Kade Strowd
P
Reno Aces
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.11
FIP4.26
K%25.4%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p6026.8%
K%
p5422.9%
xwOBA vs
p900.262
FB+2.8 (33%)
CT+2.4 (41%)
SL+1.5 (11%)
SI (15%)
CU (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 1 | 38 | 173 | 45 | 15 | 6 | 5% | 1.8 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 8.05 | 4.87 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 1 | 38 | 173 | 45 | 15 | 6 | 5% | 1.8 | 26.0% | 8.7% | 17.3% | 3.5% | 8.05 | 3.97 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 17 | 67 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 3.9% | 1.06 | 4.42 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 17 | 67 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 8% | 1.3 | 35.8% | 9.0% | 26.9% | 3.0% | 1.06 | 2.86 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 35 | 0 | 55 | 255 | 67 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 5.20 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 35 | 0 | 55 | 255 | 67 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.06 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 231 | 71 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 4.84 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 51 | 231 | 71 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.7% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 3.0% | 5.44 | 3.74 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 65 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 1.3% | 3.10 | 3.27 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 65 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 1.2% | 3.10 | 2.99 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 1 | 31 | 156 | 30 | 23 | 3 | 3% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 7.76 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 45 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 74 | 335 | 76 | 47 | 7 | — | — | 22.6% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 5.66 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 44 | 184 | 76 | 47 | 7 | — | — | 41.2% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 3.9% | 9.60 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 59 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 64 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 59 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 53 | 30 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 55 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 50 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.84 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 224 | 0 | 235 | 990 | 238 | 132 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 4.10 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 842 | 202 | 112 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 2.4% | 4.13 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 200 | 3 | 254 | 1140 | 256 | 144 | 32 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.32 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 157 | 2 | 200 | 898 | 202 | 114 | 25 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 5.21 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kade Strowd (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 25.4% | 13.3% | 2.3% | — | 4.62 | 23.9% | 10.7% | 174 | +0.36 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 84 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 79 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 78 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 78 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 78 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 78 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2029 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 77 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.02 | 23.1% | 16.2% | 1.5% | .325 | 4.10 | 16.8% | 6.2% | 103 | +0.08 | 4.02 | 328 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.91 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.37 | 2.90 | 484 | 77 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.59 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 0.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 160 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 77 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 77 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 76 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2025 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 25.5% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .272 | 2.45 | 19.9% | 14.3% | 37 | -1.13 | 2.45 | 138 | 76 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 24.2% | 13.2% | 1.02 | 4.42 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |