Brenan Hanifee
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109100vR 91
ERA3.75
FIP3.94
K%16.2%
BB%5.8%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7296.1
Whiff%
p1011.5%
K%
p1010.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.371
FB+3.0 (75%)
SI (63%)
SL-1.7 (21%)
CH-2.4 (4%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 23 | 132 | 529 | 85 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 11.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 2.86 | 4.17 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 23 | 23 | 132 | 529 | 85 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.1% | 4.2% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 2.86 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 24 | 22 | 129 | 566 | 78 | 57 | 12 | 92% | 5.4 | 10.6% | 11.6% | -1.0% | 2.1% | 4.60 | 4.82 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 24 | 22 | 129 | 566 | 78 | 57 | 12 | 92% | 5.4 | 13.8% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.60 | 4.43 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 44 | 183 | 40 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 18.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | 3.92 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 44 | 183 | 40 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 3.4 | 21.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 2.2% | 3.92 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 13 | 95 | 422 | 85 | 30 | 12 | 46% | 3.4 | 18.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.44 | 4.65 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 13 | 95 | 422 | 85 | 30 | 12 | 46% | 3.4 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 3.90 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 3 | 76 | 324 | 76 | 20 | 8 | 5% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 3.89 | 4.38 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 55 | 3 | 76 | 324 | 76 | 20 | 8 | 5% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 6.2% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.89 | 3.26 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 1 | 66 | 282 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 2% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 1.3% | 2.86 | 3.08 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 60 | 1 | 66 | 282 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 2% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 4.6% | 12.1% | 1.1% | 2.86 | 2.86 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 35 | 3 | 38 | 169 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 9% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 5.26 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | DET | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 76 | 330 | 55 | 22 | 9 | — | — | 16.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.23 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | DET | — | — | 52 | 218 | 55 | 22 | 9 | — | — | 25.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 4.3% | 6.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 70 | 0 | 73 | 310 | 46 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 41 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | DET | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | DET | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 44 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.41 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | DET | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 39 | 17 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | DET | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.98 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 315 | 5 | 342 | 1452 | 215 | 82 | 38 | 2% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 3.99 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 3 | 200 | 848 | 126 | 48 | 22 | 2% | 1.1 | 14.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 238 | 78 | 580 | 2475 | 372 | 187 | 68 | 33% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 4.31 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 128 | 65 | 24 | 33% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 3.88 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brenan Hanifee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | — | 4.75 | 14.1% | 7.9% | 207 | +0.52 | — | — | — |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 83 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 80 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 80 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 79 |
| Anthony Bass R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 76 |
| Elian Leyva R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 76 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 75 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2024 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 141 | 75 |
| Donovan Hand R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 74 |
| Ryan Halstead R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.31 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 1.1% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 222 | 73 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 15.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 140 | 73 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 73 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 73 |
| John Church R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | .278 | 2.78 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 30 | -0.96 | 2.78 | 101 | 73 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 73 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 72 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 65 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 1.15 | 4.50 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |