Zac Gallen

P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 31 RHP 6'2" / 189 lbs MLB peak 0.7 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MLBARI	28	28	148	3.65	3.23	25.1%	8.7%	3.1
2025	29	MLBARI	33	33	192	4.83	4.39	21.5%	8.0%	1.1
2026	30	MIX2 levels	23	21	107	5.97	5.18	13.8%	7.5%	-0.3	K 13.6% · BB 7.2% · FIP 5.21
2027PROJ	31	MLBARI	27	27	161	4.91	5.02	18.1%	7.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ	32	MLBARI	25	25	149	5.01	5.15	17.3%	8.2%	-0.6
2029PROJ	33	MLBARI	23	23	136	5.25	5.42	16.4%	8.7%	-1.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo34

Whiff%10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsMiguel González (age 31) · Orlando Hernandez (age 31) · Hideki Irabu (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 121

ERA4.91

FIP5.02

K%18.1%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP161

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 161 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p1019.0%

p1013.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.384

CH+1.6 (17%)

CT+0.5 (1%)

SI (6%)

CU (19%)

SL (23%)

FB (40%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	20	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	6	3	10	36	15	0	0	50%	1.6	41.7%	0.0%	41.7%	0.0%	1.86	-0.42	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	6	3	10	36	15	0	0	50%	1.6	41.7%	0.0%	41.7%	0.0%	1.86	-0.00	—
2017	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	26	148	608	121	34	11	100%	5.7	16.0%	6.2%	9.8%	1.8%	2.93	3.53	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	26	148	608	121	34	11	100%	5.7	19.9%	5.6%	14.3%	1.8%	2.93	3.12	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	New Orleans Baby Cakes	25	25	133	588	136	48	14	100%	5.3	20.4%	8.6%	11.8%	2.8%	3.64	3.98	—
2018	22	AAA RAW	New Orleans Baby Cakes	25	25	133	588	136	48	14	100%	5.3	23.1%	8.2%	15.0%	2.4%	3.64	3.50	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	171	667	208	52	18	100%	5.9	29.2%	7.9%	21.2%	2.8%	2.26	3.16	+3.7
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	171	667	208	52	18	100%	5.9	31.2%	7.8%	23.4%	2.7%	2.26	2.95	+4.2
2020	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	12	12	72	291	82	25	9	100%	6.0	28.2%	8.6%	19.6%	3.3%	2.75	3.61	+1.1
2020	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	12	12	72	291	82	25	9	100%	6.0	28.2%	8.6%	19.6%	3.1%	2.75	3.49	+1.2
2021	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	23	23	121	523	139	48	19	100%	5.3	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	3.8%	4.30	4.13	+1.1
2021	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	23	23	121	523	139	48	19	100%	5.3	26.6%	9.2%	17.4%	3.6%	4.30	4.03	+1.3
2022	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	31	31	184	714	192	47	15	100%	5.9	26.9%	6.6%	20.3%	2.2%	2.54	2.88	+4.7
2022	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	31	31	184	714	192	47	15	100%	5.9	26.9%	6.6%	20.3%	2.1%	2.54	2.84	+4.8
2023	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	34	34	210	846	220	47	22	100%	6.2	26.0%	5.6%	20.4%	2.8%	3.47	3.12	+4.7
2023	27	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	34	34	210	846	220	47	22	100%	6.2	26.0%	5.6%	20.4%	2.6%	3.47	3.04	+4.9
2024	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	28	148	621	156	54	13	100%	5.3	25.1%	8.7%	16.4%	2.2%	3.65	3.30	+2.9
2024	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	28	148	621	156	54	13	100%	5.3	25.1%	8.7%	16.4%	2.2%	3.65	3.30	+2.9
2024	28	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	28	28	148	621	156	54	13	100%	5.3	25.1%	8.7%	16.4%	2.1%	3.65	3.23	+3.1
2025	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	33	192	813	175	65	31	100%	5.8	21.5%	8.0%	13.5%	4.0%	4.83	4.51	+0.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	33	192	813	175	65	31	100%	5.8	21.5%	8.0%	13.5%	4.0%	4.83	4.51	+0.9
2025	29	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	33	33	192	813	175	65	31	100%	5.8	21.5%	8.0%	13.5%	3.8%	4.83	4.39	+1.1
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	107	480	66	36	19	91%	4.7	13.6%	7.2%	6.4%	4.3%	5.97	5.21	-0.4
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	107	480	66	36	19	91%	4.7	13.6%	7.2%	6.4%	4.3%	5.97	5.21	-0.4
