Raul Brito

P St. Paul Saints

Age 30 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	28	AAASD	48	63	6.11	4.22	27.6%	11.8%	—	K 23.7% · BB 10.6% · FIP 4.51
2026	29	AAAMIN	32	53	4.25	4.50	20.8%	13.3%	—	K 17.9% · BB 12.0% · FIP 4.62
2027PROJ	30	MLBMIN	65	68	4.78	4.78	21.1%	11.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBMIN	22	23	4.86	4.94	20.9%	11.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBMIN	30	32	5.00	5.12	20.6%	11.5%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control45Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJim Miller (age 30) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%21.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.0%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	3	0	6	27	5	2	0	0%	2.0	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.47	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	3	0	6	27	5	2	0	0%	2.0	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.43	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	18	0	31	146	28	16	0	0%	1.7	13.0%	13.7%	-0.7%	0.0%	4.02	3.73	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	18	0	31	146	28	16	0	0%	1.7	19.2%	11.0%	8.2%	0.0%	4.02	2.84	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	0	23	108	21	15	0	0%	1.8	13.2%	17.4%	-4.1%	0.0%	2.35	4.18	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	13	0	23	108	21	15	0	0%	1.8	19.4%	13.9%	5.6%	0.0%	2.35	3.23	—
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	20	0	27	130	29	17	0	0%	1.3	16.5%	15.4%	1.1%	0.0%	4.39	3.66	—
2019	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	20	0	27	130	29	17	0	0%	1.3	22.3%	13.1%	9.2%	0.0%	4.39	2.84	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	38	181	44	28	5	0%	1.6	18.3%	18.0%	0.3%	3.4%	5.97	5.68	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	38	181	44	28	5	0%	1.6	24.3%	15.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.97	4.72	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	33	0	52	217	55	18	1	0%	1.6	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	0.7%	3.10	3.02	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	33	0	52	217	55	18	1	0%	1.6	25.3%	8.3%	17.1%	0.5%	3.10	2.28	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	62	263	78	28	1	0%	2.3	23.6%	11.9%	11.7%	0.6%	2.60	2.92	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	62	263	78	28	1	0%	2.3	29.7%	10.6%	19.0%	0.4%	2.60	2.15	—
2024	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	23.5%	11.7%	11.9%	2.9%	3.31	4.18	—
2024	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	23.5%	11.7%	11.9%	2.9%	3.31	4.18	—
2024	27	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	29.0%	10.6%	18.4%	2.3%	3.31	3.25	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	23.7%	10.6%	13.1%	3.8%	6.11	4.51	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	23.7%	10.6%	13.1%	3.8%	6.11	4.51	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	27.6%	11.8%	15.8%	3.4%	6.11	4.22	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.8%	4.25	4.62	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	17.9%	12.0%	5.9%	2.8%	4.25	4.62	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	20.8%	13.3%	7.5%	2.5%	4.25	4.50	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIN	65	0	68	287	61	32	9	0%	1.0	21.1%	11.1%	10.0%	3.1%	4.78	4.78	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	60	0	63	267	56	30	9	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.3%	9.7%	3.3%	4.86	4.94	-0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	MIN	56	0	59	247	51	28	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.5%	5.00	5.12	-0.4
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	22	0	23	97	20	11	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.3%	9.7%	3.3%	4.86	4.94	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	MIN	30	0	32	135	28	16	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.5%	5.00	5.12	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	235	49	27	8	0%	1.0	20.8%	11.4%	9.4%	3.4%	4.94	4.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	97	29	0%	1.1	20.8%	11.4%	9.4%	3.4%	4.94	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		251	1	410	1826	362	231	33	0%	1.6	19.8%	12.6%	7.2%	1.8%	4.00	4.02	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	891	177	113	16	0%	1.6	19.8%	12.6%	7.2%	1.8%	4.00	4.02	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raul Brito (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	21.1%	11.1%	3.1%	—	5.03	20.8%	9.4%	122	+0.25	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	90
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	86
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	82
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	80
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	80
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	77
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	76
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	76
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	76
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	75
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	75
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	75
Tyler Yates R 2008 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	19.0%	11.2%	1.8%	.293	5.06	16.1%	5.4%	12	+1.16	3.23	248	75
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	74
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	74
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	74
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	20.9%	11.3%	1.27	4.87
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*