Kade Strowd
P
Reno Aces
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA3.24
FIP4.27
xFIP3.96
SIERA4.02
K%23.8%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.5%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
STUF5555
CTRL3535
CMD4545
K†6060
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p6026.8%
K%
p5422.9%
xwOBA vs
p900.262
FB+2.8 (33%)
CT+2.4 (41%)
SL+1.5 (11%)
SI (15%)
CU (13%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 21 | 1 | 38 | 173 | 45 | 15 | 6 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 8.05 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 13 | 1 | 17 | 67 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 26.5% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.06 | 4.48 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 35 | 0 | 55 | 255 | 67 | 32 | 7 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 5.20 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 46 | 0 | 51 | 231 | 71 | 28 | 7 | 27.1% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 54 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 65 | 28 | 3 | 23.3% | 11.1% | 1.3% | 3.10 | 3.23 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 1.69 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 22 | — | 22 | 91 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 25.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.16 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 27 | 111 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 2.87 | 3.31 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 56 | 27 | 5 | 25.1% | 12.3% | 2.4% | 3.81 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 53 | 26 | 5 | 24.4% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 50 | 25 | 5 | 23.8% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 46 | 24 | 5 | 23.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.58 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 21.8% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 21.1% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.86 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 38 | — | 38 | 160 | 32 | 21 | 5 | 20.3% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 5.02 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 174 | 2 | 228 | 1004 | 234 | 126 | 30 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 2 | 200 | 881 | 205 | 111 | 26 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.78 | 4.38 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kade Strowd (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.13 | 25.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | — | 4.32 | 24.5% | 12.2% | 153 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 84 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 81 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 80 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 78 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 78 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 283 | 77 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 77 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 29.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .353 | 3.06 | 35.5% | 27.4% | 61 | -0.40 | 1.53 | 433 | 77 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.53 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.06 | 3.04 | 432 | 77 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.51 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 315 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 25.5% | 12.6% | 2.0% | .272 | 2.48 | 19.9% | 14.3% | 37 | -1.17 | 2.48 | 138 | 77 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.39 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .264 | 2.39 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.00 | 2.39 | 132 | 76 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 76 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .253 | 3.83 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.45 | 2.84 | 484 | 76 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2029 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.