Dylan File
P
Toledo Mud Hens
+0.8
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 1.0 · 2026
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%16.9%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%9.8%
IP116
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2026
K†4040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Helena Brewers | 12 | 7 | 47 | 205 | 37 | 13 | 7 | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.02 | 5.69 | -0.4 |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 25 | 25 | 136 | 571 | 114 | 28 | 15 | 14.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.96 | 4.42 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 26 | 26 | 147 | 600 | 136 | 20 | 9 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.24 | 3.02 | +3.8 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 13 | 13 | 50 | 225 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 17.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.36 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 26 | 19 | 114 | 478 | 95 | 34 | 13 | 17.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.27 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 21 | 20 | 108 | 459 | 74 | 18 | 14 | 13.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.27 | 4.13 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 28 | 24 | 130 | 561 | 100 | 35 | 9 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 4.70 | 4.17 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 2 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 8.22 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | MIL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 489 | 83 | 35 | 14 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +1.0 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 124 | 527 | 86 | 38 | 16 | 16.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.23 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 112 | 472 | 81 | 34 | 14 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.56 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 20 | 20 | 107 | 453 | 78 | 34 | 14 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 4.58 | 4.62 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 19 | 102 | 433 | 74 | 33 | 13 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 4.65 | 4.70 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 18 | 97 | 411 | 70 | 32 | 13 | 17.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 4.80 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | MIL | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 64 | 31 | 13 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.85 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 16 | 86 | 362 | 58 | 30 | 12 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.06 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 153 | 135 | 741 | 3137 | 485 | 185 | 94 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.19 | +9.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 36 | 200 | 847 | 131 | 50 | 25 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.19 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan File (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.62 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 322 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 94 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 93 |
| Jeremy Kehrt R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 12.7% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .333 | 4.72 | 8.5% | -4.6% | 21 | +0.55 | 3.38 | 262 | 89 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2029 · 3.74 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.74 | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .262 | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 114 | +0.63 | 3.74 | 240 | 88 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2029 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.77 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.63 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.86 | 3.77 | 264 | 87 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 86 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 86 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.30 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.62 | 10.8% | 5.2% | 216 | -0.68 | 3.19 | 450 | 86 |
| Scott McGregor R 2024 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 86 |
| Ervin Santana R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 86 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2029 · 3.64 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.64 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 1.4% | .313 | 4.15 | 11.8% | 3.5% | 216 | +0.51 | 3.41 | 394 | 85 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .353 | 3.35 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.54 | 3.27 | 283 | 84 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2028 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.66 | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | .353 | 3.76 | 10.8% | 4.1% | 172 | +0.10 | 3.61 | 326 | 84 |
| Donovan Hand R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.31 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.54 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.23 | 4.31 | 237 | 84 |
| Ramon Ramirez R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.56 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .310 | 5.29 | 9.2% | -4.9% | 29 | +1.73 | 3.56 | 155 | 84 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 83 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.08 | 13.7% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .270 | 3.56 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 220 | -0.52 | 3.14 | 593 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.16 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .265 | 3.45 | 17.8% | 10.8% | 81 | -0.71 | 3.45 | 315 | 83 |
| Scott Carroll R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.96 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .286 | 5.08 | 11.2% | 2.6% | 128 | +1.12 | 3.96 | 248 | 83 |
| Sergio Valenzuela R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.65 | 10.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% | .343 | 4.80 | 9.0% | 2.4% | 129 | +1.15 | 3.65 | 244 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.