Braeden Ogle
P
Altoona Curve
+0.1
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.1%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.1%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 8 | 8 | 28 | 110 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 12.4% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 2.60 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 10 | 10 | 43 | 184 | 35 | 16 | 1 | 12.9% | 10.9% | 0.8% | 3.14 | 3.80 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 21 | A | West Virginia Power | 4 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 1.5% | 2.65 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 27 | 2 | 43 | 176 | 44 | 13 | 7 | 19.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.56 | 5.88 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 44 | 0 | 51 | 237 | 60 | 35 | 7 | 22.3% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 5.68 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 36 | 0 | 36 | 164 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 12.9% | 12.8% | 0.6% | 5.30 | 3.99 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 34 | 3 | 37 | 176 | 40 | 36 | 6 | 19.2% | 20.3% | 4.3% | 5.35 | 6.43 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 27 | — | 27 | 113 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 163 | 27 | 254 | 1120 | 195 | 155 | 32 | 17.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.98 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 21 | 200 | 882 | 154 | 122 | 25 | 17.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.98 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braeden Ogle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.52 | 22.9% | 12.9% | 27 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 83 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .318 | 6.63 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +3.01 | 2.70 | 230 | 82 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 81 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 80 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 80 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 79 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 78 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 78 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 78 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 78 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.75 | 176 | 77 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 77 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 76 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 76 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 76 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.74 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.72 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.02 | 2.70 | 655 | 75 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2025 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.35 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.5% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 74 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.72 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .329 | 3.96 | 22.1% | 15.6% | 150 | -0.76 | 1.36 | 350 | 74 |
| Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.