
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.78 FIP 31 SU 4.78 16.7%8.6%3.7%.282 3.61 20.9%15.1%136 -1.17 2.95 260 72
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 31 SU 4.66 16.0%7.6%3.6%.270 4.93 19.3%9.7%63 +0.27 2.90 227 72
Jaye Chapman R 2025 · 5.34 FIP 30 SU 5.34 13.0%13.4%3.0%.311 3.27 150 72
Dalier Hinojosa R 2025 · 4.38 FIP 30 SU 4.38 18.7%12.6%2.3%.329 3.56 104 71
Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP 34 SW 4.65 13.5%9.6%2.7%.347 3.78 14.0%6.5%79 -0.87 3.32 119 71
Jeff Manship R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 31 SU 4.88 19.0%10.6%3.7%.262 2.75 114 71
Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 31 SU 5.26 19.3%14.7%3.5%.326 3.22 254 71
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.44 FIP 31 SU 4.44 22.1%13.9%2.6%.293 3.55 27.6%18.2%147 -0.89 3.07 363 70
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 70
Francisco Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.14 FIP 32 SU 5.14 11.1%8.1%3.6%.281 4.13 12.1%4.4%139 -1.01 3.26 273 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45217.8%14.6%1.335.65
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78