Austin Hansen prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Austin Hansen P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 204 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%20.0%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	14	94	387	128	50	5	61%	4.1	25.1%	15.0%	10.1%	1.7%	2.11	3.81	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	14	94	387	128	50	5	61%	4.1	33.1%	12.9%	20.2%	1.3%	2.11	2.66	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Skeeters	9	6	26	120	27	23	7	67%	2.9	19.8%	20.1%	-0.3%	6.9%	7.36	7.74	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Skeeters	9	6	26	120	27	23	7	67%	2.9	22.5%	19.2%	3.3%	5.8%	7.36	7.23	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	6	84	403	85	64	18	17%	2.4	18.1%	14.3%	3.8%	5.5%	6.86	6.39	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	6	84	403	85	64	18	17%	2.4	18.1%	14.3%	3.8%	5.5%	6.86	6.39	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	35	6	84	403	85	64	18	17%	2.4	21.1%	15.9%	5.2%	4.5%	6.86	6.15	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.0%	12.2%	7.8%	3.3%	5.14	5.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52	0	54	228	46	28	8	0%	1.0	20.0%	12.2%	7.8%	3.5%	5.17	5.24	-0.4
2028	31	MLB MLE	HOU	48	0	50	213	42	26	8	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.3%	7.5%	3.7%	5.26	5.37	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	HOU	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.2%	7.8%	3.5%	5.17	5.24	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	HOU	27	0	28	118	23	15	4	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.3%	7.5%	3.7%	5.26	5.37	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	48	201	40	25	7	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	3.6%	5.22	4.94	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	105	29	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.3%	7.6%	3.6%	5.22	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		67	26	204	910	194	140	37	39%	3.0	21.3%	15.4%	5.9%	4.0%	4.73	5.47	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	26	200	894	190	137	36	39%	3.0	21.3%	15.4%	5.9%	4.0%	4.73	5.47	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Hansen (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	20.0%	12.2%	3.3%	—	5.30	19.9%	7.6%	104	+0.16	—	—	—
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	74
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	72
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	72
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	71
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	71
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	70
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	70
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	69
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	69
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	68
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	68
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	68
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	67
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	66
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	66
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	66
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	345	66
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	65
Adam Quintana R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	27	SW	4.17	18.6%	11.7%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	201	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	19.9%	12.2%	1.34	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12