John Doxakis

P Columbus Clippers

Age 28 LHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	27	25	116	4.89	4.20	22.9%	10.7%	—	K 18.2% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.12
2023	24	MIX2 levels	36	0	84	5.89	4.34	22.0%	11.3%	—	K 18.2% · BB 12.2% · FIP 4.58
2024	25	AAACLE	20	0	31	7.26	5.55	19.4%	18.1%	—	K 16.6% · BB 16.3% · FIP 5.22
2027PROJ	28	MLBCLE	17	0	18	4.86	4.86	20.6%	11.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBCLE	7	0	7	4.89	4.94	20.6%	11.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJohn Rheinecker (age 28) · Matt Whitehouse (age 28) · Brad Mills (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%20.6%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%8.9%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	103	412	114	19	7	91%	4.5	21.0%	5.3%	15.7%	2.2%	3.94	3.19	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	103	412	114	19	7	91%	4.5	27.7%	4.6%	23.1%	1.7%	3.94	2.32	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	116	494	113	53	15	93%	4.3	18.2%	11.9%	6.3%	3.7%	4.89	5.12	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	116	494	113	53	15	93%	4.3	22.9%	10.7%	12.1%	3.0%	4.89	4.20	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	84	382	84	43	11	0%	2.3	18.2%	12.2%	6.0%	2.7%	5.89	4.58	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	84	382	84	43	11	0%	2.3	22.0%	11.3%	10.7%	2.9%	5.89	4.34	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	16.6%	16.3%	0.4%	2.7%	7.26	5.22	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	16.6%	16.3%	0.4%	2.7%	7.26	5.22	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	20	0	31	155	30	28	4	0%	1.6	19.4%	18.1%	1.3%	2.6%	7.26	5.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	CLE	17	0	18	76	16	9	2	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.7%	8.9%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.7%	9.0%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	CLE	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.6%	11.7%	9.0%	3.1%	4.89	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.7%	9.0%	3.1%	4.89	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	20.6%	11.7%	9.0%	3.1%	4.89	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		106	46	334	1443	272	152	42	43%	3.1	18.8%	10.6%	8.3%	2.9%	5.07	4.44	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	28	200	865	163	91	25	43%	3.1	18.8%	10.6%	8.3%	2.9%	5.07	4.44	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
John Doxakis (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	20.6%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.94	20.6%	9.0%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	72
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	71
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	68
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	68
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	68
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	67
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	66
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	66
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	64
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	64
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	64
Carlos Teller L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	28	SP-	3.75	13.8%	10.9%	0.8%	.329	4.75	13.3%	3.1%	187	+1.00	3.75	333	64
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	63
Manny Banuelos L 2019 · 5.89 FIP	28	SP-	5.89	18.7%	12.8%	5.0%	.322	2.95	22.9%	12.0%	72	-2.94	2.95	486	63
Houston Harding L 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	16.5%	11.2%	2.6%	.268	5.19	12.0%	0.5%	61	+0.65	3.41	239	62
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	62
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	61
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	61
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	61
John Parke L 2023 · 4.35 FIP	28	SP-	4.35	15.5%	10.1%	2.3%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	655	60