Dylan File
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 30
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION81 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%16.9%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%9.8%
IP81
K†4045
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2027
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 12 | 7 | 47 | 205 | 37 | 13 | 7 | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.02 | 5.69 | -0.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 25 | 25 | 136 | 571 | 114 | 28 | 15 | 14.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.96 | 4.39 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 26 | 26 | 147 | 600 | 136 | 20 | 9 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.24 | 2.98 | +4.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 13 | 13 | 50 | 225 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 17.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.36 | 5.26 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 26 | 19 | 114 | 478 | 95 | 34 | 13 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 4.41 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 21 | 20 | 108 | 459 | 74 | 18 | 14 | 13.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.27 | 3.93 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 28 | 24 | 130 | 561 | 100 | 35 | 9 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.59 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 11 | 10 | 53 | 229 | 39 | 16 | 7 | 15.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | DET | 15 | 15 | 81 | 342 | 58 | 24 | 10 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | DET | — | — | 134 | 571 | 97 | 40 | 17 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.62 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | DET | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 61 | 21 | 10 | 19.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | DET | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 56 | 22 | 10 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.73 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | DET | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 50 | 21 | 10 | 18.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.84 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | DET | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 45 | 21 | 10 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 5.06 | 5.22 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | DET | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 39 | 20 | 10 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 5.34 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | DET | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 5.66 | 5.87 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 162 | 144 | 786 | 3328 | 516 | 199 | 104 | 15.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.26 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 37 | 200 | 846 | 131 | 51 | 26 | 15.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan File (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.72 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 210 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 89 |
| Donovan Hand R 2025 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 88 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.79 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | .270 | 4.53 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.74 | 3.79 | 264 | 88 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2028 · 4.94 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.94 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.56 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.38 | 4.56 | 143 | 86 |
| Scott McGregor R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.19 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 107 | 85 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2029 · 3.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.79 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.6% | .313 | 4.27 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 216 | +0.48 | 3.56 | 394 | 85 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.32 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.59 | 10.8% | 5.2% | 216 | -0.73 | 3.18 | 450 | 84 |
| Jeremy Kehrt R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.18 | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.81 | 8.5% | -4.6% | 21 | +0.63 | 3.34 | 262 | 84 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.34 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .307 | 4.41 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.07 | 4.23 | 325 | 83 |
| Colin Bates R 2023 · 4.59 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.59 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 111 | 83 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2028 · 5.12 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.12 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .353 | 3.44 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.68 | 3.29 | 283 | 82 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 81 |
| Caleb Clay R 2023 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.63 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 111 | 81 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.25 | 12.5% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .351 | 4.37 | 11.7% | 4.0% | 89 | +0.12 | 4.25 | 275 | 81 |
| Scott Feldman R 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.18 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.35 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 188 | +0.17 | 3.92 | 297 | 80 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.64 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .328 | 4.73 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.09 | 4.49 | 269 | 79 |
| Luke Irvine R 2023 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 79 |
| Michael Nix R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.77 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 1.1% | .310 | 4.43 | 11.9% | 0.3% | 115 | +0.66 | 3.77 | 234 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.