Kade Strowd — OGILVIE

Kade Strowd P Reno Aces

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 200 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.09

FIP4.22

K%24.8%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%12.3%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6895.8

Whiff%

p6026.8%

p5422.9%

xwOBA vs

p900.262

FB+2.8 (33%)

CT+2.4 (41%)

SL+1.5 (11%)

SI (15%)

CU (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	21	1	38	173	45	15	6	5%	1.8	20.0%	10.0%	10.1%	4.2%	8.05	4.96	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	21	1	38	173	45	15	6	5%	1.8	26.0%	8.7%	17.3%	3.5%	8.05	3.97	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	1	17	67	24	6	2	8%	1.3	26.5%	11.3%	15.2%	4.0%	1.06	4.48	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	1	17	67	24	6	2	8%	1.3	35.8%	9.0%	26.9%	3.0%	1.06	2.86	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	35	0	55	255	67	32	7	0%	1.6	21.3%	13.8%	7.5%	2.7%	5.20	4.55	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	35	0	55	255	67	32	7	0%	1.6	21.3%	13.8%	7.5%	2.7%	5.20	4.55	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	35	0	55	255	67	32	7	0%	1.6	26.3%	12.5%	13.7%	2.7%	5.20	4.06	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	51	231	71	28	7	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.5%	13.1%	4.0%	5.44	4.70	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	51	231	71	28	7	0%	1.1	25.5%	12.5%	13.1%	4.0%	5.44	4.70	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	51	231	71	28	7	0%	1.1	30.7%	12.1%	18.6%	3.0%	5.44	3.74	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	61	258	65	28	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.3%	12.2%	1.3%	3.10	3.20	+1.0
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	61	258	65	28	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.3%	12.2%	1.3%	3.10	3.20	+1.0
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	61	258	65	28	3	0%	1.1	25.2%	10.9%	14.3%	1.2%	3.10	2.99	+1.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			27	0	29	119	25	18	1	0%	1.1	21.0%	15.1%	5.9%	0.8%	1.86	3.69	+0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	45	1	47	221	43	33	3	2%	1.0	16.8%	12.2%	4.7%	1.6%	5.94	4.09	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	45	1	47	221	43	33	3	2%	1.0	16.8%	12.2%	4.7%	1.6%	5.94	4.09	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	ARI	43	1	44	207	42	28	3	2%	1.0	20.3%	13.5%	6.8%	1.4%	6.09	3.90	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	ARI	2	0	3	14	1	5	0	0%	1.4	7.1%	35.7%	-28.6%	0.0%	3.38	7.02	—
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	ARI	2	0	3	14	1	5	0	0%	1.4	7.1%	35.7%	-28.6%	0.0%	3.38	7.02	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	ARI	5	0	5	23	6	3	1	0%	1.1	24.8%	12.5%	12.3%	2.3%	4.09	4.22	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	ARI	5	0	5	21	5	3	0	0%	1.0	24.8%	12.5%	12.3%	2.3%	4.09	4.22	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	52	244	49	36	4	—	—	20.0%	14.7%	5.3%	1.4%	5.74	4.11	+0.3
FULL	28	MLB A+C	ARI	—	—	8	34	49	36	4	—	—	142.1%	104.6%	37.5%	10.3%	37.10	10.00	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	59	0	62	261	63	32	7	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.4%	11.7%	2.5%	4.27	4.39	+0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	55	0	58	245	57	31	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.4%	10.9%	2.7%	4.46	4.59	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	56	0	59	249	60	31	6	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.4%	11.7%	2.5%	4.27	4.39	+0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	52	0	55	232	54	29	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	12.4%	10.9%	2.7%	4.46	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	0	148	623	145	81	14	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.9%	10.3%	2.3%	3.86	4.02	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	840	195	109	19	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.9%	10.3%	2.3%	3.86	4.02	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		214	3	270	1205	261	142	33	1%	1.3	21.7%	11.8%	9.9%	2.7%	5.04	4.26	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		159	2	200	894	194	105	24	1%	1.3	21.7%	11.8%	9.9%	2.7%	5.04	4.26	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kade Strowd (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	24.8%	12.5%	2.3%	—	4.49	23.7%	11.3%	120	+0.27	—	—	—
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	82
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	81
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	81
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	80
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Blake Treinen R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	24.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.271	3.04	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.28	1.53	547	79
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	79
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	79
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	78
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	78
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	78
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	77
Austin Adams R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.40	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.11	3.40	162	77
Luis García R 2015 · 3.23 FIP	28	SU	3.23	20.7%	9.5%	1.2%	.327	3.22	21.6%	12.8%	187	-0.01	2.33	617	77
Bryan Shaw R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	28	SU	3.73	25.1%	9.1%	2.9%	.277	3.83	21.1%	12.7%	203	+0.10	2.78	596	77
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	24.1%	12.4%	0.97	4.27
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99