Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 0.6% | 2.72 | 2.86 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.6% | 9.0% | 20.6% | 0.5% | 2.72 | 2.07 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.6% | 1.07 | 2.06 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 50 | 199 | 61 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 4.5% | 26.1% | 0.5% | 1.07 | 1.47 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 49 | 204 | 60 | 17 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 5.11 | 5.52 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 49 | 204 | 60 | 17 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.4% | 8.3% | 21.1% | 5.9% | 5.11 | 4.86 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 201 | 59 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 6.1% | 3.33 | 5.31 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 49 | 201 | 59 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.4% | 7.5% | 21.9% | 4.0% | 3.33 | 3.74 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 39 | 157 | 37 | 10 | 6 | 4% | 1.5 | 19.3% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 2.97 | 4.83 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 1 | 39 | 157 | 37 | 10 | 6 | 4% | 1.5 | 23.6% | 6.4% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 2.97 | 3.96 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 32 | 141 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.6% | 6.0% | 16.6% | 2.7% | 5.01 | 3.43 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 32 | 141 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.0% | 5.0% | 22.0% | 2.8% | 5.01 | 3.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.16 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 64 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 212 | 1 | 270 | 1101 | 256 | 85 | 38 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 3.27 | 4.01 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 1 | 200 | 817 | 190 | 63 | 28 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 3.27 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Eveld (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 23.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.54 | 22.9% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 91 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 87 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 83 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 83 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 82 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 82 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 82 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 81 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 80 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 79 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 79 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 79 |
| Josh Fields R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.62 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .224 | 7.57 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 25 | +3.95 | 1.86 | 238 | 78 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 78 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 78 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 77 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 77 |