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	107	480	66	36	19	91%	4.7	13.8%	7.5%	6.3%	4.0%	5.97	5.18	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			198	196	1113	4614	1124	355	136	99%	5.6	24.4%	7.7%	16.7%	2.9%	3.82	3.63	+17.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	ARI	27	27	161	680	123	53	26	100%	6.0	18.1%	7.8%	10.2%	3.8%	4.91	5.02	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	25	25	149	627	108	52	25	100%	5.9	17.3%	8.2%	9.0%	4.0%	5.13	5.27	-0.6
2029	33	MLB MLE	ARI	23	23	136	575	95	50	25	100%	5.9	16.4%	8.7%	7.7%	4.3%	5.38	5.55	-1.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	25	25	149	629	109	52	24	100%	6.0	17.3%	8.2%	9.0%	3.8%	5.01	5.15	-0.6
2029	33	MLB CTX	ARI	23	23	136	574	94	50	23	100%	5.9	16.4%	8.7%	7.7%	4.1%	5.25	5.42	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		245	243	1398	5817	1327	457	183	99%	5.7	22.8%	7.9%	15.0%	3.1%	4.08	3.90	+16.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	832	190	65	26	99%	5.7	22.8%	7.9%	15.0%	3.1%	4.08	3.90	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		270	265	1496	6187	1456	461	181	98%	5.5	23.5%	7.5%	16.1%	2.9%	3.57	3.67	+15.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		36	35	200	827	195	62	24	98%	5.5	23.5%	7.5%	16.1%	2.9%	3.57	3.67	+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zac Gallen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	18.1%	7.8%	3.8%	—	5.40	16.9%	8.4%	285	+0.38	—	—	—
Miguel González R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	31	SP	4.53	17.5%	7.9%	3.5%	.289	4.23	15.9%	9.0%	325	-0.30	3.72	905	76
Orlando Hernandez R 2001 · 5.30 FIP	31	SP	5.30	18.6%	9.9%	4.6%	.256	3.78	20.4%	13.1%	231	-1.52	3.35	1,315	69
Hideki Irabu R 2000 · 4.38 FIP	31	SP	4.38	17.0%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	5.19	17.2%	11.0%	64	+0.81	3.78	514	65
Chase Anderson R 2019 · 4.39 FIP	31	SP	4.39	20.9%	8.1%	3.7%	.259	5.39	19.2%	10.0%	218	+1.00	3.30	1,260	65
Rolando Arrojo R 2000 · 4.47 FIP	32	SP	4.47	16.1%	8.0%	3.1%	.291	3.68	16.4%	9.2%	185	-0.79	3.50	700	64
Tim Adleman R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	22.8%	7.8%	3.9%	.266	4.71	18.5%	11.1%	90	+0.41	3.63	605	62
Mike Fiers R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	18.5%	5.8%	3.7%	.308	4.96	19.2%	12.2%	510	+0.66	2.83	1,140	61
Hideo Nomo R 2000 · 4.66 FIP	31	SP	4.66	21.9%	10.6%	3.7%	.303	4.13	22.0%	11.4%	637	-0.53	2.76	1,972	59
Daisuke Matsuzaka R 2012 · 5.55 FIP	31	SP	5.55	19.1%	9.3%	5.2%	.329	3.83	21.1%	9.5%	122	-1.72	3.77	790	59
Cory Lidle R 2003 · 4.40 FIP	31	SP	4.40	13.3%	6.8%	2.9%	.297	4.23	15.4%	9.5%	567	-0.17	3.48	1,318	57
Brian Tollberg R 2002 · 4.98 FIP	29	SP	4.98	11.5%	5.9%	3.8%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	297	56
Tanner Roark R 2018 · 3.99 FIP	31	SP	3.99	19.2%	6.2%	3.2%	.289	4.57	21.1%	13.1%	259	+0.58	2.40	1,194	56
Chuck Smith R 2001 · 3.99 FIP	31	SP	3.99	18.4%	8.1%	2.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	211	56
Elmer Dessens R 2002 · 4.53 FIP	31	SP	4.53	12.6%	5.6%	3.3%	.257	4.20	14.6%	8.4%	346	-0.33	3.55	1,167	56
Ryan Franklin R 2004 · 5.05 FIP	31	SP	5.05	12.0%	6.9%	3.8%	.284	4.65	12.1%	6.0%	348	-0.40	3.12	1,201	55
Jeremy Hefner R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	30	SP	4.64	16.8%	9.1%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	322	54
Paul Wilson R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	31	SP	4.57	14.7%	7.3%	3.3%	.278	5.32	13.4%	6.3%	46	+0.75	2.59	942	53
Brian Lawrence R 2007 · 4.68 FIP	31	SP	4.68	12.9%	8.6%	2.9%	.371	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	963	53
Scott Carroll R 2016 · 4.94 FIP	31	SP	4.94	10.5%	8.6%	3.0%	.289	5.71	14.4%	5.8%	22	+0.77	3.92	377	52
Dylan Axelrod R 2016 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP	4.28	13.7%	6.3%	2.8%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	468	52

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.8	142	22.3%	7.9%	1.26	4.19
John Montefusco ('74-'86, 20 WAR*)	8.3	150	22.5%*	7.3%*	1.20*	4.16*
Jake Odorizzi ('22)	6.3	139	22.2%	8.1%	1.23	3.99
Hank Borowy ('42-'51, 19 WAR*)	8.6	172	20.1%*	7.9%*	1.21*	4.11*
Jon Gray ('25)	6.2	123	23.4%	7.8%	1.17	4.49
Ed Halicki ('74-'80, 11 WAR*)	5.3	152	22.9%*	7.2%*	1.10*	4.18*
Jake Arrieta ('21)	8.1	134	21.2%	8.5%	1.01	3.98