Hagen Danner

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	34	35	3.06	3.64	24.2%	8.7%	—	K 20.0% · BB 8.0% · FIP 4.09
2025	26	AAASEA	54	56	5.59	4.32	21.4%	7.9%	—	K 18.4% · BB 7.1% · FIP 4.24
2026	27	AAALAA	37	40	6.35	4.54	22.1%	15.6%	—	K 19.0% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	28	MLBLAA	25	26	4.80	4.80	19.3%	10.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBLAA	9	9	4.86	4.91	19.5%	10.9%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsTyler Walker (age 28) · Cody Satterwhite (age 28) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%19.3%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%8.4%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	25	0	36	143	42	12	2	0%	1.4	22.6%	9.7%	13.0%	1.9%	2.02	3.47	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	25	0	36	143	42	12	2	0%	1.4	29.4%	8.4%	21.0%	1.4%	2.02	2.48	—
2022	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	4	0	4	19	1	2	0	0%	0.9	5.3%	10.5%	-5.3%	0.0%	4.91	3.99	—
2022	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	4	0	4	19	1	2	0	0%	0.9	5.3%	10.5%	-5.3%	0.0%	4.91	4.19	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	1	40	158	56	11	8	3%	1.2	27.1%	5.7%	21.4%	8.7%	3.63	6.28	-0.8
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	1	40	158	56	11	8	3%	1.2	35.4%	7.0%	28.5%	5.1%	3.63	3.73	+0.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	8.0%	12.0%	3.0%	3.06	4.09	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	8.0%	12.0%	3.0%	3.06	4.09	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	35	149	36	13	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	8.7%	15.4%	2.7%	3.06	3.64	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.3%	5.59	4.24	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.3%	5.59	4.24	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	54	0	56	252	54	20	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	7.9%	13.5%	3.6%	5.59	4.32	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.0%	5.0%	2.2%	6.35	4.48	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	14.0%	5.0%	2.2%	6.35	4.48	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	37	0	40	199	44	31	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	15.6%	6.5%	2.0%	6.35	4.54	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0%	0.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	+0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	LAA	25	0	26	110	21	12	3	0%	1.0	19.3%	10.9%	8.4%	2.9%	4.80	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAA	24	0	25	105	20	11	3	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.9%	8.5%	3.0%	4.83	4.88	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAA	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	10.9%	8.5%	3.1%	4.86	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	9	40	7	4	1	0%	0.9	19.0%	10.7%	8.3%	3.0%	4.69	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		205	0	200	836	148	85	21	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.7%	8.3%	3.0%	4.69	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		188	1	210	920	190	83	34	1%	1.1	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.6%	4.32	4.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		179	1	200	875	181	79	32	1%	1.1	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.6%	4.32	4.49	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hagen Danner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	19.3%	10.9%	2.9%	—	4.88	19.5%	8.5%	25	+0.08	—	—	—
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	86
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
J.J. Putz R 2005 · 4.36 FIP	28	SU	4.36	17.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.270	2.24	31.4%	25.1%	196	-2.12	1.43	563	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	82
Greg Burke R 2009 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	16.2%	8.8%	2.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	139	82
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	81
Saul Rivera R 2006 · 3.83 FIP	28	SU	3.83	14.8%	9.4%	1.4%	.267	3.47	15.9%	7.3%	215	-0.36	3.09	276	81
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	81
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	80
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	79
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	79
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.3%	10.9%	1.13	4.78
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*