J.C. Flowers

P Altoona Curve

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	AAAPIT	30	3	46	9.39	6.23	19.1%	16.5%	—	K 16.4% · BB 14.9% · FIP 5.70
2024	26	MIX2 levels	41	2	70	5.04	4.71	18.4%	17.2%	—	K 15.2% · BB 17.3% · FIP 5.08
2025	27	MIX2 levels	14	1	27	9.67	6.21	18.3%	13.7%	—	K 17.8% · BB 13.4% · FIP 6.00
2027PROJ	29	MLBPIT	17	0	18	5.29	5.29	18.5%	13.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBPIT	6	0	6	5.30	5.37	18.6%	13.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsThad Weber (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%18.5%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	13	79	330	92	25	7	62%	3.7	21.3%	8.7%	12.5%	2.1%	3.78	3.59	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	13	79	330	92	25	7	62%	3.7	27.9%	7.6%	20.3%	2.1%	3.78	2.87	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	33	2	69	285	62	23	6	6%	2.1	17.6%	8.9%	8.7%	2.3%	2.88	4.02	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	33	2	69	285	62	23	6	6%	2.1	21.8%	8.1%	13.7%	2.1%	2.88	3.43	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	30	3	46	236	45	39	9	10%	1.5	16.4%	14.9%	1.5%	3.8%	9.39	5.70	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Indianapolis Indians	30	3	46	236	45	39	9	10%	1.5	19.1%	16.5%	2.5%	3.8%	9.39	6.23	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	15.2%	17.3%	-2.1%	2.0%	5.04	5.08	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	15.2%	17.3%	-2.1%	2.0%	5.04	5.08	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	2	70	320	59	55	5	5%	1.7	18.4%	17.2%	1.3%	1.6%	5.04	4.71	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	17.8%	13.4%	4.4%	4.9%	9.67	6.00	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	17.8%	13.4%	4.4%	4.9%	9.67	6.00	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	1	27	131	24	18	6	7%	1.9	18.3%	13.7%	4.6%	4.6%	9.67	6.21	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	PIT	17	0	18	76	14	10	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	13.5%	5.1%	3.0%	5.29	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	16	11	3	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.30	5.37	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.30	5.37	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	5	4	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.30	4.99	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	128	32	0%	1.1	18.6%	13.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.30	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		139	21	290	1302	231	162	35	15%	2.1	17.7%	12.5%	5.3%	2.7%	5.31	4.67	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	14	200	898	159	112	24	15%	2.1	17.7%	12.5%	5.3%	2.7%	5.31	4.67	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
J.C. Flowers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	18.5%	13.5%	3.0%	—	5.37	18.6%	5.3%	20	+0.08	—	—	—
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	79
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	78
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	76
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	75
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	75
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	74
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	74
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	74
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	73
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	73
Jason Boyd R 2002 · 5.81 FIP	29	SU	5.81	13.7%	10.7%	4.6%	.290	4.74	15.0%	3.7%	65	-1.07	3.68	128	73
Edwar Ramirez R 2010 · 4.76 FIP	29	SU	4.76	18.5%	16.7%	2.0%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	109	73
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	73
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	73
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	72