Patrick Ruotolo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Patrick Ruotolo P Harrisburg Senators

Age 31 RHP 5'10" / 205 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%22.6%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants	4	0	5	18	7	0	0	0%	1.2	38.9%	0.0%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	-0.18	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants	4	0	5	18	7	0	0	0%	1.2	38.9%	0.0%	38.9%	0.0%	0.00	0.30	—
2017	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	44	0	48	185	69	11	3	0%	1.1	27.6%	7.0%	20.6%	2.6%	1.68	3.07	—
2017	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	44	0	48	185	69	11	3	0%	1.1	37.3%	5.9%	31.4%	1.6%	1.68	1.73	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	44	179	62	17	5	0%	1.2	27.5%	10.6%	16.8%	3.9%	2.03	4.25	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	44	179	62	17	5	0%	1.2	34.6%	9.5%	25.1%	2.8%	2.03	2.92	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	19	75	24	9	0	0%	1.5	32.0%	12.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.95	1.92	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	19	75	24	9	0	0%	1.5	32.0%	12.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.95	1.99	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	39	0	37	140	50	4	5	0%	0.9	28.9%	3.1%	25.8%	4.6%	2.68	3.60	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	39	0	37	140	50	4	5	0%	0.9	35.7%	2.9%	32.9%	3.6%	2.68	2.48	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	35	154	49	17	6	0%	1.2	25.5%	12.3%	13.2%	4.6%	6.49	5.03	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	35	154	49	17	6	0%	1.2	31.8%	11.0%	20.8%	3.9%	6.49	3.99	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	21	0	28	119	30	11	4	0%	1.3	20.4%	10.2%	10.3%	3.6%	5.08	4.65	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	21	0	28	119	30	11	4	0%	1.3	20.4%	10.2%	10.3%	3.6%	5.08	4.65	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	21	0	28	119	30	11	4	0%	1.3	25.2%	9.2%	16.0%	3.4%	5.08	3.98	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	WSH	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	9.5%	13.1%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	WSH	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.8%	12.4%	3.3%	4.55	4.64	-0.0
2027	32	MLB CTX	WSH	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.8%	12.4%	3.3%	4.55	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.8%	12.4%	3.3%	4.55	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	96	32	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.8%	12.4%	3.3%	4.55	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		187	0	217	870	235	76	30	0%	1.2	27.0%	8.8%	18.3%	3.4%	3.03	3.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		173	0	200	803	217	71	27	0%	1.2	27.0%	8.8%	18.3%	3.4%	3.03	3.80	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Ruotolo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	22.6%	9.5%	3.0%	—	4.64	22.2%	12.4%	20	+0.21	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	89
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	79
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	79
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	78
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	77
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	77
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	77
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	77
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	76
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	75
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	75
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	75
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	75
Grant Sides R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	21.7%	9.8%	1.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	159	75
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	74