Zach Muckenhirn prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Zach Muckenhirn P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.63

FIP4.63

K%18.9%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

FB-2.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	21	115	529	89	34	12	95%	5.2	12.4%	7.6%	4.9%	3.6%	5.09	5.01	—
2017	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	21	115	529	89	34	12	95%	5.2	16.8%	6.4%	10.4%	2.3%	5.09	3.80	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	64	274	79	26	2	0%	1.5	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	0.7%	3.64	2.98	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	64	274	79	26	2	0%	1.5	28.8%	9.5%	19.3%	0.7%	3.64	2.26	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	57	245	73	24	4	0%	1.4	23.8%	10.5%	13.4%	1.7%	4.11	3.32	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	57	245	73	24	4	0%	1.4	29.8%	9.8%	20.0%	1.6%	4.11	2.71	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	30	0	41	166	42	19	3	0%	1.4	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	2.0%	1.77	4.06	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	30	0	41	166	42	19	3	0%	1.4	25.3%	11.4%	13.9%	1.8%	1.77	3.40	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	47	0	55	235	56	23	9	0%	1.2	21.0%	10.3%	10.7%	3.0%	3.11	4.26	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	47	0	55	235	56	23	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	9.8%	14.0%	3.8%	3.11	4.45	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	14.0%	8.2%	5.7%	2.4%	3.15	4.29	+0.2
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	14.0%	8.2%	5.7%	2.4%	3.15	4.29	+0.2
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	15.4%	8.8%	6.6%	2.2%	3.15	4.11	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	6	31	3	2	0	0%	2.0	9.7%	6.5%	3.2%	0.0%	6.00	3.10	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	NYM	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.9%	8.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.63	4.63	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	NYM	24	0	25	104	20	10	3	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.2%	9.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.82	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	NYM	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.2%	9.6%	3.2%	4.73	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	15	69	10	6	1	0%	1.3	14.8%	8.0%	6.8%	1.8%	5.24	3.84	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		154	0	200	920	133	80	13	0%	1.3	14.8%	8.0%	6.8%	1.8%	5.24	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		217	22	386	1677	300	159	41	10%	1.8	17.9%	9.5%	8.5%	2.5%	3.80	4.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	11	200	868	156	82	21	10%	1.8	17.9%	9.5%	8.5%	2.5%	3.80	4.13	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Muckenhirn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.63	18.9%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.82	18.9%	9.6%	25	+0.19	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	74
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	71
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	70
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	69
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	69
Randy Flores L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	20.4%	9.7%	2.5%	.333	3.30	18.1%	10.5%	93	-0.70	2.51	250	68
Jared Koenig L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	21.3%	9.2%	3.0%	.364	2.91	23.7%	16.2%	148	-1.21	2.79	475	68
Nick Hagadone L 2017 · 3.74 FIP	31	SU	3.74	22.6%	9.3%	2.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	141	68
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	66
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	66
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	65
David Purcey L 2013 · 3.79 FIP	31	SU	3.79	20.4%	11.5%	1.7%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	206	65
Tom Martin L 2001 · 5.68 FIP	31	SU	5.68	14.1%	9.4%	4.7%	.311	4.25	19.8%	11.1%	96	-1.43	3.40	303	64
George Sherrill L 2008 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	24.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.277	3.38	20.6%	12.4%	141	-0.48	2.74	323	64
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	64
Vic Darensbourg L 2002 · 5.46 FIP	31	SU	5.46	14.2%	9.4%	4.3%	.304	4.11	9.4%	4.2%	22	-1.35	2.94	287	64
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	64
Pedro Feliciano L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	31	SU	3.90	21.1%	7.6%	2.9%	.309	3.02	22.1%	14.9%	122	-0.88	2.69	378	63
Tommy Layne L 2016 · 3.43 FIP	31	SU	3.43	20.3%	9.6%	1.5%	.266	4.25	19.4%	10.0%	90	+0.82	0.55	218	63
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	17.7%	8.7%	1.05	4.82
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Travis Miller ('02)	1.3	45	16.3%	9.2%	0.91	5.05
Randy Flores ('10)	1.2	42	17.7%	9.3%	1.04	4.61
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41